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NRGKRU
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xdcae…18b6 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
-84%
historical realized
Win rate
14.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$105.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · -84% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
7
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$105.0K
avg $15.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$88.1K / $16.9K
net direction
Recent trades
last 7 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 04:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.761 | $9,100 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 04:03 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.479 | $7,799 | — |
| Jun 13, 04:01 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $16.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 07:03 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.852 | $4,260 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 07:02 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.884 | $15.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 07:01 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.885 | $30.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 02:43 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $21.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 2 | $39.1K | +$39.1K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Other | 2 | $31.9K | $-1,898 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Other | 2 | $29.7K | +$29.7K |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | Politics | 1 | $4,260 | +$4,260 |