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sakaili515

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x942a…aedc with our methodology badges per row.

0x942a9306a554ab0b94d079dd60a6df7ad702aedc·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
22
lifetime
PnL per $
+389%
historical realized
Win rate
64.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$141.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
25
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$152.3K
avg $6,090 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$87.6K / $64.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 25 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 11, 03:36 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?SELL YES0.933$8,588— (SELL)
Jun 11, 02:59 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.966$9,791— (SELL)
Jun 10, 01:40 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.960$9,735Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 11:40 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY YES0.940$5,996Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 04:41 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY YES0.937$2,434Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 03:22 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL NO0.650$3,713— (SELL)
Jun 9, 03:22 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.760$5,244— (SELL)
Jun 9, 01:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.895$10.2K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 05:09 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY NO0.700$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 05:09 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.870$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 05:09 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.950$10.3K— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:51 PMIran closes its airspace by June 8?BUY NO0.498$2,000
Jun 7, 07:50 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.850$2,015— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:34 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.860$2,038Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:32 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.850$2,001— (SELL)
Jun 7, 02:52 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.940$1,729Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 02:23 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.940$8,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 02:23 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.994$10.7K— (SELL)
Jun 1, 02:19 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.950$9,855Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 02:17 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.940$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 02:16 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.677$2,668Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:28 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.800$10.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 04:01 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL NO0.966$1,050— (SELL)
May 26, 06:20 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL NO0.940$1,006— (SELL)
May 26, 01:49 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.920$13.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

9 markets · sorted by volume