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TariqAlM
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x7449…be3c with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
-46%
historical realized
Win rate
49.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$44.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · -46% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
5
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$44.6K
avg $8,912 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$33.6K / $10.9K
net direction
Recent trades
last 5 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 01:06 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.955 | $10.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 01:05 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.951 | $1,522 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:35 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY NO | 0.935 | $11.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:34 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $10.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 10:45 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $10.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
3 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 2 | $21.9K | $0 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 2 | $11.7K | +$11.7K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | Other | 1 | $11.0K | +$11.0K |