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0x8ba2…1650

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8ba2…1650 with our methodology badges per row.

0x8ba27b7c9de2b6367f986bff5f9c8049204c1650·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
35
lifetime
PnL per $
+13752%
historical realized
Win rate
54.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$187.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
41
Distinct markets
28
Volume (90d)
$271.5K
avg $6,621 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$197.4K / $74.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 41 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 01:54 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?SELL YES0.980$10.4K— (SELL)
Jun 13, 12:29 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.470$5,000—
May 27, 10:53 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.420$2,375—
May 20, 06:50 PMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?BUY YES0.610$7,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:47 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.580$9,831— (SELL)
May 17, 08:52 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.167$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 12:46 AMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.590$10,000—
May 17, 12:17 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.177$27.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 17, 12:17 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.166$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 12, 05:48 PMWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?BUY YES0.601$7,501Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 09:25 PMFerran Torres: Anytime GoalscorerSELL YES0.996$1,083— (SELL)
May 10, 12:29 PMWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?SELL YES0.280$3,200— (SELL)
May 9, 09:19 PMWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.350$4,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 9, 09:08 PMWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.514$10.1K—
May 9, 03:15 PMWill Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.408$4,400—
May 9, 03:04 PMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?SELL YES0.330$1,815— (SELL)
May 9, 11:11 AMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.500$2,750—
May 3, 12:09 PMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.460$5,000—
May 2, 06:25 PMWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.607$9,508Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 05:26 PMWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?SELL YES0.567$4,816— (SELL)
Apr 30, 10:50 PMWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY YES0.588$5,000—
Apr 28, 08:24 PMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.100$1,515— (SELL)
Apr 28, 08:24 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.157$33.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 03:51 AMClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5BUY YES0.598$2,964—
Apr 28, 03:49 AMParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5BUY YES0.510$1,084—
Apr 27, 03:32 AMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?BUY YES0.490$1,969—
Apr 26, 06:06 PMWill Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-26?SELL YES0.999$1,589— (SELL)
Apr 26, 06:03 PMWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?BUY YES0.510$2,956—
Apr 25, 09:30 PMKnicks vs. HawksBUY YES0.540$2,663—
Apr 25, 06:38 PMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.560$2,960—
Apr 25, 06:35 PMArsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5SELL YES0.999$6,070— (SELL)
Apr 25, 04:04 PMArsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5BUY YES0.670$4,071Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 04:02 PMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?SELL YES0.999$4,113— (SELL)
Apr 25, 01:41 PMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY YES0.600$2,470—
Apr 22, 07:06 PMParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5SELL YES0.999$19.7K— (SELL)
Apr 22, 06:14 PMBurnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5BUY YES0.513$10.1K—
Apr 22, 12:35 AMWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?SELL YES0.999$9,810— (SELL)
Apr 21, 12:35 PMWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?BUY YES0.400$3,928Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 20, 09:07 PMParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5BUY0.498$9,850—
Apr 20, 01:58 PM0x03fda59bBUY YES0.460$2,263—
Apr 15, 09:05 PMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.330$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

28 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$60.0K+$60.0K
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Tech2$29.6K$-9,895
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other2$19.8K+$169
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?Other3$19.3K+$9,691
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other2$15.4K$-5,426
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?Other2$13.7K$-5,882
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech2$12.0K+$12.0K
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Other1$10.1K+$10.1K
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Other2$10.1K$-1,999
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-10?Other1$10.1K+$10.1K
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?Other1$7,501+$7,501
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Other1$7,500+$7,500
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?Other2$7,200+$800
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?Other2$6,583$-1,643
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other2$6,515+$3,485
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?Other2$4,565+$935
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-09?Other1$4,400+$4,400
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Other1$2,964+$2,964
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?Other1$2,960+$2,960
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?Other1$2,956+$2,956
Knicks vs. HawksOther1$2,663+$2,663
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Tech1$2,375+$2,375
0x03fda59b—1$2,263+$2,263
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Other1$1,969+$1,969
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-26?Other1$1,589$-1,589
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Tech1$1,084+$1,084
Ferran Torres: Anytime GoalscorerOther1$1,083$-1,083