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crummey
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xfb65…5dc6 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
+10%
historical realized
Win rate
39.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$25.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · 10% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$25.3K
avg $4,211 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$23.6K / $1,660
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:59 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.060 | $1,660 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 09:02 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.373 | $10.3K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 01:52 AM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.318 | $8,242 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 07:04 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY YES | 0.378 | $1,042 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 05:40 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY YES | 0.378 | $2,512 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 11, 02:10 AM | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY YES | 0.237 | $1,543 | Cheap band — no rep |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $11.9K | +$8,604 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | Other | 1 | $8,242 | +$8,242 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | Other | 2 | $3,554 | +$3,554 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | Other | 1 | $1,543 | +$1,543 |