| Jun 12, 03:36 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.898 | $32.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 04:30 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $2,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 04:28 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $3,520 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 04:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $3,050 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 04:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.739 | $16.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 04:25 AM | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | SELL YES | 0.879 | $5,296 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 04:24 AM | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL YES | 0.830 | $15.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 04:23 AM | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL NO | 0.830 | $4,997 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:11 AM | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY NO | 0.829 | $1,744 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:11 AM | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY YES | 0.828 | $6,586 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:05 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.606 | $1,212 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:04 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $3,698 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:58 AM | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY NO | 0.820 | $3,041 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:53 AM | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.889 | $5,359 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:49 AM | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY YES | 0.815 | $8,206 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:14 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.597 | $4,056 | —— |
| May 31, 12:10 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $6,560 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:10 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $2,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.737 | $5,157 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:05 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $48.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 01:26 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $1,420 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:22 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.576 | $4,320 | —— |
| May 30, 01:21 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.706 | $5,651 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:21 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.804 | $9,645 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $6,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:17 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.966 | $29.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 01:34 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.505 | $1,262 | —— |
| May 30, 01:33 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $4,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:33 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $2,010 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:30 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.663 | $6,559 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:30 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.785 | $7,383 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:29 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.847 | $6,773 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:27 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $28.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 06:21 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $2,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 06:19 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 08:06 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,722 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 08:03 AM | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.302 | $1,057 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 12:57 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $2,117 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:56 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.634 | $3,172 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:53 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.660 | $6,600 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 12:51 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $2,232 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:50 AM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.460 | $2,300 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 12:44 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $1,224 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:41 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $3,150 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:40 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $2,510 | —— |
| May 27, 06:45 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $5,460 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 06:39 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $2,340 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 06:29 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $32.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 12:25 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $3,185 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 12:23 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.677 | $3,246 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 09:38 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $3,075 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 09:35 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.628 | $3,141 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $2,310 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 02:15 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.660 | $2,638 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 11:46 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.567 | $3,400 | —— |
| May 24, 11:44 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.666 | $3,329 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 11:41 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.721 | $7,214 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 07:02 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $4,410 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 06:59 AM | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.713 | $2,138 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 06:56 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.731 | $2,194 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 02:03 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.399 | $1,197 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 01:58 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.740 | $2,961 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:29 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.353 | $4,240 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 11:27 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.758 | $4,549 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.493 | $5,858 | —— |
| May 23, 11:06 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.846 | $5,923 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:59 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.477 | $2,624 | —— |
| May 23, 10:55 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $2,610 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:44 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $4,750 | —— |
| May 23, 10:41 PM | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.841 | $2,541 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:40 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.771 | $2,313 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:17 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.400 | $1,199 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 10:16 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.380 | $3,800 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 10:14 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | SELL NO | 0.883 | $5,303 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 01:40 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $2,666 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 01:28 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | SELL NO | 0.975 | $4,896 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 09:31 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $3,888 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:23 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $2,274 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 12:21 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.948 | $1,898 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 12:20 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $2,090 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 08:41 AM | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $5,646 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 05:03 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 01:42 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,660 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 12:25 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $2,081 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 02:31 AM | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $4,081 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 02:16 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,997 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 06:19 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $12.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 6, 01:47 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $1,060 | —— |
| Apr 6, 01:42 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.390 | $1,949 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 2, 08:17 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $2,020 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 08:02 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,777 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 06:38 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,893 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 06:36 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,766 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 06:35 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $1,370 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 06:31 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,893 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 06:25 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $1,939 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 12:24 AM | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $1,559 | —— |
| Apr 1, 12:22 PM | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $1,980 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 12:20 PM | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $2,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 12:13 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.729 | $2,186 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 12:46 AM | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.841 | $1,682 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 1, 12:24 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.718 | $2,155 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 31, 11:14 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.974 | $5,065 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 11:11 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.975 | $12.6K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 10:56 PM | 0x7b63040a | SELL NO | 0.999 | $12.0K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 10:56 PM | 0x84c7382f | SELL NO | 0.999 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 10:56 PM | 0x4290a4aa | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,497 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 10:55 PM | 0x337e5c84 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 31, 10:54 PM | 0x844c6215 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |