US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agre

OtherEnds Jun 15, 2026Resolved YESView on Polymarket ↗

YES price

99.0¢

settled

Total volume

+$175.96M

+$93.02M / 24h

Liquidity

+$10.23M

Whale trades (90d)

200

87 distinct wallets

Whale buy volume

+$6.47M

last 90d, $10K+ trades

Whale sell volume

+$1.36M

last 90d

Net flow

+$5.11M

buy-side dominant

Conviction fires

trades passing wave-34 gate

Top wallets on this market

87 wallets · sorted by net buy

Wallet	Trades	Buy	Sell	Net	PnL/$	Gate
aekghas	16	+$2.14M	$0	+$2.14M	-10%	—
0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	11	+$511.9K	+$103.5K	+$408.4K	+29%	🟢
EB99999	4	+$394.8K	$0	+$394.8K	-48%	—
badbbd	9	+$370.4K	$0	+$370.4K	-42%	—
okcoolstorybro	4	+$176.0K	$0	+$176.0K	-19%	—
0x0a098E3eDFF9823C63B80916171cdcCfA765f5A6-1770983328438	3	+$100.0K	$0	+$100.0K	-100%	—
jamesboy	3	+$96.0K	$0	+$96.0K	-100%	—
tstsa	2	+$100.0K	+$10.2K	+$89.8K	+18%	—
EddyAncogld	5	+$140.1K	+$59.8K	+$80.3K	+10%	🟢
Thomas58	2	+$92.8K	+$13.2K	+$79.6K	+5%	—
	2	+$77.6K	$0	+$77.6K	-64%	—
Pajamapants	7	+$415.2K	+$341.0K	+$74.2K	+122%	🟢
m3tuna	4	+$71.6K	$0	+$71.6K	-2%	—
Batundi	1	+$66.7K	$0	+$66.7K	-8%	—
millanos	4	+$74.6K	+$10.3K	+$64.3K	-7%	—
Dragontree	2	+$57.2K	$0	+$57.2K	+4%	—
cezarn132	3	+$56.2K	$0	+$56.2K	-32%	—
TimothyChalamet888	3	+$84.5K	+$30.7K	+$53.8K	+321%	—
0xg304yj0	2	+$52.6K	$0	+$52.6K	-29%	—
PoppingChairman	2	+$45.5K	$0	+$45.5K	-20%	—
wan123	3	+$44.4K	$0	+$44.4K	+13%	🟢
Dropper	2	+$44.4K	$0	+$44.4K	-3%	—
0x0F0223dC4b5C68f345Ac4F0444f2955740B85bfB-1779940201096	1	+$40.0K	$0	+$40.0K	+8%	🟢
Max3	2	+$38.4K	$0	+$38.4K	-10%	—
James000	3	+$75.2K	+$37.2K	+$38.0K	+4%	—

Showing top 25 of 87 by net flow.

Recent whale trades

200 trades · ≥$10K · 90d window

When	Wallet	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 13, 12:28 PM	OTTF	BUY NO	0.779	+$10.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:26 PM	0x0a098E3eDFF9823C63B80916171cdcCfA765f5A6-1770983328438	BUY NO	0.758	+$16.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:26 PM	0x0a098E3eDFF9823C63B80916171cdcCfA765f5A6-1770983328438	BUY NO	0.798	+$46.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:25 PM	0x0a098E3eDFF9823C63B80916171cdcCfA765f5A6-1770983328438	BUY NO	0.736	+$37.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 11:39 AM	0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	BUY NO	0.776	+$10.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 11:30 AM	0xe3C5E2982E7f3851f2A06Ed3Ab0B1569D49921E2-1781188136101	BUY NO	0.795	+$12.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 11:10 AM	mcorleone	SELL NO	0.831	+$34.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 10:44 AM	onelife	BUY NO	0.847	+$11.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 07:46 AM	aekghas	BUY NO	0.839	+$23.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 06:54 AM	Dafu0715	SELL NO	0.808	+$34.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 06:52 AM	Dafu0715	SELL NO	0.821	+$13.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 04:13 AM	jk1888	SELL YES	0.144	+$11.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 04:13 AM	aekghas	BUY NO	0.840	+$97.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 04:13 AM	aekghas	BUY NO	0.859	+$302.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:26 PM	dfefeees3	SELL NO	0.821	+$13.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 05:24 PM	PoppingChairman	BUY NO	0.878	+$27.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:01 PM	abuzzin	SELL NO	0.868	+$36.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 01:56 PM	abuzzin	SELL NO	0.900	+$13.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 01:46 PM	jimmy0001	BUY NO	0.908	+$23.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:49 AM	scornful	SELL NO	0.827	+$20.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 10:25 AM	sabsabinxz	SELL NO	0.834	+$10.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 09:57 AM	sabsabinxz	SELL NO	0.850	+$10.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 09:49 AM	0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	BUY NO	0.880	+$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 09:40 AM	0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	BUY NO	0.891	+$14.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 09:40 AM	0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	BUY NO	0.868	+$36.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:30 AM	0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	BUY NO	0.901	+$100.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:23 AM	0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	BUY NO	0.894	+$100.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:20 AM	0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	BUY NO	0.895	+$100.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:01 AM	jamesboy	BUY NO	0.894	+$40.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:22 AM	0x58820cFc9b65F8b3b87bF8a79D8C6D79b1BA55a2-1774143786264	BUY NO	0.888	+$34.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:03 AM	abuzzin	BUY NO	0.900	+$20.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:00 AM	abuzzin	BUY NO	0.897	+$20.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:36 AM	Mpire1	BUY NO	0.898	+$32.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 01:38 AM	abuzzin	SELL NO	0.845	+$13.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 12:27 AM	jamesboy	BUY NO	0.863	+$24.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 12:08 AM	abuzzin	SELL NO	0.856	+$10.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 10:56 PM	jamesboy	BUY NO	0.872	+$32.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 10:37 PM	aenews2	BUY YES	0.142	+$14.9K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 10:04 PM	wan123	BUY YES	0.108	+$20.4K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 09:48 PM	0x58820cFc9b65F8b3b87bF8a79D8C6D79b1BA55a2-1774143786264	SELL NO	0.888	+$20.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:45 PM	0x58820cFc9b65F8b3b87bF8a79D8C6D79b1BA55a2-1774143786264	SELL NO	0.888	+$13.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 08:43 PM	0xg304yj0	BUY NO	0.871	+$35.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:38 PM	0xg304yj0	BUY NO	0.861	+$17.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:19 PM	jimbobianthethird	BUY NO	0.840	+$17.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:08 PM	lorry3122	SELL NO	0.801	+$17.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 08:07 PM	Dropper	BUY YES	0.174	+$12.4K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 08:06 PM	jimmy0001	SELL NO	0.826	+$23.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:40 PM	jimmy0001	BUY NO	0.818	+$23.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:27 PM	envioner	SELL NO	0.871	+$14.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:24 PM	Dropper	BUY NO	0.842	+$32.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:23 PM	Dragontree	BUY NO	0.839	+$25.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:01 PM	NRGKRU	BUY NO	0.885	+$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:44 PM	tstsa	SELL NO	0.884	+$10.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:54 PM	e88888	BUY NO	0.841	+$16.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 05:47 PM	loliti	SELL NO	0.817	+$15.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:38 PM	SlenderMan	BUY NO	0.860	+$12.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 05:37 PM	Wogg	SELL NO	0.853	+$17.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 03:59 PM	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	SELL NO	0.963	+$43.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 01:47 PM	cezarn132	BUY NO	0.969	+$26.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 11:58 AM	Wogg	BUY NO	0.956	+$20.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:36 AM	Pajamapants	SELL NO	0.943	+$126.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:13 AM	lavieenrosev	BUY NO	0.963	+$29.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:58 AM	Pajamapants	SELL NO	0.962	+$28.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:35 AM	EB99999	BUY NO	0.962	+$16.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 04:08 AM	779Bf-1774	BUY NO	0.965	+$11.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 03:56 AM	EB99999	BUY NO	0.963	+$346.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 03:17 AM	The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA	BUY NO	0.968	+$18.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 03:17 AM	whitewhitebear	BUY NO	0.968	+$13.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 10:23 PM	okcoolstorybro	BUY NO	0.980	+$87.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 10:22 PM	okcoolstorybro	BUY NO	0.979	+$43.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:44 PM	okcoolstorybro	BUY NO	0.975	+$25.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:32 PM	okcoolstorybro	BUY NO	0.972	+$19.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 03:40 PM		BUY NO	0.951	+$15.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 01:10 PM	James000	BUY NO	0.959	+$58.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 01:06 PM	TariqAlM	BUY NO	0.955	+$10.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 10:49 AM	4UW15AS	BUY NO	0.960	+$38.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 06:41 AM	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	BUY NO	0.960	+$38.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 03:05 AM	EddyAncogld	SELL NO	0.950	+$10.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 02:06 AM	Max3	BUY NO	0.960	+$19.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 12:21 AM	TimothyChalamet888	SELL NO	0.950	+$10.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 12:08 AM	TimothyChalamet888	SELL NO	0.950	+$20.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 08:31 PM	SlotinCap	BUY YES	0.060	+$10.5K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 08:13 PM	SlotinCap	SELL YES	0.050	+$12.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 04:06 PM	Wogg	SELL NO	0.910	+$20.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 03:52 PM	PoppingChairman	BUY NO	0.920	+$18.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 03:48 PM	mindeirs	BUY NO	0.920	+$13.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 03:30 PM	EddyAncogld	SELL NO	0.905	+$49.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 03:16 PM	0x70798a8B07483242D768AcD1bD1FA26b4648155d-1779753819683	SELL NO	0.908	+$85.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 01:41 PM	badbbd	BUY NO	0.930	+$15.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:39 PM	badbbd	BUY NO	0.920	+$15.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:37 PM	badbbd	BUY NO	0.920	+$41.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:33 PM	sakaili515	SELL NO	0.895	+$10.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 01:18 PM	Istaroth	SELL NO	0.913	+$28.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 04:33 AM	JohnVarvatos	BUY NO	0.950	+$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:27 AM	Pajamapants	SELL NO	0.940	+$47.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 09:56 PM	Pajamapants	SELL NO	0.940	+$47.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 09:48 PM	Pajamapants	SELL NO	0.940	+$92.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 08:28 PM	Batundi	BUY NO	0.950	+$66.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 03:56 PM	204715	SELL NO	0.941	+$78.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 12:50 PM	badbbd	BUY NO	0.950	+$72.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative

Showing 100 of 200.

All trades pulled from on-chain Polymarket fills via the Polygon CTF Exchange. Methodology badges apply the same wave-34 classifier as /whales. Full per-wallet audit on /trader/[address].