EddyAncogld

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc0a1…a33b with our methodology badges per row.

0xc0a1298e2d6ba216efb554865369152da9c5a33b·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

169

lifetime

PnL per $

+10%

historical realized

Win rate

55.2%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$1.27M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.47M

avg $7,326 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$996.1K / $469.1K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 12, 03:27 AM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.109	$1,700	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 03:20 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.870	$1,741	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 03:05 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.950	$10.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 12:10 AM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.102	$1,499	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:35 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.101	$7,070	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:33 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.101	$10.1K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:32 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.101	$10.1K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 08:41 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.101	$5,050	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 04:05 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.121	$2,659	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 03:36 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.136	$1,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 03:31 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.150	$1,274	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 03:31 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.125	$6,726	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 03:30 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	SELL NO	0.905	$49.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 07:25 AM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.102	$12.0K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 11:46 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.097	$2,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 11:45 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.097	$20.0K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 07:31 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	SELL NO	0.997	$12.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:24 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	SELL NO	0.997	$8,829	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:20 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	SELL NO	0.997	$1,413	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:02 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.960	$18.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:01 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	SELL NO	0.997	$18.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:59 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.960	$21.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 06:58 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	SELL NO	0.997	$21.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:56 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.960	$6,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 06:54 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	SELL NO	0.997	$6,553	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 06:25 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	BUY NO	0.961	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:34 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	BUY NO	0.947	$3,520	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:33 PM	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.965	$1,498	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 08:32 PM	Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?	SELL NO	0.981	$1,012	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 08:29 PM	Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	SELL NO	0.987	$1,012	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 08:13 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	BUY NO	0.966	$18.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:11 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	BUY NO	0.965	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:09 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.887	$100.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 02:22 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	BUY NO	0.988	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 02:22 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	BUY NO	0.984	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 02:07 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	BUY NO	0.992	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:28 PM	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.988	$4,090	— (SELL)
May 30, 06:22 PM	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	BUY NO	0.971	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:22 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.994	$3,058	— (SELL)
May 30, 06:16 PM	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	BUY NO	0.969	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:16 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$11.5K	— (SELL)
May 30, 06:15 PM	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	BUY NO	0.962	$5,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:14 PM	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	BUY NO	0.959	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:14 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$15.8K	— (SELL)
May 30, 06:10 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.980	$7,998	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:09 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:58 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.979	$9,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:57 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.979	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:57 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.978	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:57 PM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.976	$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 05:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,028	— (SELL)
May 29, 08:29 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$1,992	— (SELL)
May 29, 06:48 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$1,550	— (SELL)
May 29, 06:23 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	BUY NO	0.989	$5,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 06:22 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	SELL NO	0.999	$4,859	— (SELL)
May 29, 06:20 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	BUY NO	0.989	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 06:19 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	SELL NO	0.999	$3,170	— (SELL)
May 29, 05:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	BUY NO	0.991	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 05:14 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	SELL YES	0.999	$5,104	— (SELL)
May 29, 04:40 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 29?	BUY NO	0.997	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 04:32 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 29?	BUY NO	0.995	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 04:18 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	SELL NO	0.999	$15.7K	— (SELL)
May 29, 02:54 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 29?	BUY NO	0.983	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 02:54 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$3,080	— (SELL)
May 29, 02:34 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	BUY NO	0.990	$9,995	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 02:33 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$10.0K	— (SELL)
May 29, 02:19 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	BUY NO	0.987	$5,390	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 02:09 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$5,399	— (SELL)
May 29, 12:52 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.998	$3,156	— (SELL)
May 28, 06:42 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	BUY YES	0.989	$2,050	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 06:41 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$2,016	— (SELL)
May 28, 06:26 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	BUY YES	0.988	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 06:26 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$3,036	— (SELL)
May 28, 05:59 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	BUY NO	0.983	$1,920	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 05:58 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$1,925	— (SELL)
May 28, 05:31 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	BUY NO	0.964	$3,140	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 05:30 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$3,134	— (SELL)
May 28, 04:20 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.984	$6,350	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 04:20 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$6,186	— (SELL)
May 28, 10:47 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 10:47 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	SELL NO	0.997	$3,185	— (SELL)
May 27, 04:38 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.991	$7,020	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 04:37 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$7,025	— (SELL)
May 27, 02:47 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.991	$2,338	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 02:46 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.996	$2,338	— (SELL)
May 27, 02:36 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$9,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 02:36 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	SELL NO	0.999	$9,585	— (SELL)
May 27, 01:25 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	BUY NO	0.995	$1,275	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 01:24 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	SELL NO	0.992	$1,275	— (SELL)
May 27, 01:09 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	BUY NO	0.995	$2,320	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 01:09 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.994	$2,321	— (SELL)
May 27, 01:01 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 12:58 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,450	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 12:57 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$2,322	— (SELL)
May 27, 12:44 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$1,807	— (SELL)
May 27, 09:40 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	BUY NO	0.991	$2,980	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:39 AM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$2,985	— (SELL)
May 27, 09:24 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	BUY NO	0.993	$1,149	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:18 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,144	— (SELL)
May 27, 06:26 AM	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.987	$2,920	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:26 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$2,909	— (SELL)
May 27, 05:17 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.987	$4,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 05:16 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.983	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 05:15 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.994	$9,580	— (SELL)
May 26, 05:34 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.981	$5,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 05:33 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	SELL NO	0.994	$5,111	— (SELL)
May 26, 03:05 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?	BUY NO	0.989	$1,870	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 03:04 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.982	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:59 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	SELL YES	0.999	$3,869	— (SELL)
May 26, 01:54 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	BUY NO	0.983	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 01:53 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	BUY NO	0.976	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 01:52 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	SELL YES	0.999	$4,009	— (SELL)
May 26, 01:03 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.969	$10.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 01:02 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.991	$10.2K	— (SELL)
May 26, 12:18 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.980	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 12:17 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.993	$10.1K	— (SELL)
May 26, 12:11 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.966	$5,830	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 12:10 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.991	$5,850	— (SELL)
May 26, 11:55 AM	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$3,673	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:53 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$3,676	— (SELL)
May 26, 11:49 AM	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.965	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:48 AM	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.996	$5,014	— (SELL)
May 26, 11:35 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.983	$4,765	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:34 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	BUY NO	0.985	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:33 AM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	SELL NO	0.993	$6,771	— (SELL)
May 26, 11:09 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.980	$10.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:08 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	SELL NO	0.993	$10.5K	— (SELL)
May 26, 10:03 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	BUY NO	0.980	$3,998	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 09:14 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	BUY NO	0.989	$7,090	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 09:13 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.996	$7,093	— (SELL)
May 26, 02:53 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	BUY NO	0.981	$2,155	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:52 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.994	$2,158	— (SELL)
May 26, 02:35 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.974	$1,920	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:35 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$1,923	— (SELL)
May 25, 05:13 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.978	$4,992	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 05:13 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.977	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 05:12 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.992	$10.0K	— (SELL)
May 25, 03:33 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	BUY NO	0.973	$2,634	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 03:33 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.994	$2,635	— (SELL)
May 25, 02:26 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$2,660	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$2,664	— (SELL)
May 25, 02:17 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	BUY YES	0.992	$3,840	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:15 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	SELL NO	0.999	$3,827	— (SELL)
May 25, 01:37 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 01:08 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	BUY YES	0.997	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 01:08 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	SELL YES	0.999	$4,017	— (SELL)
May 25, 12:56 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$8,853	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 12:54 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.985	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 12:52 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$10.4K	— (SELL)
May 25, 04:06 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	BUY NO	0.989	$4,996	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 04:05 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	BUY NO	0.988	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:48 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	BUY NO	0.991	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:46 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	BUY YES	0.995	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:46 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	SELL YES	0.999	$7,712	— (SELL)
May 24, 01:22 PM	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.990	$4,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:56 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$3,657	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:55 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.995	$3,660	— (SELL)
May 24, 12:07 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.989	$9,995	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 06:16 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	BUY YES	0.988	$6,593	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 06:16 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	SELL NO	0.992	$6,603	— (SELL)
May 24, 05:49 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	BUY YES	0.988	$1,034	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 05:48 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	SELL NO	0.995	$1,027	— (SELL)
May 23, 09:28 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	SELL NO	0.997	$1,007	— (SELL)
May 23, 02:55 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.977	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 02:53 AM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	SELL NO	0.992	$3,005	— (SELL)
May 22, 02:47 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	BUY NO	0.988	$9,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:44 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.990	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:39 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	BUY NO	0.983	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:30 PM	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	BUY NO	0.983	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:22 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	BUY NO	0.987	$20.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:59 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.989	$9,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:52 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.988	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:49 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	BUY NO	0.980	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:40 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.986	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:39 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	BUY NO	0.978	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 03:45 PM	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.967	$1,003	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:29 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.987	$9,050	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:26 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	SELL YES	0.998	$9,066	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:00 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.985	$4,990	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 03:13 PM	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.993	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:53 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	BUY YES	0.998	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:45 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	BUY NO	0.984	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:15 PM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	SELL YES	0.999	$12.1K	— (SELL)
May 19, 12:43 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	BUY YES	0.991	$2,983	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 12:38 AM	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	BUY YES	0.995	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 12:30 AM	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	BUY NO	0.986	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 01:23 PM	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	SELL NO	0.131	$5,343	— (SELL)
Apr 7, 07:48 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.893	$19.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:24 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.981	$9,469	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:24 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.991	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:23 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.990	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:23 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.989	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:23 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.988	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:23 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.986	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:23 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.984	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:22 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.979	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:22 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.978	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:22 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.975	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 01:52 PM	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$21.9K	— (SELL)
Apr 4, 01:02 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.991	$9,989	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

48 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Other	7	$208.1K	+$85.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Other	10	$146.1K	+$6,898
0x4c5701bc	—	12	$129.3K	+$129.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Other	5	$107.0K	+$107.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Other	14	$102.5K	$-2,581
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Other	15	$94.1K	$-141
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	13	$81.9K	+$81.9K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Other	14	$71.9K	+$61.1K
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Crypto	10	$61.3K	$-3,193
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Other	10	$54.2K	+$2,977
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Crypto	3	$31.1K	$-319
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Crypto	5	$29.7K	$-1,977
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Crypto	6	$29.0K	$-125
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Other	4	$28.8K	+$28.8K
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Crypto	4	$23.1K	+$23.1K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Crypto	2	$22.1K	$-2,056
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Other	1	$21.9K	$-21,866
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	Crypto	5	$17.3K	$-1,861
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Crypto	3	$17.0K	$-1,083
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Crypto	3	$15.3K	$-85
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	Other	4	$15.0K	$-1,029
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 29?	Crypto	3	$15.0K	+$15.0K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	Crypto	5	$14.3K	+$1,743
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Crypto	3	$10.2K	$-54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Crypto	2	$10.0K	$-14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Crypto	2	$9,000	+$9,000
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	Other	4	$8,765	+$5,665
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Other	2	$8,190	+$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	Crypto	2	$8,100	+$8,100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Crypto	2	$8,017	$-17

Showing top 30 by volume.