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Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are elimina

OtherEnds Jul 20, 2026Resolved NOView on Polymarket ↗
YES price
1.0¢
settled
Total volume
+$174.32M
+$14.60M / 24h
Liquidity
+$8.19M
Whale trades (90d)
250
127 distinct wallets
Whale buy volume
+$5.80M
last 90d, $10K+ trades
Whale sell volume
+$2.77M
last 90d
Net flow
+$3.03M
buy-side dominant
Conviction fires
0
trades passing wave-34 gate

Top wallets on this market

127 wallets · sorted by net buy
WalletTradesBuySellNetPnL/$Gate
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954657+$1.69M$0+$1.69M-1%
0x9bA708D51AB57633e6418C9b886Dd842FF02F56b-17810181429746+$484.4K+$29.5K+$455.0K-86%
juliannagelsmann1+$240.0K$0+$240.0K-61%
PlayBlind-com2+$222.0K$0+$222.0K-97%
CandleHammerDrums1+$166.8K$0+$166.8K-2%
tankjack10+$151.0K$0+$151.0K-81%
Djdjdjekekek4+$165.3K+$30.0K+$135.3K+31%🟢
umeax2+$135.0K$0+$135.0K+3%
Zzzz873+$129.7K$0+$129.7K+7%🟢
neutralwave232+$94.5K$0+$94.5K-3%
SquareBobSpongePants3+$104.3K+$10.4K+$93.9K-25%
Oddscompiler2+$92.4K$0+$92.4K+314%
Electricy1+$91.3K$0+$91.3K-19%
chopperfan1+$89.9K$0+$89.9K-6%
nottop68961+$80.0K$0+$80.0K+18%🟢
blkmont2+$73.5K$0+$73.5K-4%
CenterStage3+$71.8K$0+$71.8K-3%
mooseborzoi3+$67.9K$0+$67.9K-20%
Parz1vaI2+$63.6K$0+$63.6K+5%
crypto-ericwu21+$59.3K$0+$59.3K-52%
SebastianAde19961+$58.9K$0+$58.9K+10%
vkvkgjerkgk4+$82.9K+$31.6K+$51.3K-1%
RIFF2021+$48.3K$0+$48.3K
xxxcm1+$41.0K$0+$41.0K-84%
purplegatto1+$40.5K$0+$40.5K+1%

Showing top 25 of 127 by net flow.

Recent whale trades

250 trades · ≥$10K · 90d window
WhenWalletSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 12:52 AMDjdjdjekekekSELL NO0.999+$30.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:02 PMchopperfanBUY NO0.999+$89.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:02 PM0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BUY NO0.998+$53.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:49 PMSquareBobSpongePantsBUY NO0.989+$29.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:49 PMRN1BUY NO0.971+$14.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:49 PMorange.juiceBUY NO0.922+$13.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:48 PMorange.juiceSELL NO0.901+$12.2K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:45 PMwayytSELL NO0.922+$15.9K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:40 PMSunguyen86BUY YES0.411+$100.0K
Jul 19, 09:35 PMvkvkgjerkgkSELL NO0.632+$15.6K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:34 PMvkvkgjerkgkSELL NO0.644+$16.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:32 PMzacnogambleSELL YES0.358+$20.6K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:32 PMSquareBobSpongePantsSELL NO0.644+$10.4K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:26 PMorange.juiceBUY NO0.770+$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PMMenacingTurtleSELL NO0.765+$13.8K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:26 PMorange.juiceBUY NO0.750+$11.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PMvkvkgjerkgkBUY NO0.707+$12.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PMSquareBobSpongePantsBUY NO0.704+$75.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PMvkvkgjerkgkBUY NO0.705+$70.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PMgollazaBUY NO0.705+$10.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:23 PMrampcadBUY YES0.320+$15.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:19 PMxsakSELL YES0.299+$10.9K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:18 PM0x82c8aD5A1eF2E35B497bfE95Af7794b4D91ea5dB-1771780634124BUY YES0.312+$28.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:09 PMthefakenickBUY NO0.658+$10.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:02 PMcrummeyBUY YES0.373+$10.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:47 PMunbribeablerefSELL YES0.380+$19.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:46 PMunbribeablerefSELL YES0.380+$38.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:46 PMzacnogambleSELL YES0.383+$14.7K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:45 PMzacnogambleSELL YES0.382+$19.5K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:31 PMOddscompilerBUY YES0.442+$57.8K
Jul 19, 08:31 PMOddscompilerBUY YES0.432+$34.6K
Jul 19, 07:31 PM0xdE54a79053870E61FAc8F24f41A68Fa6728e0490-1777648002494BUY YES0.400+$19.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:19 PMHyperwellNerdZSELL YES0.364+$34.7K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:12 PMunbribeablerefSELL YES0.420+$42.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:11 PMMenacingTurtleBUY NO0.580+$19.0K
Jul 19, 06:52 PMCandleHammerDrumsBUY YES0.417+$166.8K
Jul 19, 06:48 PMBUY YES0.417+$34.3K
Jul 19, 06:42 PM0x13a4D4A9038EE72b02AFAf77fe7f58812559b30e-1779101584134BUY YES0.417+$15.4K
Jul 19, 06:27 PM0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BUY YES0.412+$23.5K
Jul 19, 06:15 PM0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BUY YES0.410+$23.6K
Jul 19, 06:15 PM0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BUY YES0.410+$41.0K
Jul 19, 06:15 PMDjdjdjekekekBUY NO0.590+$35.4K
Jul 19, 06:14 PMDjdjdjekekekBUY NO0.589+$29.3K
Jul 19, 06:14 PMDjdjdjekekekBUY NO0.588+$100.6K
Jul 19, 06:10 PM0x17563bAdC8E7488Ed0F5210F2Cf70Ee7e82F4ff8-1723524585422BUY NO0.588+$16.5K
Jul 19, 05:21 PM0x9bA708D51AB57633e6418C9b886Dd842FF02F56b-1781018142974BUY YES0.413+$119.0K
Jul 19, 05:18 PM0x78A9d9168ca5b6b75C8CDe9e20ee3eA5d9360faC-1782420134849BUY YES0.413+$11.6K
Jul 19, 04:36 PMCleanTaint70BUY YES0.412+$19.3K
Jul 19, 04:20 PMBB777-676BUY YES0.411+$18.3K
Jul 19, 04:16 PM0x9bA708D51AB57633e6418C9b886Dd842FF02F56b-1781018142974BUY YES0.410+$57.4K
Jul 19, 04:06 PM0x9bA708D51AB57633e6418C9b886Dd842FF02F56b-1781018142974BUY YES0.409+$22.1K
Jul 19, 04:01 PM0x9bA708D51AB57633e6418C9b886Dd842FF02F56b-1781018142974BUY YES0.409+$258.3K
Jul 19, 03:21 PMlupo8SELL YES0.408+$32.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 01:22 PMumeaxBUY YES0.409+$64.4K
Jul 19, 12:35 PM0xBFE58AA10aB581d5DA30EfF07698F62BfAC6F63d-1783008945107SELL YES0.408+$14.4K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:04 AMumeaxBUY NO0.591+$70.6K
Jul 19, 10:01 AMSELL YES0.409+$11.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:51 AMBUY YES0.410+$11.5K
Jul 19, 07:43 AMBUY YES0.410+$20.0K
Jul 19, 06:10 AMxxxcmBUY YES0.410+$41.0K
Jul 19, 01:44 AMthionrasSELL YES0.409+$34.4K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:20 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$16.4K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:20 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$16.4K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:19 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$16.4K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:19 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$20.4K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:18 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$20.4K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:18 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$20.4K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:07 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$12.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:07 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$12.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:06 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$12.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:54 PMSunguyen86SELL YES0.409+$16.4K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:50 PMBUY YES0.402+$10.9K
Jul 18, 09:42 PMNorwayWinnerWorldSELL YES0.401+$10.6K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 07:56 PMfullamountSELL YES0.401+$12.7K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 04:09 PM0x5AA1ad6163AD7357FA6e22efac5188B3dF88d9B7-1773062321047SELL YES0.401+$13.0K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 03:35 PMsleepy-pandaBUY YES0.402+$16.1K
Jul 18, 02:25 PMThemanwiththewig420BUY YES0.402+$15.2K
Jul 18, 12:25 PM0x1610DB79f753a80207E1d66716be9E91E627AE49-1778875286261SELL YES0.401+$38.2K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:40 AM0x1610DB79f753a80207E1d66716be9E91E627AE49-1778875286261SELL YES0.401+$32.5K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 08:11 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.403+$16.1K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 08:10 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.404+$20.2K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 08:10 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.404+$20.2K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 08:10 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.404+$20.2K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 08:09 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.404+$20.2K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:31 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.400+$20.0K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:31 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.400+$20.0K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:26 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.404+$20.2K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:26 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$20.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:26 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$20.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:26 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$20.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:25 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$20.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:25 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$20.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:25 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$20.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:24 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$20.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:24 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$16.2K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:24 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$24.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:24 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$24.3K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 01:23 AMSunguyen86SELL YES0.405+$16.2K— (SELL)
Jul 17, 07:59 PMmooseborzoiBUY YES0.406+$33.3K
Jul 17, 03:26 PMPpkiuSELL YES0.405+$38.8K— (SELL)

Showing 100 of 250.

All trades pulled from on-chain Polymarket fills via the Polygon CTF Exchange. Methodology badges apply the same wave-34 classifier as /whales. Full per-wallet audit on /trader/[address].