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jimbobianthethird
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x61e7…6e8b with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
69
lifetime
PnL per $
-0%
historical realized
Win rate
43.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$294.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 69 resolved trades · -0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
181
Distinct markets
33
Volume (90d)
$770.3K
avg $4,256 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$376.9K / $393.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 181 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 01:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.859 | $4,345 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 01:21 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.494 | $3,455 | — |
| Jun 12, 07:40 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL YES | 0.479 | $3,545 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.621 | $4,412 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:02 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.628 | $4,460 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:50 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL YES | 0.499 | $3,694 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:49 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.739 | $2,293 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:49 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.630 | $2,986 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:49 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.549 | $6,184 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:47 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.503 | $10,000 | — |
| Jun 12, 06:31 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.485 | $3,500 | — |
| Jun 12, 04:50 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.472 | $5,315 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:41 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.623 | $10,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:32 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.358 | $4,486 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 03:07 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.655 | $4,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:12 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL YES | 0.440 | $3,962 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:19 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $17.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:15 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.470 | $1,880 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 07:50 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.509 | $3,362 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:40 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.290 | $10.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 02:52 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.158 | $5,313 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:33 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $3,477 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 8, 07:01 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.287 | $3,134 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 10:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.310 | $1,990 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 05:17 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.320 | $2,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 05:16 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.428 | $2,000 | — |
| Jun 7, 01:21 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.160 | $1,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 11:34 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.335 | $2,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 11:28 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.180 | $1,501 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 09:57 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.173 | $1,500 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 08:41 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.311 | $2,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 06:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.303 | $3,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 05:30 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.339 | $1,792 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 03:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.458 | $1,600 | — |
| Jun 6, 02:05 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.216 | $1,500 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 6, 02:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.339 | $7,783 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 02:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.350 | $1,217 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 04:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.386 | $2,888 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:46 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.230 | $1,500 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 2, 08:07 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.250 | $1,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 2, 02:24 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.377 | $2,258 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 01:45 AM | 0x9bdb4d01 | SELL NO | 0.961 | $1,036 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 01:45 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.658 | $3,953 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 01:09 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.644 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 01:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.498 | $2,000 | — |
| Jun 2, 01:07 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.160 | $1,500 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 2, 01:01 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.350 | $1,030 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 12:49 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL NO | 0.800 | $1,947 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 12:31 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.377 | $1,122 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:29 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.246 | $2,264 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 07:42 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.420 | $5,000 | — |
| Jun 1, 07:13 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.250 | $1,872 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 07:12 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.250 | $2,496 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 07:40 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.260 | $2,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 03:06 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL NO | 0.747 | $1,891 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 10:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.393 | $2,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 31, 10:39 PM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.903 | $2,574 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 10:13 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.252 | $2,721 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 10:10 PM | 0xbeab8314 | SELL NO | 0.991 | $19.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 08:53 PM | 0xbeab8314 | SELL NO | 0.990 | $7,356 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 06:58 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.417 | $8,300 | — |
| May 31, 06:57 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $8,323 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 05:31 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.300 | $3,100 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 31, 05:25 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.292 | $7,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 31, 05:18 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.290 | $1,500 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 31, 05:16 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.520 | $3,588 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 05:15 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.398 | $3,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 31, 05:08 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.631 | $2,977 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 04:30 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.390 | $2,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 31, 04:20 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.281 | $1,500 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 31, 03:51 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL NO | 0.660 | $1,092 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:50 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.978 | $8,300 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:50 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL NO | 0.626 | $1,308 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:27 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL NO | 0.635 | $1,384 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 05:08 AM | 0xbeab8314 | BUY NO | 0.945 | $26.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 05:03 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.435 | $3,000 | — |
| May 30, 04:56 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY NO | 0.551 | $6,000 | — |
| May 30, 03:37 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.614 | $1,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:39 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.544 | $4,500 | — |
| May 30, 12:25 AM | 0x59a37ea3 | SELL NO | 0.991 | $2,641 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 05:07 PM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.768 | $3,151 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 09:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.875 | $7,281 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 08:32 PM | 0x35c73eb4 | SELL NO | 0.492 | $1,064 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 05:42 PM | 0x59a37ea3 | SELL NO | 0.574 | $1,592 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 07:20 AM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.622 | $3,110 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 07:13 AM | 0x59a37ea3 | SELL NO | 0.649 | $2,352 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 06:59 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.505 | $3,675 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 06:48 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.518 | $1,613 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 06:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.550 | $3,300 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 06:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.551 | $2,203 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 05:50 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.550 | $2,200 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 05:45 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.555 | $2,205 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 05:20 AM | 0x59a37ea3 | SELL NO | 0.717 | $2,528 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 07:25 PM | 0x6fa13f31 | SELL NO | 0.238 | $1,464 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 07:02 AM | 0x59a37ea3 | BUY NO | 0.593 | $1,780 | — |
| May 25, 06:59 AM | 0x96d62023 | BUY NO | 0.220 | $3,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 25, 06:58 AM | 0x59a37ea3 | BUY NO | 0.590 | $3,000 | — |
| May 25, 06:53 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $3,641 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:12 AM | 0x35c73eb4 | SELL NO | 0.410 | $2,713 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 11:52 PM | 0x35c73eb4 | SELL NO | 0.423 | $1,583 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 09:45 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.781 | $7,800 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 08:56 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? | SELL YES | 0.550 | $1,571 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 08:55 PM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.681 | $5,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 06:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $7,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 06:04 PM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.650 | $3,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 05:30 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.620 | $12.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 05:05 PM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL NO | 0.945 | $5,248 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:02 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $17.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 03:43 PM | 0x35c73eb4 | SELL NO | 0.311 | $2,288 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:12 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL NO | 0.698 | $4,138 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 01:47 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.490 | $2,400 | — |
| May 24, 01:00 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL NO | 0.716 | $2,385 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 12:47 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.451 | $8,400 | — |
| May 23, 05:36 PM | 0x6fa13f31 | BUY NO | 0.320 | $1,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 03:02 PM | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY YES | 0.236 | $2,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 23, 02:17 PM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL NO | 0.758 | $4,211 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 02:07 PM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL NO | 0.746 | $8,287 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 02:47 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $4,200 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 01:55 AM | 0x258031a5 | SELL NO | 0.430 | $4,154 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 06:01 PM | 0x35c73eb4 | BUY NO | 0.670 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 05:46 PM | 0x35c73eb4 | BUY NO | 0.490 | $3,499 | — |
| May 22, 09:53 AM | 0x96d62023 | BUY NO | 0.564 | $2,500 | — |
| May 22, 09:44 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $1,807 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 09:39 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.744 | $13.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 09:35 AM | 0x258031a5 | BUY NO | 0.230 | $2,000 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 22, 07:43 AM | 0x35c73eb4 | BUY NO | 0.590 | $4,000 | — |
| May 22, 07:35 AM | 0x6fa13f31 | BUY NO | 0.375 | $2,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 22, 07:34 AM | 0x258031a5 | BUY NO | 0.210 | $1,500 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 22, 07:05 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL NO | 0.690 | $2,364 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 06:54 AM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL NO | 0.886 | $10.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 09:16 AM | 0x35c73eb4 | BUY NO | 0.505 | $5,500 | — |
| May 21, 07:01 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.942 | $5,589 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 06:54 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.958 | $5,680 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:31 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL NO | 0.698 | $2,797 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 09:08 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL NO | 0.680 | $3,783 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 01:45 AM | 0x098afead | BUY NO | 0.860 | $4,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:45 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $1,854 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 07:36 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.360 | $1,723 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 06:42 PM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY NO | 0.651 | $7,400 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:41 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.702 | $7,382 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 08:07 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.638 | $8,200 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:55 PM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY NO | 0.745 | $7,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:27 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.638 | $6,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:17 PM | 0xa96e7118 | SELL NO | 0.927 | $7,719 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 07:16 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.707 | $10,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:14 PM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.418 | $2,000 | — |
| May 18, 07:14 PM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY NO | 0.746 | $10,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:09 PM | 0x59a37ea3 | SELL NO | 0.836 | $5,210 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 05:13 PM | 0x59a37ea3 | SELL NO | 0.859 | $3,420 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 04:38 PM | 0x59a37ea3 | SELL NO | 0.863 | $2,936 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 05:15 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $10,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 08:58 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL YES | 0.576 | $8,193 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:53 PM | 0x2bef40a1 | SELL NO | 0.850 | $3,924 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 09:05 AM | 0x20f68095 | SELL YES | 0.797 | $4,938 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 09:04 AM | 0x2bef40a1 | SELL NO | 0.884 | $10.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:39 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL YES | 0.570 | $2,559 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 09:52 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL YES | 0.526 | $1,051 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 04:31 PM | 0x4bab360a | SELL YES | 0.558 | $1,675 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 05:49 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY YES | 0.521 | $5,000 | — |
| May 14, 07:47 PM | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.720 | $5,737 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 03:27 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY YES | 0.533 | $7,523 | — |
| May 14, 03:21 AM | 0x20f68095 | BUY YES | 0.696 | $2,700 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 12:57 AM | 0x2bef40a1 | SELL NO | 0.756 | $4,155 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 08:53 PM | 0x2bef40a1 | SELL NO | 0.757 | $5,548 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 04:25 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL NO | 0.630 | $1,075 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 07:50 AM | 0xc6ddb19f | BUY YES | 0.422 | $1,664 | — |
| May 12, 03:35 AM | 0x59a37ea3 | SELL YES | 0.423 | $1,762 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 03:34 AM | 0x59a37ea3 | BUY YES | 0.501 | $2,087 | — |
| May 12, 02:02 AM | 0x20f68095 | BUY YES | 0.648 | $1,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 08:27 PM | 0xa96e7118 | BUY NO | 0.783 | $3,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 02:23 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $1,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 01:42 AM | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.565 | $4,500 | — |
| May 10, 01:40 AM | 0xa96e7118 | BUY NO | 0.668 | $3,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 01:38 AM | 0x59a37ea3 | BUY NO | 0.406 | $3,900 | — |
| May 10, 01:34 AM | 0x2bef40a1 | BUY NO | 0.546 | $16.0K | — |
| May 10, 01:24 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.500 | $9,868 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 10:07 AM | 0x4bab360a | SELL NO | 0.610 | $4,786 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 09:15 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.446 | $2,937 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 08:53 AM | 0x70d706fe | SELL YES | 0.148 | $1,348 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 08:53 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.280 | $4,853 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 08:42 PM | 0x70d706fe | BUY YES | 0.219 | $1,600 | Cheap band — no rep |
Markets active in
33 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6114a8a3 | — | 20 | $65.2K | $-10,960 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Other | 17 | $60.3K | +$5,833 |
| 0xbeab8314 | — | 3 | $53.3K | $-1,264 |
| 0x4ba34832 | — | 7 | $52.7K | $-3,937 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 11 | $51.8K | +$12.8K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 7 | $48.3K | $-9,258 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 4 | $40.7K | $-708 |
| 0x2bef40a1 | — | 5 | $40.1K | $-8,123 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Other | 8 | $39.9K | +$26.0K |
| 0x4bab360a | — | 9 | $34.5K | $-5,464 |
| 0x59a37ea3 | — | 12 | $33.2K | $-11,674 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Other | 4 | $31.4K | $-9,838 |
| 0xb7dd41c1 | — | 8 | $30.7K | $-2,341 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Tech | 8 | $25.3K | $-4,312 |
| 0x35c73eb4 | — | 8 | $22.6K | +$7,350 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Other | 6 | $17.5K | $-6,258 |
| 0x366f8964 | — | 5 | $16.8K | $-835 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Tech | 4 | $14.6K | $-263 |
| 0xa96e7118 | — | 3 | $13.7K | $-1,719 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Other | 6 | $13.6K | $-1,622 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Finance | 2 | $10.2K | $-1,237 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Other | 4 | $9,410 | +$590 |
| 0x20f68095 | — | 3 | $9,138 | $-738 |
| 0x258031a5 | — | 3 | $7,654 | $-654 |
| 0x96d62023 | — | 2 | $5,500 | +$5,500 |
| 0x6fa13f31 | — | 3 | $4,464 | +$1,536 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | Other | 2 | $4,293 | $-293 |
| 0x098afead | — | 1 | $4,000 | +$4,000 |
| 0x70d706fe | — | 2 | $2,948 | +$252 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Finance | 1 | $2,000 | +$2,000 |
Showing top 30 by volume.