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Batundi

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9604…fc1d with our methodology badges per row.

0x9604b357e8307b0ccc8eb5812725d2b112c6fc1d·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
21
lifetime
PnL per $
-8%
historical realized
Win rate
85.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$495.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 21 resolved trades · -8% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
32
Distinct markets
17
Volume (90d)
$613.1K
avg $19.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$605.4K / $7,658
net direction

Recent trades

last 32 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 10, 11:39 PMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.940$4,424Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 07:20 PMIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?BUY NO0.955$8,202Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:38 AMWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL YES0.120$6,456— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:36 AMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?BUY YES0.730$1,270Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:35 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL YES0.017$1,202— (SELL)
Jun 8, 10:57 PMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?BUY YES0.810$4,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:56 PMIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?BUY NO0.858$26.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:28 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.950$3,226Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:28 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.950$66.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:24 PMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.940$8,536Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:23 PMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.981$4,125Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 11:34 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.969$1,178Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 11:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.970$96.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 12:53 AMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.920$4,977Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 12:51 AMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.870$2,455Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 11:02 PMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.936$78.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 09:17 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.934$3,473Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 02:52 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.990$101.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:46 PMGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.813$3,248Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:41 PMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?BUY NO0.960$2,880Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:41 PMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?BUY NO0.959$8,241Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:40 PMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?BUY NO0.959$8,541Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:06 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.990$11.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:01 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.638$1,960Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:01 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.990$18.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:00 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.740$14.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:44 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.890$10.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:43 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.897$49.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 09:09 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.826$29.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 09:09 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.403$3,504—
Apr 9, 11:18 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.880$23.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 01:26 PM0xc5300759BUY NO0.624$4,076Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

17 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other2$115.7K+$115.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Other3$99.3K+$99.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other4$90.6K+$90.6K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Other2$81.9K+$81.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other2$69.9K+$69.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Other2$52.5K+$52.5K
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Tech1$26.5K+$26.5K
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?Crypto3$19.7K+$19.7K
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Other3$15.4K+$15.4K
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other2$9,102+$9,102
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Tech1$8,202+$8,202
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Other1$6,456$-6,456
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Crypto2$5,770+$5,770
0xc5300759—1$4,076+$4,076
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Other1$3,504+$3,504
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Tech1$3,248+$3,248
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Other1$1,202$-1,202