| Jul 20, 02:26 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.730 | $4,591 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 02:26 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.734 | $61.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 01:00 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.722 | $5,259 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 12:58 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.647 | $11.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 07:43 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $70.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 07:34 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $2,970 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 12:01 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $8,620 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:29 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $7,332 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:15 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $5,995 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:15 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $10.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:15 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $10.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:14 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $21.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 07:05 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $20.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 01:38 AM | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,594 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 01:19 AM | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $1,892 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 01:19 AM | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $49.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 01:19 AM | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $3,084 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 07:22 AM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $4,325 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 12:31 AM | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $11.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 11:55 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? | BUY NO | 0.247 | $1,055 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jul 17, 08:36 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17? | BUY YES | 0.992 | $6,112 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 07:28 PM | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY YES | 0.732 | $1,055 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 07:11 PM | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $4,512 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 03:25 AM | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY YES | 0.829 | $2,895 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 03:02 AM | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY YES | 0.160 | $3,695 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 16, 03:02 AM | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY YES | 0.127 | $1,545 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 16, 02:56 AM | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY YES | 0.310 | $1,088 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 07:35 AM | Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY NO | 0.896 | $3,273 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 08:52 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY YES | 0.884 | $3,388 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 08:29 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $1,278 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 08:10 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY YES | 0.896 | $6,761 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 08:06 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY YES | 0.848 | $2,501 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 08:56 AM | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $1,264 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 08:07 AM | Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY YES | 0.946 | $1,270 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 06:56 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $1,052 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 04:12 AM | Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $2,102 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 12:19 AM | Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 03:12 AM | Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $5,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 03:10 AM | Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $8,852 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 03:08 AM | Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY YES | 0.237 | $2,177 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jul 9, 12:37 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $8,347 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 11:49 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY YES | 0.319 | $3,493 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 8, 08:48 AM | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $8,383 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 11:00 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $4,626 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 04:36 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $7,728 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 12:42 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.570 | $4,067 | —— |
| Jul 7, 12:36 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.494 | $7,051 | —— |
| Jul 6, 11:03 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $23.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 11:03 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $9,888 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 10:45 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $29.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 10:37 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.841 | $15.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 10:31 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.774 | $21.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:41 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.834 | $14.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:32 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $19.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:28 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $6,074 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:07 PM | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $394.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 08:13 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY YES | 0.919 | $13.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 10:36 AM | Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $2,870 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 08:09 PM | Will Jason Kelce be a groomsman at Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY YES | 0.909 | $29.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 02:12 PM | Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m? | BUY NO | 0.320 | $2,145 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 11:30 AM | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? | BUY NO | 0.745 | $3,336 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 09:02 AM | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.199 | $10.0K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 2, 09:17 AM | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? | BUY NO | 0.386 | $1,863 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 2, 02:38 AM | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? | BUY YES | 0.565 | $4,226 | —— |
| Jul 1, 12:17 AM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,111 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 12:02 AM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.948 | $1,237 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 11:57 PM | Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $8,421 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 11:56 PM | Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03? | BUY YES | 0.628 | $2,770 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 11:55 PM | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $9,942 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 11:55 PM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.925 | $1,226 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 09:31 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $3,106 | —— |
| Jun 30, 08:00 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.829 | $2,095 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 02:37 PM | SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $3,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 02:36 PM | SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $1,555 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 11:42 AM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $55.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 03:58 AM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.330 | $1,007 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 29, 10:53 PM | Will Donald Trump announce Sean O'Brien as the next United States Labor Secretary | BUY NO | 0.999 | $2,992 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 10:53 PM | Will Donald Trump announce Brandon Williams as the next United States Labor Secretary | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,690 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 10:53 PM | Will Donald Trump announce Glenn Youngkin as the next United States Labor Secretary | BUY NO | 0.999 | $3,683 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 10:53 PM | Will Donald Trump announce Vince Micone as the next United States Labor Secretary | BUY NO | 0.999 | $2,706 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 10:53 PM | Will Donald Trump announce no one as the next United States Labor Secretary in 2026 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 10:53 PM | Will Donald Trump announce Jonathan Berry as the next United States Labor Secretary | BUY NO | 0.999 | $2,808 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 10:53 PM | Will Donald Trump announce Bryan Slater as the next United States Labor Secretary | BUY NO | 0.999 | $3,343 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 10:52 PM | Will Donald Trump announce Andrew Puzder as the next United States Labor Secretary | BUY NO | 0.999 | $22.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 01:28 PM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.991 | $1,007 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 01:02 PM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.987 | $40.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 12:57 PM | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $43.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 01:16 AM | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY YES | 0.982 | $45.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 09:01 PM | Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.946 | $5,656 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 08:36 PM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.449 | $1,148 | —— |
| Jun 28, 06:33 AM | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $1,910 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 06:30 AM | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | BUY YES | 0.849 | $2,394 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 01:20 AM | 0x5ebe9eca | BUY NO | 0.988 | $7,171 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 07:33 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.947 | $16.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 10:21 PM | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $3,889 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 10:21 PM | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY NO | 0.909 | $1,890 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 10:21 PM | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY NO | 0.905 | $6,053 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 10:03 PM | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY NO | 0.913 | $15.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 09:35 PM | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY NO | 0.918 | $5,419 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 09:32 PM | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY NO | 0.872 | $4,090 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 08:32 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.941 | $35.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 03:48 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.951 | $64.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 10:47 PM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $74.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 04:57 PM | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.338 | $1,511 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 24, 09:10 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $1,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 09:03 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.917 | $1,567 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 09:03 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.913 | $2,276 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 09:02 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.869 | $4,360 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 09:02 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.694 | $1,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 06:24 AM | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.223 | $1,331 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 24, 06:18 AM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.080 | $1,264 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 24, 06:17 AM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.149 | $2,483 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 23, 09:00 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $27.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 08:41 PM | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $3,586 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 08:40 PM | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $3,551 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 08:36 PM | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $2,883 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 08:36 PM | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $4,379 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 08:35 PM | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.992 | $6,404 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 09:09 AM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $36.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 09:09 AM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.993 | $1,066 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 08:04 AM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.260 | $7,005 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 22, 08:32 AM | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $7,922 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 08:17 AM | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.977 | $1,517 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 08:17 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.991 | $1,740 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 10:53 AM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $10.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 08:00 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,710 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:52 AM | 0x6fa13f31 | BUY YES | 0.995 | $5,904 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:52 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $2,895 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:51 AM | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $4,929 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:51 AM | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $1,082 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:01 AM | Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY NO | 0.400 | $1,979 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 21, 07:01 AM | Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY YES | 0.400 | $1,602 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 20, 07:24 PM | 0x6fa13f31 | SELL YES | 0.964 | $3,460 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 10:38 PM | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY YES | 0.843 | $4,464 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 10:36 PM | 0x19e84fcc | BUY YES | 0.994 | $1,806 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 08:22 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $6,441 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 08:14 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY NO | 0.380 | $1,027 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 08:14 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY NO | 0.620 | $1,470 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 10:37 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.142 | $14.9K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 10:20 PM | 0x876047c0 | BUY NO | 0.905 | $2,169 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:10 PM | Will Trump announce Chris Stewart as the next Director of National Intelligence? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 07:01 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.038 | $2,568 | —— |
| Jun 11, 03:34 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.953 | $6,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:34 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.957 | $2,523 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:09 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,656 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 04:24 PM | 0x65a6536a | BUY NO | 0.935 | $1,242 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 04:15 PM | 0x65a6536a | BUY NO | 0.990 | $7,898 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 04:15 PM | 0x65a6536a | BUY NO | 0.978 | $3,695 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 03:08 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.950 | $42.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 01:10 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.949 | $7,102 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 07:24 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $4,634 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:45 AM | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.949 | $30.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:39 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.870 | $21.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 12:58 AM | Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $1,115 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 12:25 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.865 | $15.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:43 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.879 | $1,999 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 10:58 AM | Exact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $8,371 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 10:48 AM | Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $2,898 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 10:46 AM | Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $5,915 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 10:16 AM | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY YES | 0.385 | $2,358 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 03:22 AM | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.546 | $2,777 | —— |
| Jun 8, 03:19 AM | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $9,312 | —— |
| Jun 7, 09:07 PM | Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $1,547 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 09:06 PM | Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.970 | $1,530 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:49 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.141 | $1,062 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 10:34 AM | 0x1b0abcc3 | BUY NO | 0.990 | $9,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 05:04 AM | 0xccefe555 | BUY YES | 0.989 | $5,560 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 05:04 AM | 0x1b0abcc3 | BUY NO | 0.989 | $4,345 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:51 PM | 0x0e2e5c01 | BUY NO | 0.968 | $23.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:51 PM | 0xac084d65 | BUY YES | 0.964 | $20.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:51 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.971 | $13.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:51 PM | 0x1b0abcc3 | BUY NO | 0.978 | $12.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:51 PM | 0xccefe555 | BUY YES | 0.972 | $7,194 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 05:17 PM | Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $1,267 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:38 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.610 | $7,746 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:41 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.959 | $2,161 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:40 PM | 0xccefe555 | BUY YES | 0.894 | $1,569 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:39 PM | 0xccefe555 | BUY YES | 0.844 | $1,179 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:39 PM | 0xac084d65 | BUY YES | 0.834 | $4,492 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:39 PM | 0x0e2e5c01 | BUY NO | 0.826 | $1,638 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:39 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.958 | $3,301 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 11:06 PM | 0x583a5056 | BUY NO | 0.385 | $1,685 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 5, 01:57 AM | 0xe0becaf7 | BUY YES | 0.450 | $2,717 | —— |
| Jun 5, 01:57 AM | 0x9af5f845 | BUY YES | 0.450 | $2,700 | —— |
| Jun 5, 01:57 AM | 0xa68b0a77 | BUY NO | 0.449 | $3,210 | —— |
| Jun 4, 11:13 PM | 0xccefe555 | BUY YES | 0.676 | $1,347 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 11:13 PM | 0x0e2e5c01 | BUY NO | 0.672 | $4,907 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 11:13 PM | 0xac084d65 | BUY YES | 0.674 | $7,008 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 09:55 AM | 0x0e2e5c01 | BUY NO | 0.700 | $7,375 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 09:55 AM | 0xac084d65 | BUY YES | 0.698 | $1,834 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 06:05 AM | Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY NO | 0.893 | $1,443 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:25 PM | 0xac084d65 | BUY YES | 0.590 | $2,294 | —— |
| Jun 3, 11:17 PM | 0x9af5f845 | BUY YES | 0.220 | $2,039 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 3, 11:14 PM | 0x0e2e5c01 | BUY NO | 0.594 | $4,981 | —— |
| Jun 3, 10:14 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.250 | $1,466 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 3, 10:11 PM | Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? | BUY YES | 0.947 | $2,268 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 01:07 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $99.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 01:07 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $99.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 01:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $99.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 01:05 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $99.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |