ohh.betAnalytics
Back to whale feed

aekghas

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xb2a3…8510 with our methodology badges per row.

0xb2a3623364c33561d8312e1edb79eb941c798510·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
90
lifetime
PnL per $
-10%
historical realized
Win rate
73.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$8.36M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 90 resolved trades · -10% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
105
Distinct markets
17
Volume (90d)
$8.47M
avg $80.7K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$8.47M / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 105 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 07:46 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.839$23.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 06:41 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.581$21.5K—
Jun 13, 04:13 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.840$97.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 04:13 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.859$302.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 03:36 PMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$3,000—
Jun 8, 12:54 PMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$2,000—
Jun 8, 10:34 AMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$9,350—
Jun 8, 10:29 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.016$3,711—
Jun 8, 10:29 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$1,289—
Jun 8, 10:28 AMWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.011$10,000—
Jun 8, 10:28 AMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.013$10.0K—
Jun 8, 10:27 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.033$3,499—
Jun 8, 10:27 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$1,934—
Jun 8, 10:27 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$4,147—
Jun 8, 10:27 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$10,000—
Jun 8, 10:26 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.022$10,000—
Jun 8, 10:26 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.054$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 09:40 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.879$295.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 09:40 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.886$77.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 10:19 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.887$72.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 10:17 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.882$174.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 10:17 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.875$52.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 04:43 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.754$15.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 03:58 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.871$260.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 03:57 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.950$174.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 03:56 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.870$215.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 03:56 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.880$32.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 10:30 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.870$291.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 10:29 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.950$485.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 10:29 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.957$31.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 10:12 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.940$93.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 10:05 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.941$41.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 09:19 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.940$31.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 09:17 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.860$46.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 09:14 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.941$25.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 09:14 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.860$126.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 09:14 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.867$33.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 05:08 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.875$244.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 05:08 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.882$55.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 04:23 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.758$16.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 04:21 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.770$77.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 04:17 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.770$38.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.770$34.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:32 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.770$20.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:32 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.880$18.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:28 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.770$28.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:18 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.780$27.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:13 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.777$29.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:04 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.890$103.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:01 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.790$16.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.759$17.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:36 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.520$2,680—
May 28, 02:34 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.760$19.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:32 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.870$21.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:31 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.870$21.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:30 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.870$22.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:04 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.650$35.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 07:21 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.450$14.6K—
May 27, 06:43 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY NO0.322$11.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 27, 06:43 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY NO0.371$22.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 27, 06:36 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.471$19.7K—
May 27, 06:25 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.778$72.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:25 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.767$182.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 03:09 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.868$81.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 03:05 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.872$218.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.698$147.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.671$53.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:53 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.765$228.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:53 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.815$69.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:16 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.601$148.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:13 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.688$80.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:09 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.581$81.8K—
May 23, 07:09 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.650$8,285Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:04 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.684$22.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 06:10 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.597$157.8K—
May 23, 07:32 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.841$431.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:17 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.939$209.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:15 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.772$42.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:15 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.752$112.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:14 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.935$36.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:23 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.948$2,786Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:22 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.950$52.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:21 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.740$38.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:20 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.950$103.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:00 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.830$149.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:00 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.817$94.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:00 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.830$57.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:43 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.809$7,274Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:42 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.800$17.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.798$184.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 12:56 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.826$186.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 12:56 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.830$113.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 06:53 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.830$467.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 06:53 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.818$32.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 04:19 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.913$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 01:46 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.635$14.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 08:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.401$11.3K—
Apr 21, 08:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.420$2,579—
Apr 21, 06:50 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.820$236.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 06:39 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.859$78.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 06:38 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.870$11.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 06:38 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.830$52.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 06:38 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.851$82.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 05:39 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.790$5,644Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 05:38 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.790$23.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

17 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other29$3.27M+$3.27M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other16$2.14M+$2.14M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Other18$1.21M+$1.21M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other6$702.1K+$702.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Other7$489.5K+$489.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Other5$403.9K+$403.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Other5$74.4K+$74.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Other4$63.1K+$63.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Other2$33.4K+$33.4K
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$9,580+$9,580
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$9,350+$9,350