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JohnVarvatos
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x43ec…afef with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-34%
historical realized
Win rate
59.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$100.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -34% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
11
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$105.0K
avg $9,543 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$93.9K / $11.0K
net direction
Recent trades
last 11 · 90d windowMarkets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 1 | $30.0K | +$30.0K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Other | 4 | $29.2K | +$29.2K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Other | 2 | $21.0K | $-1,046 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 2 | $20.0K | +$20.0K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Other | 1 | $2,658 | +$2,658 |
| 0x9a7a8163 | — | 1 | $2,070 | +$2,070 |