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loliti

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe1e1…d250 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe1e105257812992f0b9aba92a17e33f36e89d250·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
+90%
historical realized
Win rate
98.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$138.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · 90% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
13
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$244.5K
avg $18.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$217.3K / $27.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 13 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 11, 05:47 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?SELL NO0.732$2,422— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:47 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.817$15.8K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:44 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.859$8,981— (SELL)
Jun 11, 11:25 AMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?BUY NO0.956$1,416Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 07:54 PMIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?BUY NO0.974$18.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 07:38 PMIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?BUY NO0.976$60.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 06:03 PMIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?BUY NO0.979$15.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 05:08 PMIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?BUY NO0.977$16.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 07:11 PMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY NO0.976$28.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 12:29 PMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY NO0.972$30.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:59 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.975$23.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:58 AMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.972$14.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 03:28 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?BUY NO0.824$8,035Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

8 markets · sorted by volume