| Jun 13, 01:02 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $3,011 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 11:06 PM | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.932 | $1,894 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:43 PM | Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.500 | $3,202 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 08:02 PM | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.911 | $2,061 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:11 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.216 | $8,653 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 12, 06:53 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.199 | $4,734 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 06:37 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.193 | $4,091 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 06:22 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.189 | $3,421 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 06:18 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.179 | $3,009 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 06:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $4,665 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 06:05 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.168 | $1,773 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 06:03 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.167 | $1,353 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 06:01 PM | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.670 | $7,035 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 05:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.189 | $3,165 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 05:53 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.179 | $1,740 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 05:51 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.178 | $3,438 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 05:40 PM | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.943 | $5,525 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 10:46 PM | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $4,944 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:40 PM | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $10.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:23 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $87.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:22 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $43.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:46 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $8,576 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:45 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $9,763 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:44 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $25.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:41 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $8,433 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:39 PM | Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $1,116 | —— |
| Jun 10, 09:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $19.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 01:15 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $149.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 01:06 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $10.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:43 AM | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.878 | $1,333 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:23 AM | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $2,362 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:17 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $2,469 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:06 PM | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $2,628 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:05 PM | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,996 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:41 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $376.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 05:54 PM | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,318 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 05:12 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $85.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 05:16 PM | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,459 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:51 PM | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:49 PM | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $8,215 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:09 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.965 | $5,783 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 11:36 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $16.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 11:33 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $1,657 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 10:56 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $31.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 10:53 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $124.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:58 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $15.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:55 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $9,891 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:55 AM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,014 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:27 AM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $4,189 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 08:11 PM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $28.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 08:09 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $3,133 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 07:39 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,033 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 07:34 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $5,225 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 07:30 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $8,582 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:40 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,201 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:40 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,998 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:34 AM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $6,623 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:33 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,496 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:31 AM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:31 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:28 AM | Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:28 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:26 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $11.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:26 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $13.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:11 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $11.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 10:22 PM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $63.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:14 PM | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $1,794 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 04:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $16.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 01:56 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $9,843 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 01:56 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $2,249 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,557 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:19 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $32.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 10:29 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,933 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 11:57 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $1,588 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:34 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $9,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:30 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $3,347 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:29 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $3,272 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:26 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $1,038 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 06:13 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $19.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 06:22 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $45.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 07:54 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $173.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 7, 07:42 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.841 | $10.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 07:20 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.920 | $1,935 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 07:11 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.828 | $5,226 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 07:10 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $1,431 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 07:09 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $2,061 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 05:52 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.831 | $5,054 | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 05:50 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $13.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 05:50 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $3,225 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 06:46 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $465.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 06:45 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $454.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 06:39 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $6,566 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 05:57 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $89.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 02:15 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $74.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 23, 06:07 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $27.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 05:36 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $159.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 05:34 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,789 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 12:38 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $49.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 12:38 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $49.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 12:37 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $2,677 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 12:36 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $1,733 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 10:03 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,836 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 09:35 PM | Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 22? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $1,990 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 09:01 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $1,489 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 08:57 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,602 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 08:54 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $12.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 08:54 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $12.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 01:25 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.741 | $12.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 20, 08:32 PM | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $7,458 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 08:31 PM | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $3,441 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 08:31 PM | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $1,910 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 06:33 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $4,778 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 05:14 AM | Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $3,937 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 13, 03:53 PM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY NO | 0.929 | $1,365 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 13, 03:53 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.877 | $1,259 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 10:27 PM | Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,584 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 07:53 PM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $3,483 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 07:31 PM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $4,968 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 07:26 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.904 | $2,569 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 07:20 PM | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,967 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 05:12 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $3,066 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 05:11 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,109 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 04:44 PM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $2,133 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 04:39 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.916 | $5,087 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 06:29 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.857 | $3,112 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 06:22 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $2,509 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 06:17 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | SELL NO | 0.920 | $2,474 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 06:04 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $2,447 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 06:01 AM | 0x6b5277be | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,247 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 04:43 PM | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.968 | $1,848 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 01:04 AM | 0x4c5701bc | SELL YES | 0.994 | $9,852 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 12:16 AM | 0xbc0a2d49 | BUY YES | 0.987 | $2,962 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:05 PM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.940 | $8,580 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:05 PM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.945 | $1,339 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:05 PM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.941 | $2,558 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 10:54 PM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.890 | $1,978 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 10:53 PM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.900 | $3,337 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 10:53 PM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY YES | 0.904 | $1,722 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 10:50 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $3,162 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 04:02 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $60.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:50 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $32.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:50 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $4,566 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:49 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $2,991 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:49 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $36.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:49 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $3,840 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:48 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.978 | $1,188 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:48 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.979 | $2,930 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:48 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.977 | $12.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:48 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.974 | $2,807 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:48 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.970 | $7,781 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:47 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.966 | $4,720 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:47 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.965 | $14.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:43 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.965 | $4,767 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:42 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.964 | $3,140 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:27 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.964 | $11.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:13 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $5,222 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 03:12 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $9,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 05:29 PM | 0x4c5701bc | BUY NO | 0.989 | $25.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 04:12 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $10.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 3, 04:11 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $8,013 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 02:16 AM | 0xae84617a | BUY NO | 0.999 | $5,373 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 31, 12:43 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL YES | 0.680 | $2,040 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 26, 09:14 PM | 0x61ce3773 | BUY NO | 0.992 | $9,920 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 07:44 PM | 0x61ce3773 | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,015 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |