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Wogg

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x3a82…07aa with our methodology badges per row.

0x3a82d1138d68551157e5481f91604898002707aa·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
22
lifetime
PnL per $
+103%
historical realized
Win rate
56.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$216.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
27
Distinct markets
14
Volume (90d)
$244.5K
avg $9,056 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$150.0K / $94.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 27 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 11, 05:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.853$17.9K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 11:58 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.956$20.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 05:19 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?BUY NO0.996$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 04:06 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.910$20.8K— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.960$21.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 06:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.997$21.9K— (SELL)
Jun 4, 04:07 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.960$21.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 07:00 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?BUY NO0.994$21.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 11:17 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.999$16.6K— (SELL)
May 31, 03:53 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY NO0.973$3,684Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:49 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?BUY NO0.977$3,600Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 06:56 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?BUY NO0.930$3,356Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 07:42 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?BUY NO0.962$3,372Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 05:42 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?SELL NO0.999$3,372— (SELL)
May 27, 06:26 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?BUY NO0.970$3,276Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 06:40 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.900$2,878Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:21 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.880$4,315Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:20 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?SELL NO0.966$4,315— (SELL)
May 19, 01:18 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.962$4,300Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 09:27 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.890$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:55 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.900$7,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 01:09 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.950$6,160— (SELL)
May 18, 12:56 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.957$5,100Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 12:55 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.950$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 06:51 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.670$2,372— (SELL)
May 11, 06:45 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.680$1,023— (SELL)
May 10, 07:48 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.500$1,000—

Markets active in

14 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other4$80.7K+$3,315
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Other2$42.9K$-931
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other4$30.9K$-2,320
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Other1$21.0K+$21.0K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Tech3$12.4K+$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Other2$8,615$-15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Other2$6,648$-96
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto3$4,395$-2,395
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Other1$3,684+$3,684
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Other1$3,600+$3,600
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Other1$3,372+$3,372
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Other1$3,356+$3,356
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other1$2,878+$2,878