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badbbd
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x59c4…b517 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
36
lifetime
PnL per $
-42%
historical realized
Win rate
53.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.99M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 36 resolved trades · -42% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
36
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$1.99M
avg $55.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.48M / $508.6K
net direction
Recent trades
last 36 · 90d windowMarkets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 6 | $729.7K | $-113,078 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Other | 5 | $547.4K | +$547.4K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 14 | $408.2K | +$408.2K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Tech | 7 | $228.7K | +$128.5K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Other | 2 | $48.8K | $-1,227 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | Tech | 2 | $24.1K | $-57 |