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0x8ba2…1650
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8ba2…1650 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
-25%
historical realized
Win rate
19.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$125.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 12 resolved trades · -25% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
25
Distinct markets
17
Volume (90d)
$194.5K
avg $7,779 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$110.8K / $83.7K
net direction
Recent trades
last 25 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:17 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.283 | $7,932 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 09:51 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.410 | $11.5K | — |
| Jul 14, 09:05 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.570 | $41.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 05:06 PM | Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | BUY NO | 0.460 | $3,000 | — |
| Jul 7, 05:57 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL YES | 0.897 | $2,135 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 05:30 PM | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | SELL YES | 0.352 | $2,891 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 04:51 PM | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY YES | 0.450 | $3,700 | — |
| Jun 28, 03:45 AM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.229 | $3,165 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 01:54 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.980 | $10.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 12:29 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $5,000 | — |
| May 27, 10:53 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY YES | 0.420 | $2,375 | — |
| May 20, 06:50 PM | 0x0f840b13 | BUY YES | 0.610 | $7,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 08:47 PM | 0x6e9f90a6 | SELL YES | 0.580 | $9,831 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:52 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.167 | $2,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 17, 12:46 AM | 0x6e9f90a6 | BUY YES | 0.590 | $10,000 | — |
| May 17, 12:17 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.177 | $27.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 17, 12:17 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.166 | $10,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 12, 05:48 PM | 0xcd5ac901 | BUY YES | 0.601 | $7,501 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 09:25 PM | 0xd5843271 | SELL YES | 0.996 | $1,083 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 12:29 PM | 0xab381282 | SELL YES | 0.280 | $3,200 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 09:19 PM | 0xab381282 | BUY YES | 0.350 | $4,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 9, 09:08 PM | 0x06003378 | BUY YES | 0.514 | $10.1K | — |
| May 9, 03:15 PM | 0xbcb3809e | BUY YES | 0.408 | $4,400 | — |
| May 9, 03:04 PM | 0xc906c2ed | SELL YES | 0.330 | $1,815 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 11:11 AM | 0xc906c2ed | BUY YES | 0.500 | $2,750 | — |
Markets active in
17 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 3 | $53.2K | $-29,177 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $27.0K | +$27.0K |
| 0x6e9f90a6 | — | 2 | $19.8K | +$169 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $19.4K | +$3,568 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 2 | $15.4K | $-5,426 |
| 0x06003378 | — | 1 | $10.1K | +$10.1K |
| 0xcd5ac901 | — | 1 | $7,501 | +$7,501 |
| 0x0f840b13 | — | 1 | $7,500 | +$7,500 |
| 0xab381282 | — | 2 | $7,200 | +$800 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | Other | 2 | $6,591 | +$809 |
| 0xc906c2ed | — | 2 | $4,565 | +$935 |
| 0xbcb3809e | — | 1 | $4,400 | +$4,400 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $3,165 | $-3,165 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | Tech | 1 | $3,000 | +$3,000 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Tech | 1 | $2,375 | +$2,375 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | Other | 1 | $2,135 | $-2,135 |
| 0xd5843271 | — | 1 | $1,083 | $-1,083 |