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0xd640…480c

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd640…480c with our methodology badges per row.

0xd640bffba986c2de1a512c0e25a3e37805cd480c·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
-64%
historical realized
Win rate
31.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$270.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 17 resolved trades · -64% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$270.8K
avg $15.9K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$166.9K / $103.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 12, 08:43 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.848$4,380Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 03:40 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.951$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:45 AMIran closes its airspace by June 8?SELL YES0.999$6,171— (SELL)
Jun 7, 05:01 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.950$62.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 04:24 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.995$58.1K— (SELL)
Jun 4, 08:41 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.957$7,996Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 08:28 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.947$11.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 10:20 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.940$35.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 07:40 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.999$33.8K— (SELL)
May 26, 10:03 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.740$4,450Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 10:02 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL NO0.988$4,450— (SELL)
May 26, 12:44 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL NO0.986$1,385— (SELL)
May 24, 07:26 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.650$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 12:16 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.820$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 08:38 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.930$1,450Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 08:03 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.930$3,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 08:03 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.940$5,500Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume