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mcorleone

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9e7e…3e1d with our methodology badges per row.

0x9e7e57fbc4dd03dc7b0eea98f1f01bc100083e1d·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
28
lifetime
PnL per $
+200%
historical realized
Win rate
77.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$101.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
42
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$133.8K
avg $3,185 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$60.5K / $73.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 42 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 11:58 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.480$1,553— (SELL)
Jun 13, 11:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.764$4,464— (SELL)
Jun 13, 11:17 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.764$2,313— (SELL)
Jun 13, 11:13 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.540$1,217— (SELL)
Jun 13, 11:12 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.820$2,100— (SELL)
Jun 13, 11:10 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.831$34.8K— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:51 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?SELL NO0.349$2,324— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:46 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.550$1,467— (SELL)
Jun 8, 01:05 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?BUY NO0.580$2,635
Jun 8, 07:43 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.850$4,145Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 02:44 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.750$3,750Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 09:55 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?BUY YES0.510$1,466
Jun 3, 10:18 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.949$2,848Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 10:17 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.933$1,248Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 10:15 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.914$3,029Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:24 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.692$2,424Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:23 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.670$2,712Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:12 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.800$1,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:10 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.839$1,661Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:29 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY YES0.569$1,193
Jun 3, 05:06 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.964$9,640— (SELL)
May 29, 02:16 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.640$4,727Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:36 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.510$1,020— (SELL)
May 28, 02:35 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.740$1,085— (SELL)
May 28, 02:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.640$4,528— (SELL)
May 28, 02:29 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.870$1,740Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:29 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.554$2,100— (SELL)
May 28, 05:50 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.790$1,102Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 11:16 PMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL YES0.158$1,345— (SELL)
May 24, 09:44 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.680$3,247Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 01:25 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.705$1,287Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 01:26 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.700$5,518Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 01:21 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.699$3,024Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 01:21 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.693$1,286Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:16 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.652$2,426Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 03:25 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.645$3,061Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 09:03 AMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY YES0.418$1,100
Mar 23, 12:33 PMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.330$1,048Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 23, 10:59 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.382$1,154Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 23, 07:25 AMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY YES0.381$1,041Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 23, 07:23 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.830$1,660— (SELL)
Mar 23, 03:24 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.830$1,680— (SELL)

Markets active in

10 markets · sorted by volume