| Jun 11, 09:42 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.835 | $3,182 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:41 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.838 | $3,066 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:41 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.836 | $3,969 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:38 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.837 | $4,785 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:38 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.839 | $17.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:37 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.826 | $21.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:37 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.849 | $12.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:37 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.838 | $54.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:36 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.943 | $126.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:17 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.819 | $3,522 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 07:02 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.821 | $3,826 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:58 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $21.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:58 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.962 | $28.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:51 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.811 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:50 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $1,322 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:49 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.805 | $2,466 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:41 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.767 | $3,367 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:41 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.753 | $1,483 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:40 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.765 | $1,258 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:40 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.766 | $1,996 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:37 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.763 | $4,148 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:29 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.769 | $1,353 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:28 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.769 | $1,567 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:28 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.768 | $6,609 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $47.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 09:58 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.791 | $31.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:57 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.791 | $17.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $47.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 09:52 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.793 | $27.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:52 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.793 | $2,543 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:51 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.792 | $15.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:51 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $27.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:50 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.789 | $16.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $92.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 05:46 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $2,480 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:29 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $4,942 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $4,927 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:11 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,653 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:15 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.879 | $400.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $5,576 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 06:15 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $9,668 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 06:14 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $14.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 09:59 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,494 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:51 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $5,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:50 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $32.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:50 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $30.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:56 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,466 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:54 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,946 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:26 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $2,110 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:25 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $76.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 03:00 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.725 | $40.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 02:59 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.926 | $41.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 09:11 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $4,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 09:10 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL YES | 0.022 | $4,844 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:58 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY YES | 0.071 | $3,401 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 05:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $4,400 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:53 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY YES | 0.265 | $2,749 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 24, 05:53 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.262 | $4,421 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 24, 05:53 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $8,800 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:52 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY YES | 0.164 | $9,108 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 05:51 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $8,800 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 04:28 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.705 | $18.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:28 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $18.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 04:07 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.653 | $4,243 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:07 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.748 | $3,805 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 03:20 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.436 | $4,588 | —— |
| May 24, 03:15 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.747 | $4,871 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:31 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.428 | $4,206 | —— |
| May 24, 02:31 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.667 | $3,144 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:31 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.705 | $1,398 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.410 | $4,510 | —— |
| May 24, 02:26 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.724 | $1,244 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:19 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.720 | $3,873 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:14 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.394 | $2,460 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 02:13 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.734 | $1,977 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:10 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.390 | $2,184 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 02:09 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.757 | $2,163 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 01:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.388 | $1,940 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 01:55 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.754 | $1,934 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 01:54 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.385 | $2,119 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 12:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.370 | $2,022 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 12:30 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.348 | $3,213 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 12:18 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.399 | $1,912 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 12:16 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.818 | $1,330 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 12:08 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.810 | $1,263 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:47 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.298 | $3,626 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 23, 11:42 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.784 | $3,363 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.351 | $2,630 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 11:18 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.807 | $2,734 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:56 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.820 | $1,476 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:31 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.480 | $3,120 | —— |
| May 23, 10:30 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.820 | $3,035 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.467 | $2,122 | —— |
| May 23, 10:22 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.756 | $3,798 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:19 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.470 | $2,350 | —— |
| May 23, 10:16 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.404 | $7,267 | —— |
| May 23, 10:16 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $7,440 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:12 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.468 | $19.6K | —— |
| May 23, 10:12 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.856 | $21.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:11 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.460 | $4,140 | —— |
| May 23, 10:10 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | SELL NO | 0.871 | $3,799 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.360 | $1,517 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 10:07 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | SELL NO | 0.920 | $1,526 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:07 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.468 | $9,132 | —— |
| May 23, 10:02 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.439 | $20.8K | —— |
| May 23, 10:01 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.342 | $20.3K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 02:13 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $2,523 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $3,875 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 07:14 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | BUY NO | 0.580 | $1,160 | —— |
| May 21, 07:13 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | BUY NO | 0.580 | $1,160 | —— |
| May 21, 07:05 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | BUY NO | 0.580 | $2,320 | —— |
| May 18, 02:07 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY NO | 0.367 | $1,003 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 01:26 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY NO | 0.352 | $1,378 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 01:18 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY NO | 0.385 | $10.4K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:34 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY NO | 0.400 | $1,750 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:18 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY NO | 0.390 | $1,868 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:17 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY NO | 0.390 | $3,510 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:14 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $19.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 02:08 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY NO | 0.380 | $1,140 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:07 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $7,960 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 01:18 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $37.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 01:17 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $37.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 07:50 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | SELL YES | 0.025 | $2,393 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 07:49 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,511 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 07:31 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | SELL YES | 0.181 | $4,159 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 06:17 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.360 | $7,200 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 4, 05:03 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $9,825 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 05:00 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.791 | $10.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 04:58 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.790 | $9,593 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 04:57 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $6,987 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 04:55 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.888 | $7,671 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 04:55 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.800 | $14.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 04:20 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.408 | $5,034 | —— |
| May 4, 04:16 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.442 | $4,287 | —— |
| May 4, 04:15 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.806 | $10.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 04:14 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.895 | $3,144 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 04:13 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.423 | $2,449 | —— |
| May 4, 04:12 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.471 | $15.5K | —— |
| May 4, 04:12 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.381 | $6,370 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 4, 03:27 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.332 | $3,443 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 4, 01:46 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.781 | $15.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 01:43 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.800 | $7,966 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 01:43 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.858 | $8,252 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 11:10 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.307 | $1,205 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 4, 11:09 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.480 | $1,828 | —— |
| May 4, 11:09 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.189 | $3,866 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 4, 11:09 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY YES | 0.341 | $1,848 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 4, 11:08 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $10.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 11:07 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY YES | 0.883 | $8,365 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 10:58 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY YES | 0.818 | $1,349 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 10:58 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.937 | $2,172 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 10:57 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.882 | $5,308 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 10:56 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY YES | 0.685 | $1,734 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 10:56 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.874 | $1,798 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 10:53 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.809 | $1,340 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 10:35 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.936 | $6,797 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 10:28 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.957 | $3,764 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 10:19 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.885 | $3,390 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 10:19 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $14.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 08:00 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.730 | $20.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 07:59 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.978 | $20.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 07:58 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.740 | $14.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 07:57 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $14.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 07:57 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.734 | $19.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 07:56 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $19.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 07:55 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $19.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 04:36 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $14.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 2, 12:17 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.838 | $8,462 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 12:17 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.893 | $28.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 12:08 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $1,302 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 12:01 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $3,939 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 09:40 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $16.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 07:10 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $42.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 06:35 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $14.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 06:24 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $7,607 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 06:24 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.959 | $13.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 05:38 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $1,570 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 05:27 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $13.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 01:23 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.894 | $14.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 01:23 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.947 | $7,821 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 01:22 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.827 | $2,522 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 01:21 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | BUY YES | 0.943 | $7,886 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 01:21 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY YES | 0.728 | $4,219 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:25 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $14.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:25 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $2,535 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:23 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.943 | $3,679 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:13 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.834 | $30.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:11 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.935 | $5,436 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:03 PM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $135.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 1, 09:09 PM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY YES | 0.929 | $1,501 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 09:09 PM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY YES | 0.936 | $2,625 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 09:08 PM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY YES | 0.928 | $30.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 09:08 PM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY YES | 0.921 | $3,351 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 09:03 PM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY YES | 0.946 | $5,264 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 02:07 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.896 | $7,860 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 03:43 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $19.7K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 12:21 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.936 | $38.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 12:20 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $31.5K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 11:32 AM | NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY YES | 0.907 | $2,157 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 07:19 AM | NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY YES | 0.888 | $16.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |