Back to whale feed
4UW15AS
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xdc47…a1ea with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
+224%
historical realized
Win rate
28.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$66.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · 224% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$66.6K
avg $11.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$56.3K / $10.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 02:25 PM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,693 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:49 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $38.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:18 AM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,370 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:07 AM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $4,567 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:10 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $10.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 04:25 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $8,902 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
3 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 3 | $58.0K | +$37.4K |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Politics | 2 | $6,937 | +$6,937 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Politics | 1 | $1,693 | +$1,693 |