| Jun 12, 06:47 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,079 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 06:44 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,752 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 06:22 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.888 | $34.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 11:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:48 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.740 | $1,402 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.888 | $20.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:46 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.747 | $1,888 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:45 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.888 | $13.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 09:55 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.806 | $1,927 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 09:33 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $1,946 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 08:06 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.949 | $1,139 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:51 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.810 | $1,147 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 03:48 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 09:22 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.770 | $1,536 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 07:38 AM | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY YES | 0.905 | $1,539 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 07:00 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:07 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:01 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.811 | $1,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 06:20 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $10,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:47 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:48 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL NO | 0.157 | $2,363 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:52 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $7,223 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 05:02 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 07:53 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $1,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 10:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $2,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 10:28 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 10:38 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 10:31 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 05:09 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:06 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:05 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:50 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $2,520 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 07:42 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 05:04 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:44 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 09:35 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $1,647 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 09:35 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.850 | $24.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 08:19 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.843 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 07:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 07:45 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $2,210 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 10:00 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:37 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $1,079 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 06:51 AM | 0x5b4be999 | BUY NO | 0.415 | $1,530 | —— |
| May 20, 11:03 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.692 | $1,099 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 07:57 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL NO | 0.964 | $1,695 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 06:55 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 12:12 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,468 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |