Back to whale feed
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are elimina
YES price
11.8¢
current
Total volume
+$62.47M
+$1.28M / 24h
Liquidity
+$7.88M
Whale trades (90d)
36
22 distinct wallets
Whale buy volume
+$591.5K
last 90d, $10K+ trades
Whale sell volume
+$177.0K
last 90d
Net flow
+$414.5K
buy-side dominant
Conviction fires
0
trades passing wave-34 gate
Top wallets on this market
22 wallets · sorted by net buy| Wallet | Trades | Buy | Sell | Net | PnL/$ | Gate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe-Biden | 5 | +$109.1K | $0 | +$109.1K | +81% | 🟢 |
| 66601 | 3 | +$116.0K | +$47.3K | +$68.6K | +13% | 🟢 |
| Allezpapa | 2 | +$67.4K | $0 | +$67.4K | +3% | — |
| S-Works | 2 | +$61.1K | $0 | +$61.1K | +8% | 🟢 |
| qiqiqiqiqiqiqi | 1 | +$29.6K | $0 | +$29.6K | +11% | — |
| Magnumh | 1 | +$28.4K | $0 | +$28.4K | -32% | — |
| qifen | 2 | +$26.1K | $0 | +$26.1K | — | — |
| 0xB10bf118b2A3c1cfF0379a4134A82Eb6d51e0b04-1767216280668 | 2 | +$24.4K | $0 | +$24.4K | +18508% | 🟢 |
| GoriIIa | 1 | +$24.3K | $0 | +$24.3K | -14% | — |
| 1 | +$17.5K | $0 | +$17.5K | +1286% | 🟢 | |
| freemuney | 1 | +$12.5K | $0 | +$12.5K | — | — |
| rgts | 1 | +$12.1K | $0 | +$12.1K | -48% | — |
| sssherra | 1 | +$11.1K | $0 | +$11.1K | — | — |
| 2 | +$20.0K | +$10.0K | +$9,977 | — | — | |
| afkpnl | 2 | +$11.1K | +$13.8K | -$2,673 | — | — |
| Berinando | 2 | +$20.8K | +$27.4K | -$6,674 | — | — |
| Rolandzc | 1 | $0 | +$10.1K | -$10.1K | — | — |
| 0xB85bBF67bbc19220aC26177c61097Ec2061CF870-1775863567570 | 1 | $0 | +$10.8K | -$10.8K | -68% | — |
| 0x5823…dea4 | 1 | $0 | +$10.9K | -$10.9K | — | — |
| alwayslatetotheparty | 1 | $0 | +$11.4K | -$11.4K | -100% | — |
| leegunner | 1 | $0 | +$11.8K | -$11.8K | -1% | — |
| krazyagain | 2 | $0 | +$23.4K | -$23.4K | -48% | — |
Recent whale trades
36 trades · ≥$10K · 90d window| When | Wallet | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 10:41 PM | Magnumh | BUY YES | 0.118 | +$28.4K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 20, 05:24 PM | leegunner | SELL NO | 0.882 | +$11.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 03:57 PM | Berinando | SELL YES | 0.085 | +$27.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 10:25 AM | 0xB85bBF67bbc19220aC26177c61097Ec2061CF870-1775863567570 | SELL YES | 0.088 | +$10.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:35 AM | 0xB10bf118b2A3c1cfF0379a4134A82Eb6d51e0b04-1767216280668 | BUY YES | 0.089 | +$13.8K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 09:51 PM | Allezpapa | BUY YES | 0.086 | +$52.4K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 09:51 PM | Allezpapa | BUY YES | 0.086 | +$14.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 02:15 AM | qifen | BUY YES | 0.086 | +$12.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 01:06 AM | afkpnl | SELL YES | 0.087 | +$13.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 10:41 PM | qifen | BUY YES | 0.088 | +$13.2K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 12:34 PM | afkpnl | BUY YES | 0.085 | +$11.1K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 12:34 PM | 66601 | BUY YES | 0.085 | +$11.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 11:33 PM | Joe-Biden | BUY YES | 0.085 | +$18.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 06:35 PM | Joe-Biden | BUY YES | 0.085 | +$18.3K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 07:43 AM | alwayslatetotheparty | SELL YES | 0.088 | +$11.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 11:35 PM | Joe-Biden | BUY YES | 0.088 | +$22.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 04:57 PM | Berinando | BUY YES | 0.088 | +$20.8K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 04:40 AM | Joe-Biden | BUY YES | 0.088 | +$27.4K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 31, 06:04 PM | qiqiqiqiqiqiqi | BUY YES | 0.087 | +$29.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 31, 01:21 AM | BUY YES | 0.086 | +$20.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation | |
| May 28, 12:51 AM | 0xB10bf118b2A3c1cfF0379a4134A82Eb6d51e0b04-1767216280668 | BUY YES | 0.083 | +$10.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 26, 04:22 PM | sssherra | BUY YES | 0.083 | +$11.1K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 21, 03:12 PM | BUY YES | 0.084 | +$17.5K | Killed band — neutral expectation | |
| May 20, 10:25 PM | krazyagain | SELL YES | 0.084 | +$13.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 04:54 AM | krazyagain | SELL YES | 0.084 | +$10.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 07:54 AM | GoriIIa | BUY YES | 0.086 | +$24.3K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 07:38 PM | Joe-Biden | BUY YES | 0.086 | +$22.2K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 28, 02:02 PM | S-Works | BUY NO | 0.913 | +$45.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 01:34 PM | S-Works | BUY NO | 0.912 | +$15.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 01:16 PM | 66601 | SELL NO | 0.911 | +$47.3K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 12:50 PM | 66601 | BUY NO | 0.912 | +$104.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 06:25 PM | rgts | BUY NO | 0.912 | +$12.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 05:40 AM | 0x5823…dea4 | SELL NO | 0.911 | +$10.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 10:56 AM | freemuney | BUY YES | 0.093 | +$12.5K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 8, 06:18 PM | Rolandzc | SELL NO | 0.909 | +$10.1K | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 07:35 PM | 0xc706…76c5 | SELL YES | 0.096 | +$10.0K | — (SELL) |
All trades pulled from on-chain Polymarket fills via the Polygon CTF Exchange. Methodology badges apply the same wave-34 classifier as /whales. Full per-wallet audit on /trader/[address].