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m3tuna

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4f9e…9aa0 with our methodology badges per row.

0x4f9eedcc32b40633a04fb45b8149e1b600479aa0·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
34
lifetime
PnL per $
-2%
historical realized
Win rate
31.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$281.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 34 resolved trades · -2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
34
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$281.9K
avg $8,291 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$194.7K / $87.1K
net direction

Recent trades

last 34 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 12, 04:55 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.854$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:55 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.564$6,264— (SELL)
Jun 12, 04:53 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.848$6,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:52 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.552$6,193— (SELL)
Jun 12, 04:49 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.845$4,400Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:49 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.560$4,400— (SELL)
Jun 12, 04:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.844$4,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:47 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.562$4,619— (SELL)
Jun 11, 11:28 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.950$1,177Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:05 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.860$8,400Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 08:00 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.819$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 08:00 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.940$10,000— (SELL)
Jun 7, 03:52 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.860$8,149Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 03:51 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.995$8,149— (SELL)
Jun 6, 09:25 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.790$5,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 09:24 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.984$5,500— (SELL)
Jun 5, 09:07 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.870$24.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 09:07 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.977$24.1K— (SELL)
Jun 5, 09:00 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.870$17.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 08:59 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.979$10.2K— (SELL)
Jun 5, 08:58 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL NO0.979$7,800— (SELL)
Jun 3, 09:53 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.870$14.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:51 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.955$1,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.860$7,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:46 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.955$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:44 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.953$8,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:40 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.860$4,678Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 09:40 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.870$15.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 07:04 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.950$22.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 06:00 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.930$13.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:58 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.670$1,901Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:44 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.690$2,029Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:43 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.890$1,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:41 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.890$1,011Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume