blkmont

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xfd97…0ec5 with our methodology badges per row.

0xfd978deb906c7b6b89a6550d2028e261ee290ec5·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

257

lifetime

PnL per $

-4%

historical realized

Win rate

65.0%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$2.06M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 257 resolved trades · -4% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.74M

avg $8,714 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$1.43M / $315.4K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 18, 11:02 PM	Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.999	$2,259	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.320	$1,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.786	$23.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.770	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY YES	0.563	$1,456	—
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.253	$80.0K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 08:20 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.050	$1,886	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:32 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.211	$11.0K	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:32 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.175	$3,654	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:28 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.219	$2,381	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 12, 02:28 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.208	$8,764	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 12, 01:10 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.199	$2,247	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:50 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.155	$2,347	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 09:50 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.952	$66.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:36 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.068	$4,220	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:41 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.374	$35.7K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:29 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.615	$6,320	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 07:29 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.613	$82.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 08:25 PM	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.975	$61.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 05:09 PM	Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	BUY NO	0.981	$3,199	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 03:12 PM	Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	BUY NO	0.883	$8,408	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 03:12 PM	Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	BUY YES	0.391	$1,750	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 10:52 PM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.023	$5,203	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 10:51 PM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.025	$4,998	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 10:47 PM	Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.524	$1,649	—
Jul 7, 10:47 PM	Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.610	$1,849	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:12 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.170	$11.8K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 06:05 PM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.035	$5,995	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:57 PM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.033	$2,119	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:56 PM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.033	$1,959	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:55 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.171	$1,075	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 05:42 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.229	$1,726	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:41 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.235	$3,146	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:22 PM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.014	$1,095	—
Jul 7, 05:21 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.074	$2,463	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 05:21 PM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.046	$6,427	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:21 PM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.011	$3,625	—
Jul 7, 04:20 PM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.011	$11.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:20 PM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.038	$1,028	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:15 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.062	$1,283	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 04:15 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.148	$6,207	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 04:15 PM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.034	$9,659	—
Jul 7, 04:15 PM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.010	$15.2K	—
Jul 7, 03:46 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.853	$42.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 12:09 AM	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.016	$2,067	—
Jul 7, 12:09 AM	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.974	$20.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:54 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.328	$5,022	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 07:40 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.896	$15.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 07:07 PM	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.950	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 07:07 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.136	$3,001	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 01:36 AM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.025	$1,554	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:36 AM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.052	$8,909	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:36 AM	Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.515	$1,348	—
Jul 6, 01:36 AM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.963	$4,893	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:15 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.927	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:15 AM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.045	$5,596	—
Jul 5, 09:20 PM	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.070	$1,049	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 08:10 PM	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.072	$1,728	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 08:03 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.021	$2,539	—
Jul 5, 08:02 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.018	$1,398	—
Jul 5, 08:02 PM	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.933	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 11:05 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.356	$1,866	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 10:33 PM	Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.790	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:33 PM	Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.789	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:31 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.352	$2,055	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 04:00 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.176	$12.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 03:59 AM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.032	$1,462	—
Jul 4, 02:49 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.170	$1,834	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:49 AM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.032	$1,200	—
Jul 4, 01:45 AM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.035	$7,953	—
Jul 4, 01:44 AM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.032	$1,992	—
Jul 4, 12:06 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.147	$21.5K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 11:20 PM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.023	$2,445	—
Jul 3, 03:10 AM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.005	$5,303	—
Jul 3, 01:05 AM	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.001	$1,009	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 01:02 AM	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.001	$1,000	—
Jul 3, 12:55 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.124	$7,636	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:53 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.127	$7,337	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:53 AM	Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.376	$3,381	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 12:49 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.129	$1,812	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:40 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.132	$1,224	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 12:26 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.133	$4,431	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:25 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.134	$4,823	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:12 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.135	$24.8K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 12:07 AM	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.471	$1,788	—
Jul 3, 12:07 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.130	$1,918	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 06:48 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.914	$26.7K	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:48 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.089	$6,591	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 05:48 PM	Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.542	$1,348	—
Jul 1, 05:40 PM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.032	$2,650	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:37 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.040	$1,317	—
Jul 1, 05:31 PM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.032	$4,023	—
Jul 1, 05:25 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.057	$3,928	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:14 PM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.031	$9,744	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:14 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.077	$7,712	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 05:07 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.940	$9,400	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 04:07 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.910	$45.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:06 PM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.029	$9,255	—
Jul 1, 04:06 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.908	$100.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 02:22 AM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.023	$3,086	—
Jul 1, 02:22 AM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.023	$5,000	—
Jun 30, 09:44 PM	Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.840	$3,046	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 09:19 PM	Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.819	$2,206	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 09:19 PM	Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	BUY YES	0.901	$2,601	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 09:19 PM	Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	BUY NO	0.916	$1,073	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:37 PM	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.004	$1,266	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 05:20 PM	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.004	$5,000	—
Jun 30, 03:59 AM	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.962	$56.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 03:50 AM	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.027	$1,000	—
Jun 30, 02:40 AM	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.938	$2,852	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 02:39 AM	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.939	$1,111	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 02:36 AM	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.990	$99.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 01:19 AM	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.955	$6,438	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 01:19 AM	Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.270	$2,000	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 30, 01:02 AM	Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.750	$4,928	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 06:17 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.108	$6,607	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 05:43 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.106	$6,485	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 05:29 PM	Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.540	$1,388	—
Jun 28, 07:45 PM	Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.751	$1,045	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 07:35 PM	Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.850	$15.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:29 AM	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.698	$2,153	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:27 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.113	$4,324	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:11 AM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.888	$3,845	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:10 AM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.822	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:40 PM	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.751	$1,860	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:32 PM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.017	$3,969	—
Jun 27, 10:20 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.094	$9,045	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 09:32 PM	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.300	$1,836	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 08:26 PM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.820	$4,028	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 08:26 PM	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.745	$1,010	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 06:31 PM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.810	$4,121	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 05:07 AM	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.886	$1,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 04:57 AM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.805	$5,103	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 04:52 AM	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.876	$2,839	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 04:46 AM	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.490	$1,159	—
Jun 27, 03:50 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.132	$2,328	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 03:14 AM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.547	$2,832	—
Jun 27, 12:48 AM	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.920	$1,659	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 12:42 AM	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.860	$39.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 12:42 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.133	$7,984	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 08:26 PM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.785	$4,789	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 08:23 PM	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.797	$2,304	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:15 PM	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.770	$4,029	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:15 PM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.671	$3,962	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:05 PM	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.618	$2,780	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 03:59 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.990	$2,317	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 03:59 AM	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,721	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 11:02 PM	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.855	$1,124	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 11:01 PM	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.881	$1,486	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 11:01 PM	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.877	$1,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:06 PM	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.833	$1,826	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 08:07 PM	Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	BUY YES	0.902	$8,538	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 02:56 AM	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,330	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:08 PM	Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.709	$7,097	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:08 PM	Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.679	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:08 PM	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.052	$1,490	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 08:04 PM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.008	$5,770	—
Jun 24, 07:28 PM	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.931	$1,535	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:36 AM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.015	$1,276	—
Jun 24, 02:05 AM	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.016	$3,346	—
Jun 24, 02:03 AM	Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.434	$1,895	—
Jun 23, 09:59 PM	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.990	$11.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 01:53 AM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	SELL YES	0.570	$1,136	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 01:52 AM	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.680	$1,030	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 01:51 AM	Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.618	$5,742	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 01:51 AM	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.621	$3,917	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 01:31 AM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.560	$1,028	—
Jun 22, 09:14 PM	Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	BUY YES	0.900	$4,322	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 01:49 AM	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.750	$2,771	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 01:14 AM	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.384	$1,040	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 11:34 PM	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.003	$1,076	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 11:26 PM	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.004	$1,052	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:43 PM	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.004	$2,029	—
Jun 21, 08:57 PM	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.010	$1,150	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 08:31 PM	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.011	$6,131	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 08:24 PM	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.013	$9,444	—
Jun 21, 04:03 AM	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.907	$3,544	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:59 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.990	$6,749	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:29 PM	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.270	$10.7K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 08:27 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.063	$5,609	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:21 PM	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.064	$5,698	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 01:29 AM	Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.650	$5,652	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:09 AM	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.409	$7,910	—
Jun 12, 08:57 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.990	$5,177	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:56 PM	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.570	$14.4K	—
Jun 12, 03:38 AM	Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.916	$1,076	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:38 AM	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.860	$2,580	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:17 AM	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.702	$5,834	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 01:36 AM	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY YES	0.628	$1,206	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 12:33 AM	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY YES	0.446	$7,332	—
Jun 11, 11:55 PM	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY NO	0.579	$7,806	—
Jun 11, 09:09 PM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.016	$1,107	—
Jun 11, 07:14 PM	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.018	$7,588	—
Jun 11, 07:14 PM	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.640	$10.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 12:22 AM	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY YES	0.423	$8,579	—
Jun 10, 12:22 AM	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY NO	0.438	$2,501	—
Jun 9, 03:33 AM	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL NO	0.400	$4,941	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 05:11 PM	0x9eaadf49	BUY NO	0.777	$2,748	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:11 PM	0x739e7561	BUY YES	0.773	$3,620	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 03:17 AM	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY YES	0.390	$13.6K	Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

78 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	22	$433.4K	+$219.2K
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	4	$218.2K	+$105.3K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	7	$135.5K	+$121.7K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	8	$125.6K	+$97.3K
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	7	$86.9K	+$69.1K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	13	$86.9K	+$21.5K
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	11	$54.5K	+$26.6K
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	8	$52.3K	+$9,699
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	14	$50.8K	+$15.8K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$50.0K	+$50.0K
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	2	$41.5K	+$41.5K
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	9	$36.5K	+$20.2K
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	3	$21.9K	+$21.9K
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$20.2K	+$20.2K
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	4	$18.8K	+$4,230
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	3	$17.6K	+$17.6K
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$14.4K	+$14.4K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	4	$14.3K	+$14.3K
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	1	$13.6K	+$13.6K
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Other	1	$11.4K	+$11.4K
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	2	$11.3K	+$89
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$10.7K	+$10.7K
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Crypto	3	$10.4K	+$2,475
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$10.4K	+$10.4K
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$10.0K	+$10.0K
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	2	$9,785	+$9,785
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Other	1	$8,538	+$8,538
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Other	1	$8,408	+$8,408
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	5	$8,059	+$6,039
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$7,910	+$7,910

Showing top 30 by volume.