SquareBobSpongePants

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf387…61c0 with our methodology badges per row.

0xf387570fc0f9d8fa1f07ce798fc98ff909a361c0·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

192

lifetime

PnL per $

-25%

historical realized

Win rate

65.6%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$2.32M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 192 resolved trades · -25% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$2.64M

avg $13.2K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$1.71M / $928.5K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 09:49 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.989	$29.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:49 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.962	$75.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:32 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.644	$10.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.704	$75.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:52 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.954	$1,995	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:49 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.946	$13.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.919	$1,922	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:47 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.947	$1,755	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:54 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.976	$24.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:46 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.950	$74.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:36 PM	England leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.989	$6,950	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:21 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.810	$4,264	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:18 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:12 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.890	$9,719	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.916	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 03:27 AM	Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.930	$2,262	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 03:23 AM	Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.810	$1,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 01:21 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	SELL YES	0.930	$1,493	— (SELL)
Jul 17, 01:19 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,349	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:23 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	SELL NO	0.970	$12.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.987	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.640	$6,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.559	$5,000	—
Jul 9, 09:34 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	SELL NO	0.993	$50.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:29 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.987	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 08:35 PM	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.738	$2,680	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 08:35 PM	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.740	$3,700	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 08:33 PM	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.745	$29.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 08:31 PM	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.748	$2,192	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 08:28 PM	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.894	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:57 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	SELL NO	0.990	$14.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:55 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.983	$24.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 04:22 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	SELL YES	0.470	$17.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:21 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	SELL YES	0.670	$6,313	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:20 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.512	$25.8K	—
Jul 7, 04:17 PM	Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.860	$2,348	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 01:56 AM	Belgium to win the second half?	BUY YES	0.990	$1,102	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:22 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.981	$2,523	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 01:20 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.926	$2,380	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:40 AM	Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.590	$3,790	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:40 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	SELL NO	0.950	$52.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:37 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.900	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:37 AM	Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.583	$3,746	—
Jul 5, 10:02 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.779	$2,194	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:51 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.990	$31.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 08:04 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.600	$1,055	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 08:02 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.610	$1,072	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 06:45 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.990	$11.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 02:58 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.979	$1,662	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:58 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.978	$3,616	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:58 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.970	$1,940	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:57 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.979	$3,916	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:56 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.977	$3,909	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:55 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.981	$4,092	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:55 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.979	$3,916	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:51 AM	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.870	$9,663	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:49 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.987	$23.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 02:49 AM	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.881	$9,789	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 02:49 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.990	$5,037	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 01:47 AM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.990	$10.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:44 AM	Bosnia and Herzegovina to score first vs. United States?	BUY NO	0.959	$1,486	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:48 PM	Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.260	$1,702	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 05:51 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	SELL NO	0.990	$2,466	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:48 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.980	$2,441	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:08 PM	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.740	$7,397	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 04:06 PM	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.823	$8,231	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 02:34 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	SELL NO	0.980	$10.9K	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 02:31 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.980	$11.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 10:15 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	SELL NO	0.996	$34.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 10:12 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	SELL YES	0.970	$3,148	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 10:11 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.987	$34.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 10:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.930	$3,018	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 09:46 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	SELL NO	0.982	$4,206	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 09:44 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.978	$4,187	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:33 PM	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.430	$5,000	—
Jun 29, 06:56 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.988	$7,940	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 06:20 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	SELL NO	0.860	$9,863	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:19 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.870	$9,716	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 08:53 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	SELL NO	0.999	$8,001	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 08:51 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	BUY NO	0.990	$7,929	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:46 AM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.706	$41.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:46 AM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.683	$16.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:45 AM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.690	$9,223	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:44 AM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.433	$47.6K	—
Jun 28, 02:34 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.996	$38.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:29 AM	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.970	$25.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:28 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.970	$10.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:27 AM	Argentina leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.955	$4,096	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:27 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.962	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:27 AM	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.971	$27.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:09 AM	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.962	$10.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:09 AM	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.880	$2,508	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:06 AM	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.988	$10.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:06 AM	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.921	$2,624	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:06 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.900	$1,057	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:24 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.960	$5,566	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:23 AM	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.985	$38.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:23 AM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.966	$25.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:22 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.979	$5,676	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:11 AM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.970	$4,064	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:10 AM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.900	$3,772	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:48 PM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.760	$2,184	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 11:48 PM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.600	$1,725	—
Jun 27, 11:32 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.250	$1,451	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 11:32 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.240	$1,394	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 10:44 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.992	$3,269	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 10:43 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.947	$3,121	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:34 PM	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.280	$1,667	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 10:33 PM	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.160	$10.1K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 10:27 PM	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.990	$16.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 10:27 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.990	$11.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 10:25 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.927	$10.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:25 PM	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.963	$16.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:34 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.780	$1,031	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 09:34 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	SELL NO	0.950	$3,141	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 09:32 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.896	$2,963	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 04:56 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.982	$7,768	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:35 PM	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.952	$2,386	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:33 PM	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.914	$2,292	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:23 PM	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.932	$2,178	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:20 PM	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,245	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:10 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	SELL NO	0.970	$5,521	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:07 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.950	$14.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:07 PM	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	SELL NO	0.980	$1,387	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:05 PM	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.980	$1,384	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:31 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	SELL NO	0.750	$8,959	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 02:30 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.540	$6,454	—
Jun 26, 02:09 AM	Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.710	$1,922	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 02:23 AM	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	SELL NO	0.992	$7,548	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 02:21 AM	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.982	$7,475	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:51 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.928	$11.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:51 PM	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.977	$2,705	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:25 PM	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.990	$11.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:25 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.990	$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:19 PM	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.720	$4,824	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 11:18 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.630	$23.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 11:18 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.631	$28.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:18 PM	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.760	$6,463	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:51 PM	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.970	$23.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 10:49 PM	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.936	$30.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:42 PM	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.750	$20.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 10:39 PM	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.734	$19.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:27 PM	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	SELL NO	0.980	$13.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 10:25 PM	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.936	$1,500	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 10:22 PM	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.970	$3,066	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:22 PM	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.988	$16.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:11 PM	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	SELL NO	0.975	$1,448	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 10:08 PM	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.956	$1,417	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:49 AM	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.934	$2,353	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 03:49 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	SELL YES	0.931	$10.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 03:47 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.960	$10.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:47 AM	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.975	$2,456	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:40 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	SELL YES	0.920	$39.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 03:39 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.930	$40.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:37 AM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	SELL NO	0.980	$5,208	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 03:36 AM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	BUY NO	0.980	$5,208	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 02:05 AM	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.762	$2,209	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 05:28 PM	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.027	$2,734	—
Jun 23, 05:26 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	SELL YES	0.993	$30.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 05:16 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.987	$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 05:06 PM	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.959	$23.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 06:58 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.990	$4,959	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:42 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.990	$1,505	— (SELL)
Jun 22, 02:41 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.911	$1,385	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:21 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.983	$6,832	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:18 PM	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.971	$31.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:17 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.991	$5,692	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:14 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.966	$7,867	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:10 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.910	$7,409	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:10 PM	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.940	$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:10 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.990	$5,676	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 05:28 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.980	$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 05:28 AM	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.989	$8,927	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:35 AM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.993	$4,671	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:35 AM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.993	$4,672	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:34 AM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.995	$9,362	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:31 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.960	$32.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:30 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.843	$28.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:30 AM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.973	$18.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:07 AM	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.870	$6,964	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:06 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.828	$13.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:05 AM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.960	$3,772	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:05 AM	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.870	$1,421	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:04 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.830	$2,114	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:03 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.669	$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:03 AM	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.777	$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:03 AM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.911	$3,578	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:56 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.988	$30.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:20 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.849	$3,982	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:20 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.600	$30.0K	—
Jun 20, 08:20 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.773	$1,949	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:22 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.986	$7,596	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 02:22 AM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.990	$1,888	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:58 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	SELL YES	0.987	$6,609	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:51 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.964	$20.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:51 AM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.989	$20.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:35 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	SELL NO	0.980	$2,913	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:32 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.970	$2,883	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:31 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	SELL NO	0.920	$5,943	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:29 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.967	$6,241	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

83 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Other	5	$166.4K	+$109.5K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Other	6	$137.0K	+$40.6K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	3	$114.7K	+$93.9K
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Other	4	$114.4K	$-19,266
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Other	2	$102.8K	$-2,778
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Other	4	$100.7K	+$1,434
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Other	2	$100.3K	$-270
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Other	4	$99.9K	+$750
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Other	5	$87.9K	+$12.1K
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Other	4	$77.1K	$-342
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	1	$75.0K	+$75.0K
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Other	3	$69.3K	+$43.7K
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	Other	5	$69.1K	+$19.3K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Other	3	$64.0K	+$16.7K
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Tech	2	$61.0K	$-1,017
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Other	2	$60.1K	$-181
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Other	4	$58.1K	+$1,410
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Tech	5	$54.3K	+$3,903
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Other	9	$51.9K	+$5,814
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Other	3	$49.9K	+$1,706
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Other	4	$47.3K	+$30.5K
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Other	6	$44.4K	$-582
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Other	2	$39.0K	+$10.5K
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Other	1	$38.3K	+$38.3K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Other	2	$34.0K	+$34.0K
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Other	2	$33.2K	$-459
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	Other	4	$32.5K	+$3,535
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Other	1	$31.1K	+$31.1K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Other	1	$30.0K	+$30.0K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	1	$30.0K	+$30.0K

Showing top 30 by volume.