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OTTF
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2ece…acf2 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
30
lifetime
PnL per $
-43%
historical realized
Win rate
47.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$237.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 30 resolved trades · -43% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
37
Distinct markets
14
Volume (90d)
$297.6K
avg $8,044 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$152.9K / $144.7K
net direction
Recent trades
last 37 · 90d windowMarkets active in
14 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 6 | $62.7K | $-1,130 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Other | 7 | $55.7K | +$8,484 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Other | 4 | $55.6K | $-13,290 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Other | 2 | $40.5K | $-857 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Other | 4 | $30.9K | +$6,940 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | Other | 3 | $15.0K | $-4,970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Other | 3 | $13.4K | $-217 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 1 | $10.6K | +$10.6K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | Other | 1 | $3,300 | +$3,300 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Other | 2 | $3,174 | $-448 |
| 0x4c5701bc | — | 1 | $2,397 | $-2,397 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,811 | +$1,811 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,500 | +$1,500 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,097 | $-1,097 |