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zacnogamble

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xb5f6…aba9 with our methodology badges per row.

0xb5f610da3e3563ab86679086b70922f014f0aba9·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
51
lifetime
PnL per $
-37%
historical realized
Win rate
42.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.18M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 51 resolved trades · -37% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
54
Distinct markets
18
Volume (90d)
$1.20M
avg $22.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$701.2K / $502.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 54 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:51 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.050$2,872— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:32 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.358$20.6K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:46 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.383$14.7K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:45 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.382$19.5K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:07 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.447$18.8K
Jul 15, 09:07 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.487$14.2K
Jul 15, 09:07 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.420$55.9K
Jul 15, 05:42 PMExact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.100$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 03:01 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?SELL YES0.998$233.1K— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:59 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.867$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:57 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.832$7,454Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:56 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.869$9,512Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:56 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.823$10.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:56 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.802$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:56 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.804$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:56 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.804$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:55 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.802$25.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:55 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.806$9,485Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:55 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.770$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:54 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.734$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:54 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.219$24.2K— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:54 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.200$2,048— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:06 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.998$87.1K— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:45 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.572$50.0K
Jul 11, 10:43 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.198$5,063— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:17 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.515$13.2K
Jul 11, 02:29 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.580$70.0K
Jul 10, 08:52 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.106$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 08:17 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.138$7,521— (SELL)
Jul 10, 02:17 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.163$8,888Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:15 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.150$3,523Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:15 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.150$2,796Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:15 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.150$2,569Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 11:29 AMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$10.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 11:29 AMWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$10.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 10:19 PMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.380$30.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 04:54 PMExact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?BUY YES0.059$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 06:47 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?SELL YES0.980$24.1K— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:51 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.570$56.2K
Jul 1, 05:42 PMWill England win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.390$8,888Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 09:00 AMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.780$34.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 08:58 AMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.430$66.7K
Jun 26, 07:55 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.946$8,932— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:55 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.947$3,308— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:54 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.950$4,546— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:54 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.952$5,930— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:53 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.950$1,979— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:52 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.951$8,252— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:49 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.951$3,667— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:48 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.950$9,741— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:41 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.951$3,495— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:39 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.946$8,084— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:27 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.881$3,433— (SELL)
Jun 26, 07:07 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.770$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

18 markets · sorted by volume