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0x5AA1ad6163AD7357FA6e22efac5188B3dF88d9B7-1773062321047

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5aa1…d9b7 with our methodology badges per row.

0x5aa1ad6163ad7357fa6e22efac5188b3df88d9b7·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
27
lifetime
PnL per $
-12%
historical realized
Win rate
42.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$101.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 27 resolved trades · -12% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
29
Distinct markets
11
Volume (90d)
$104.9K
avg $3,618 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$40.4K / $64.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 29 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 18, 04:09 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.401$13.0K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 04:09 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.591$26.6K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 07:38 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.405$1,675
Jul 16, 12:42 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.579$1,158— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:52 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.184$2,009Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:16 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.091$1,171— (SELL)
Jul 15, 06:31 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.228$2,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 09:10 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.193$1,492— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:31 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.520$5,000
Jul 14, 08:23 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.040$1,352— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:22 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.050$1,692— (SELL)
Jul 14, 11:22 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.173$1,783— (SELL)
Jul 14, 11:21 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.216$1,323— (SELL)
Jul 14, 11:06 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.173$3,460— (SELL)
Jul 14, 10:31 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.213$5,084— (SELL)
Jul 13, 05:03 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.215$5,266— (SELL)
Jul 6, 03:34 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.167$1,966Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 08:07 PMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.054$1,182— (SELL)
May 21, 12:33 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.720$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:20 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 03:20 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.087$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 03:19 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.092$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 03:14 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.178$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 03:14 PMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.052$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 02:42 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.115$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 02:41 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.178$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 02:41 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.168$6,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 16, 04:41 PM0x78547b8aBUY YES0.278$1,000Cheap band — no rep
May 16, 04:38 PM0xff081c52BUY YES0.084$2,750Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

11 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech5$43.8K$-21,809
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other8$26.6K$-15,269
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$13.6K+$420
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$8,043+$1,957
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$3,000+$3,000
0xff081c521$2,750+$2,750
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$2,000+$2,000
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other1$1,500+$1,500
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,500+$1,500
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Crypto1$1,182$-1,182
0x78547b8a1$1,000+$1,000