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0xdE54a79053870E61FAc8F24f41A68Fa6728e0490-1777648002494
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xde54…0490 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-94%
historical realized
Win rate
5.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$44.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -94% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
10
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$47.4K
avg $4,743 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$46.2K / $1,222
net direction
Recent trades
last 10 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:50 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.013 | $1,222 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 07:31 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.400 | $19.3K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 06:40 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.417 | $9,843 | — |
| Jul 19, 06:08 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.413 | $4,813 | — |
| Jul 19, 01:14 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.409 | $5,150 | — |
| Jun 25, 02:15 AM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY YES | 0.380 | $1,609 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 22, 04:08 AM | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $1,100 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 06:10 PM | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,355 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 03:05 AM | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $1,518 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 03:05 AM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $1,530 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 5 | $40.3K | +$37.9K |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Other | 2 | $2,873 | +$2,873 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Other | 1 | $1,609 | +$1,609 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Other | 1 | $1,530 | +$1,530 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Other | 1 | $1,100 | +$1,100 |