| Jul 20, 06:05 PM | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $1,013 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 06:01 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,041 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 05:58 PM | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY NO | 0.661 | $1,640 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 05:43 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.992 | $5,973 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 05:43 PM | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,042 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 04:08 PM | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY NO | 0.917 | $9,332 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 03:53 PM | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $3,081 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 01:46 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.445 | $1,672 | —— |
| Jul 20, 01:16 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $5,751 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 01:06 PM | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.770 | $6,281 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 01:14 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $4,945 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 01:13 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $8,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 01:12 AM | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $1,932 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 01:09 AM | Iran full airspace closure by July 21? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $6,122 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 12:32 AM | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $4,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:28 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.966 | $3,869 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:18 PM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.740 | $1,388 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 11:08 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $4,244 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:08 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $1,001 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 09:40 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $4,984 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 09:24 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $2,187 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 09:22 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $5,002 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 09:21 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,125 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 09:21 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $2,185 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 07:58 PM | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $9,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 07:31 PM | Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $3,968 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 06:57 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $24.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 03:12 PM | Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $5,842 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 01:46 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.919 | $3,237 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 06:51 AM | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY YES | 0.379 | $1,738 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 01:53 AM | Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $1,032 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 10:35 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $43.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 07:58 AM | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $3,286 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 03:19 PM | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 17, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $21.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 02:11 PM | Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $10.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 10:46 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.396 | $1,201 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 10:38 PM | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,159 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 10:31 PM | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $3,102 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 10:31 PM | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $4,310 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 06:19 PM | Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,097 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 12:57 PM | Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,249 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 06:27 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,151 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 10:12 PM | New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,217 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 09:11 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.299 | $1,767 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 15, 09:05 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.300 | $2,343 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 15, 09:04 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.300 | $1,995 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 15, 09:02 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.300 | $1,962 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 15, 08:49 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.419 | $1,912 | —— |
| Jul 15, 08:32 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.638 | $2,453 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 07:43 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.470 | $2,326 | —— |
| Jul 15, 07:37 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.469 | $40.4K | —— |
| Jul 15, 04:14 PM | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.962 | $7,345 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 11:52 AM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.635 | $1,240 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 11:17 PM | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.582 | $2,242 | —— |
| Jul 14, 11:17 PM | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.905 | $1,588 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 10:44 PM | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.281 | $1,833 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 14, 10:41 PM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $4,847 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 09:42 PM | Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $4,223 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 09:39 PM | Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.964 | $1,154 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 09:09 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.290 | $1,582 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 14, 07:21 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.560 | $23.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 05:07 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $12.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 07:50 PM | Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY YES | 0.993 | $1,219 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 07:24 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,984 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 01:25 PM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.691 | $2,545 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 01:23 PM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.669 | $13.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 10:57 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.390 | $3,419 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 13, 09:26 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,454 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 09:26 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,170 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 08:14 AM | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? | BUY NO | 0.915 | $1,771 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 11:39 PM | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.914 | $1,097 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 11:33 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.838 | $5,275 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 05:36 PM | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY NO | 0.834 | $1,257 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 11:56 AM | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.564 | $1,194 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 11:06 AM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.353 | $3,615 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 12, 10:55 AM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $1,500 | —— |
| Jul 12, 10:30 AM | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $2,819 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 10:30 AM | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $1,849 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 09:22 AM | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $1,174 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 09:22 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL YES | 0.480 | $1,262 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 04:05 AM | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.918 | $1,358 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 02:30 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.839 | $44.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 01:07 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.822 | $18.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 11:30 PM | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $12.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 11:28 PM | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $17.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 02:25 PM | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $5,635 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 11:58 AM | Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026? | BUY NO | 0.981 | $1,611 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 10:29 AM | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $2,426 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 07:48 AM | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.919 | $3,703 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 07:47 AM | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY NO | 0.841 | $1,168 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 07:42 AM | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.914 | $6,093 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 07:36 AM | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $10.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 11:53 PM | Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $3,872 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 10:05 PM | Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.250 | $1,266 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 10, 07:32 PM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $3,648 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 01:47 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $2,090 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 12:59 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $8,672 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 12:13 AM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY YES | 0.985 | $23.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 12:13 AM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY YES | 0.981 | $2,156 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 12:12 AM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY YES | 0.887 | $1,417 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 11:23 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY NO | 0.219 | $1,538 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 8, 10:27 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | SELL NO | 0.471 | $2,198 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 10:22 PM | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $4,813 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 09:38 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | BUY YES | 0.589 | $4,312 | —— |
| Jul 8, 08:43 PM | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.955 | $1,841 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 08:15 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $1,348 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 07:56 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY NO | 0.638 | $2,219 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 09:51 AM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $6,039 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 11:27 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $59.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 05:34 PM | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,227 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 05:31 PM | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.146 | $1,054 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 7, 05:30 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.891 | $2,592 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 05:30 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.845 | $1,419 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 05:22 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $3,471 | —— |
| Jul 7, 04:17 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.466 | $4,711 | —— |
| Jul 7, 01:07 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $2,977 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 12:53 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $5,865 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 12:49 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $2,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:34 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $2,463 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:33 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.653 | $3,628 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 04:46 PM | World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick? | BUY NO | 0.927 | $2,515 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 02:36 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.690 | $1,597 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 11:22 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.763 | $1,994 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 09:13 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $1,042 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 08:48 AM | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | BUY YES | 0.945 | $4,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 08:24 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.907 | $1,477 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 03:09 AM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.138 | $6,087 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 5, 02:54 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $15.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 5, 02:44 PM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $15.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 11:06 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.640 | $1,560 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 10:31 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,335 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 10:30 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.537 | $2,191 | —— |
| Jul 4, 10:19 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.487 | $12.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 09:36 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.365 | $1,423 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 05:29 PM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $5,872 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 05:20 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,211 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 04:55 PM | Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $3,211 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 04:43 PM | Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $1,955 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 04:29 PM | Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY YES | 0.958 | $1,102 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 04:29 PM | Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $3,813 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 10:15 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,121 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 10:09 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,391 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 10:09 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.719 | $4,234 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 03:09 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.819 | $7,472 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 01:18 AM | Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $1,319 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 12:44 AM | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,446 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 12:40 AM | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY NO | 0.925 | $8,580 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 12:40 AM | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY NO | 0.925 | $20.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 12:28 AM | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $6,157 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 12:18 AM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.500 | $14.8K | —— |
| Jul 3, 11:53 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.124 | $14.3K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 01:39 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.542 | $1,482 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 09:10 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,195 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 01:45 AM | Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY YES | 0.917 | $2,239 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 12:19 AM | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $1,509 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 12:14 AM | World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,259 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 12:13 AM | World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick? | BUY NO | 0.957 | $2,239 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 09:10 AM | Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $4,229 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 09:05 AM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $11.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 07:14 AM | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $1,692 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 01:47 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.649 | $2,044 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 12:43 AM | Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY YES | 0.936 | $5,536 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 06:03 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.651 | $24.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 05:41 PM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.031 | $1,993 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 05:41 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.077 | $5,129 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 1, 05:38 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.073 | $2,359 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 1, 05:37 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.071 | $1,055 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 1, 05:37 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.068 | $1,573 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 1, 05:36 PM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.036 | $2,314 | —— |
| Jul 1, 04:42 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.699 | $1,242 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 03:48 PM | Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY NO | 0.923 | $1,604 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 01:48 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,178 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 01:31 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.818 | $3,714 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 11:15 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.832 | $5,437 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 10:36 PM | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY NO | 0.853 | $3,849 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 06:42 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $3,180 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 03:11 PM | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $1,933 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 12:24 PM | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.837 | $1,142 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 10:23 AM | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $6,198 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 09:50 AM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $4,777 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 09:50 AM | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $7,390 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 09:47 AM | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $7,805 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 09:45 AM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,124 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 12:08 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $6,626 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 11:16 PM | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $21.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 11:07 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.233 | $1,114 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 29, 11:06 PM | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $5,916 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 10:49 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,036 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 10:37 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $26.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 03:00 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.651 | $1,973 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 01:44 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.250 | $1,285 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 29, 11:48 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $1,873 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 11:13 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY YES | 0.270 | $3,673 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 27, 07:46 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.178 | $2,516 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 27, 02:14 AM | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $2,095 | —— |
| Jun 26, 07:38 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.197 | $7,029 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 25, 08:10 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.954 | $2,309 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 01:53 AM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $40.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 10:24 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.621 | $6,570 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 09:04 PM | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $5,214 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |