| Jun 11, 09:42 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.835 | $3,182 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:41 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.838 | $3,066 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:41 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.836 | $3,969 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:38 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.837 | $4,785 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:38 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.839 | $17.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:37 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.826 | $21.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:37 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.849 | $12.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:37 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.838 | $54.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:36 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.943 | $126.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:17 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.819 | $3,522 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 07:02 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.821 | $3,826 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:58 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $21.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:58 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.962 | $28.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:51 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.811 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:50 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $1,322 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:49 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.805 | $2,466 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:41 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.767 | $3,367 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:41 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.753 | $1,483 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:40 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.765 | $1,258 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:40 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.766 | $1,996 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:37 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.763 | $4,148 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:29 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.769 | $1,353 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:28 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.769 | $1,567 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:28 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.768 | $6,609 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $47.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 09:58 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.791 | $31.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:57 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.791 | $17.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $47.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 09:52 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.793 | $27.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:52 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.793 | $2,543 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:51 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.792 | $15.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:51 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $27.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:50 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.789 | $16.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $92.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 05:46 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $2,480 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:29 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $4,942 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:28 AM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.950 | $4,927 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:11 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,653 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:15 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.879 | $400.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $5,576 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 06:15 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.740 | $9,668 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 06:14 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $14.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 09:59 PM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,494 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:51 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $5,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:50 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $32.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:50 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $30.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:56 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,466 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:54 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,946 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:26 AM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.640 | $2,110 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:25 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $76.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 03:00 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.725 | $40.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 02:59 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.926 | $41.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 09:11 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $4,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 09:10 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL YES | 0.022 | $4,844 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:58 PM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY YES | 0.071 | $3,401 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 05:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $4,400 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:53 PM | 0xdb22a774 | BUY YES | 0.265 | $2,749 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 24, 05:53 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY YES | 0.262 | $4,421 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 24, 05:53 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $8,800 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:52 PM | 0xdb22a774 | BUY YES | 0.164 | $9,108 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 05:51 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $8,800 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 04:28 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.705 | $18.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:28 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.860 | $18.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 04:07 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.653 | $4,243 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 04:07 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.748 | $3,805 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 03:20 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.436 | $4,588 | —— |
| May 24, 03:15 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.747 | $4,871 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:31 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.428 | $4,206 | —— |
| May 24, 02:31 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.667 | $3,144 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:31 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.705 | $1,398 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.410 | $4,510 | —— |
| May 24, 02:26 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.724 | $1,244 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:19 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.720 | $3,873 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:14 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.394 | $2,460 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 02:13 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.734 | $1,977 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:10 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.390 | $2,184 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 02:09 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.757 | $2,163 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 01:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.388 | $1,940 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 01:55 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.754 | $1,934 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 01:54 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.385 | $2,119 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 12:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.370 | $2,022 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 12:30 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.348 | $3,213 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 12:18 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.399 | $1,912 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 12:16 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.818 | $1,330 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 12:08 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.810 | $1,263 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:47 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.298 | $3,626 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 23, 11:42 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.784 | $3,363 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.351 | $2,630 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 11:18 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.807 | $2,734 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:56 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.820 | $1,476 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:31 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.480 | $3,120 | —— |
| May 23, 10:30 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.820 | $3,035 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.467 | $2,122 | —— |
| May 23, 10:22 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.756 | $3,798 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:19 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.470 | $2,350 | —— |
| May 23, 10:16 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.404 | $7,267 | —— |
| May 23, 10:16 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.790 | $7,440 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:12 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.468 | $19.6K | —— |
| May 23, 10:12 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.856 | $21.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:11 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.460 | $4,140 | —— |
| May 23, 10:10 PM | 0xdeb0a6ab | SELL NO | 0.871 | $3,799 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.360 | $1,517 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 10:07 PM | 0xdeb0a6ab | SELL NO | 0.920 | $1,526 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:07 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.468 | $9,132 | —— |
| May 23, 10:02 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.439 | $20.8K | —— |
| May 23, 10:01 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.342 | $20.3K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 02:13 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $2,523 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $3,875 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 07:14 AM | 0x96d62023 | BUY NO | 0.580 | $1,160 | —— |
| May 21, 07:13 AM | 0x96d62023 | BUY NO | 0.580 | $1,160 | —— |
| May 21, 07:05 AM | 0x96d62023 | BUY NO | 0.580 | $2,320 | —— |
| May 18, 02:07 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.367 | $1,003 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 01:26 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.352 | $1,378 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 01:18 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.385 | $10.4K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:34 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.400 | $1,750 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:18 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.390 | $1,868 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:17 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.390 | $3,510 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:14 AM | 0x36f66505 | SELL NO | 0.995 | $19.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 02:08 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.380 | $1,140 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 02:07 AM | 0x36f66505 | SELL NO | 0.995 | $7,960 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 01:18 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $37.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 01:17 AM | 0x1db02ba5 | SELL NO | 0.984 | $37.7K | — (SELL) |