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TimothyChalamet888

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x785f…c1b5 with our methodology badges per row.

0x785fd6221d9987a8a401ea0ee3f5d65e26b6c1b5·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
25
lifetime
PnL per $
+161%
historical realized
Win rate
62.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$304.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
39
Distinct markets
23
Volume (90d)
$387.5K
avg $9,937 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$349.8K / $37.8K
net direction

Recent trades

last 39 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 3, 01:14 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.900$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 01:03 AMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?SELL YES0.228$2,061— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:56 AMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.886$8,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 07:44 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.877$9,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 05:52 PMWill England win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.932$8,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:35 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.790$2,284Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:50 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.870$9,976Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 06:57 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.929$9,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:43 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.820$9,929Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 08:54 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.960$9,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 08:52 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.930$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 03:58 AMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY YES0.971$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 03:57 AMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.502$2,000—
Jun 28, 03:57 AMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.966$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 03:44 AMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY YES0.838$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:14 AMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.860$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:54 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.950$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:46 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.900$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 05:00 AMWill Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY YES0.927$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:10 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.930$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:09 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.910$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:42 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.880$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:38 AMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.910$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:00 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.740$3,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 04:45 AMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.844$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 11:29 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.730$3,650Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 06:50 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.880$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:01 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.750$3,750Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:03 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.750$7,249Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:38 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.750$5,000— (SELL)
Jun 20, 10:35 PMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.840$5,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:58 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.963$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:57 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.963$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:42 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.540$1,500—
Jun 10, 12:22 AMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.890$10.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 12:21 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.950$10.2K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 12:09 AMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.893$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 12:08 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.950$20.5K— (SELL)
May 31, 10:29 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.860$84.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

23 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other3$115.2K+$53.8K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance7$34.6K+$34.6K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics2$30.7K+$30.7K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other2$30.0K+$30.0K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Other2$19.0K+$19.0K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Other2$12.0K+$12.0K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Other2$10.6K+$600
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Other2$10.1K+$5,939
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Other1$9,976+$9,976
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Tech1$9,000+$9,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Other1$9,000+$9,000
Will England win on 2026-07-01?Other1$8,000+$8,000
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Other2$8,000+$8,000
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?Other2$4,000+$4,000
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Other1$1,500+$1,500