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Thomas58
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x6fca…05bc with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
+5%
historical realized
Win rate
34.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$303.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · 5% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
15
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$361.3K
avg $24.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$220.4K / $140.9K
net direction
Recent trades
last 15 · 90d windowMarkets active in
9 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Other | 3 | $139.0K | $-46,654 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 2 | $106.0K | +$79.6K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 1 | $29.4K | +$29.4K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Other | 2 | $28.1K | +$10.5K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 2 | $18.1K | +$1,869 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Other | 1 | $16.3K | $-16,326 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Other | 1 | $12.7K | +$12.7K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Other | 2 | $6,492 | +$3,108 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Other | 1 | $5,200 | +$5,200 |