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0x58820cFc9b65F8b3b87bF8a79D8C6D79b1BA55a2-1774143786264

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5882…55a2 with our methodology badges per row.

0x58820cfc9b65f8b3b87bf8a79d8c6d79b1ba55a2·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
28
lifetime
PnL per $
+171%
historical realized
Win rate
38.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$130.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
49
Distinct markets
15
Volume (90d)
$219.4K
avg $4,478 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$135.0K / $84.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 49 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 22, 07:45 AMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL YES0.926$2,444— (SELL)
Jun 12, 06:47 AM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.730$1,079Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:44 AM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.730$1,752Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:22 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.888$34.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 11:24 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.870$1,078Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:48 PMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.740$1,402— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.888$20.9K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:46 PMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.747$1,888— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:45 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.888$13.9K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:55 AMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL NO0.806$1,927— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.973$1,946Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:06 PMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?BUY YES0.949$1,139Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 11:51 AMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL NO0.810$1,147— (SELL)
Jun 10, 03:48 AMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.900$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 09:22 AMWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?SELL NO0.770$1,536— (SELL)
Jun 9, 07:38 AMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY YES0.905$1,539Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 07:00 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.950$4,940Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 05:55 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.950$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 04:07 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.950$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 09:01 PMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY NO0.811$1,800Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 06:20 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.960$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 10:47 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.930$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 08:48 PMIran closes its airspace by June 8?SELL NO0.157$2,363— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:52 PM0x366f8964SELL NO0.998$7,223— (SELL)
Jun 7, 05:02 AMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.900$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 07:53 AMIran closes its airspace by June 8?BUY NO0.960$1,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 10:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.910$2,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 10:28 PM0x65f5c4e3BUY NO0.940$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 10:38 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.950$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 10:31 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.950$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 05:09 AM0x65f5c4e3BUY NO0.880$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 10:06 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.940$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 10:05 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.940$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 09:50 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.840$2,520Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 07:42 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.940$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 05:04 AM0x65f5c4e3BUY NO0.830$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:44 AM0x65f5c4e3BUY NO0.800$1,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:35 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.850$1,647— (SELL)
May 31, 09:35 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.850$24.2K— (SELL)
May 31, 08:19 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.843$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 07:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.830$1,400Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 07:45 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.900$2,210Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 10:00 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.960$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 11:37 AM0xb7dd41c1SELL NO0.860$1,079— (SELL)
May 27, 06:51 AM0x5b4be999BUY NO0.415$1,530
May 20, 11:03 PM0xb7dd41c1SELL NO0.692$1,099— (SELL)
May 15, 07:57 PM0xaa145cf5SELL NO0.964$1,695— (SELL)
May 12, 06:55 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.850$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 12:12 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY NO0.840$1,468Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

15 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other14$106.9K+$37.3K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Other4$47.3K$-4,335
0x366f89647$27.4K+$13.0K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics4$6,791+$209
0x65f5c4e34$5,600+$5,600
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Other3$4,875$-1,275
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech2$3,983$-904
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Tech2$3,663$-1,063
0x6114a8a32$2,831+$2,831
0xb7dd41c12$2,178$-2,178
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other1$2,000+$2,000
0xaa145cf51$1,695$-1,695
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics1$1,536$-1,536
0x5b4be9991$1,530+$1,530
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics1$1,139+$1,139