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0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2c33…0563 with our methodology badges per row.

0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a0563·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
125
lifetime
PnL per $
+3%
historical realized
Win rate
77.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$2.94M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 125 resolved trades · 3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
146
Distinct markets
83
Volume (90d)
$3.65M
avg $25.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$3.63M / $22.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 146 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 10:41 PMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.941$11.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:35 PMExact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?BUY NO0.870$16.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:10 PMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.160$7,754Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:05 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.400$9,277Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:44 PMWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY YES0.960$10.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:41 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.350$2,562Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:39 PMExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?BUY NO0.820$8,149Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:38 PMExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?BUY NO0.830$4,885Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:32 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.620$164.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:32 PMExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?BUY NO0.830$7,785Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:30 PMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.055$22.9K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:21 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.344$1,838Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:08 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.190$3,938Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:08 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.130$56.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 06:48 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.870$94.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:08 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.921$21.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:51 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.980$37.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 03:36 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?BUY NO0.830$2,339Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:25 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.987$26.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:35 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.080$1,272Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 01:26 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.720$14.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:25 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.720$14.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:24 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.730$44.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:21 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.720$23.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:15 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.270$2,621Cheap band — no rep
Jun 13, 01:09 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.300$1,344Cheap band — no rep
Jun 13, 01:08 AMWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY NO0.700$2,726Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:02 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.520$3,640
Jun 13, 12:47 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.470$177.8K
Jun 13, 12:47 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.470$7,050
Jun 13, 12:37 AMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.770$331.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:37 AMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.770$14.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:36 AMWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$6,292Cheap band — no rep
Jun 12, 08:54 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.910$15.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:54 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.900$34.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:53 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.900$4,910Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:39 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.799$1,044Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:39 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.419$5,678
Jun 12, 07:09 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.760$7,185Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:08 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.510$3,105
Jun 12, 07:06 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.530$151.1K
Jun 12, 07:05 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.530$53.0K
Jun 12, 07:03 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.530$10.6K
Jun 12, 07:03 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.800$10.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:03 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.800$16.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:24 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.810$117.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:24 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.810$11.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:24 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.810$2,515Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:24 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.810$39.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:36 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.330$20.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:25 AMWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY NO0.640$64.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:14 AMWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY NO0.670$4,179Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:14 AMWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY NO0.660$7,243Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 01:48 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.630$63.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:17 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.850$6,344Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:44 PMWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY NO0.999$1,185Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:20 PMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY YES0.840$2,906Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:17 PMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY YES0.813$1,184Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:15 PMWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY NO0.786$1,578Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:04 PMWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY YES0.400$1,063Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 05:00 PMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY YES0.592$2,122
Jun 7, 04:49 PMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY YES0.817$1,574Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 12:10 PMWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY NO0.809$3,233Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 04:12 AMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?BUY NO0.998$8,847Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 06:06 PMWill Wales win on 2026-06-06?BUY NO0.600$78.6K
Jun 6, 06:05 PMWill Wales win on 2026-06-06?BUY NO0.600$60.0K
Jun 6, 03:50 AMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?BUY YES0.975$2,725Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 03:41 AMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?BUY NO0.998$29.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 03:31 AMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?BUY YES0.995$9,940Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 03:01 AMWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 6?BUY YES0.998$17.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 02:49 AMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6?BUY NO0.996$8,879Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 02:17 AMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 6?BUY NO0.999$13.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 07:36 PMWill Malta win on 2026-06-05?BUY NO0.300$3,571Cheap band — no rep
Jun 5, 06:37 PMWill Malta win on 2026-06-05?BUY YES0.240$1,738Cheap band — no rep
Jun 3, 07:29 PMWill Israel win on 2026-06-03?BUY NO0.800$69.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 01:58 PMWill Gibraltar win on 2026-06-03?BUY YES0.720$11.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:44 PMWill Romania win on 2026-06-02?BUY NO0.900$7,973Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 05:29 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-02?BUY NO0.940$159.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 04:11 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-02?BUY YES0.310$58.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 30, 10:58 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY NO0.420$3,676
May 30, 07:02 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.999$109.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:56 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.400$11.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 30, 06:56 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.400$1,201Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 05:52 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.880$8,795Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:43 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.670$3,738Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:21 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.460$40.9K
May 30, 04:18 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.580$5,758
May 30, 04:12 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.220$3,812Cheap band — no rep
May 30, 04:04 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.420$19.7K
May 30, 04:03 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.430$6,938
May 30, 01:42 PMExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?BUY NO0.987$84.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 10:48 AMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.430$25.8K
May 30, 06:17 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.674$57.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 10:33 PMWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY NO0.950$137.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:43 PMWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?BUY NO0.380$1,628Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 12:13 AMWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?BUY NO0.500$3,482
May 23, 08:40 PMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.730$7,321Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:25 PMWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.700$7,820Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:00 PMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?BUY NO0.350$33.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 23, 06:59 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.490$4,900
May 23, 01:56 PMWill Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?BUY NO0.436$21.8K
May 23, 10:13 AMWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.800$3,222Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:45 AMWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?BUY NO0.670$7,071Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:45 AMWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?BUY NO0.660$1,398Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 01:49 AMWill Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?BUY NO0.670$1,781Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:36 AMWill Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21?BUY YES0.400$2,386Killed band — neutral expectation
May 20, 10:53 PMWill CA Boston River win on 2026-05-20?BUY YES0.770$5,318Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:08 PMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?BUY NO0.390$6,894Killed band — neutral expectation
May 20, 07:02 PMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?BUY NO0.390$4,680Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 07:21 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY YES0.290$2,515Cheap band — no rep
May 18, 07:23 AMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?BUY NO0.910$18.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 12:07 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.850$17.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 07:03 PMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.680$4,496Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 06:08 PMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.630$5,039Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 04:07 PMWill Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?BUY NO0.760$3,689Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 04:05 PMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.700$3,972Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:59 PMWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.910$9,098Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:58 PMWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.890$8,563Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:55 PMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.930$3,561Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:11 PMWill FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.840$3,977Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:04 PMWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.640$1,842Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:03 PMWill SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.960$2,322Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:02 PMWill DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.990$2,510Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:58 PMWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.570$2,847
May 17, 02:55 PMWill DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.970$9,048Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:54 PMWill SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.940$2,303Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:52 PMWill SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.930$1,903Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:19 PMWill FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.720$7,180Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:14 PMWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.890$8,877Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 01:10 PMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.520$4,570
May 17, 11:56 AMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.999$24.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 11:56 AMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.999$377.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 11:51 AMWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.950$7,781Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 11:28 AMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.370$18.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 17, 11:21 AMWill Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.930$4,649Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:57 AMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.830$5,788Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:38 AMWill SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.560$9,172
May 17, 09:16 AMWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.570$10.9K
May 17, 07:34 AMWill VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.600$1,973
May 17, 07:13 AMWill DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.450$6,023
May 16, 03:47 PMWill Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.630$17.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 02:03 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?BUY NO0.450$4,920
May 16, 02:02 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?BUY NO0.450$2,748
May 16, 01:32 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?BUY NO0.450$9,931
May 16, 01:24 PMWill FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.500$11.6K
May 16, 10:48 AMWill Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?BUY NO0.570$14.9K

Markets active in

83 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?Other2$402.1K+$402.1K
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Other2$345.5K+$345.5K
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other11$317.5K+$317.5K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Other7$272.7K+$272.7K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?Other2$218.0K+$218.0K
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Other9$211.2K+$211.2K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other3$168.9K+$168.9K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Other3$160.3K+$160.3K
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06?Other2$138.6K+$138.6K
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics1$137.7K+$137.7K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Tech1$109.2K+$109.2K
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?Tech1$84.9K+$84.9K
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Other2$83.0K+$83.0K
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Other3$75.4K+$75.4K
Will Israel win on 2026-06-03?Other1$69.1K+$69.1K
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$57.3K+$57.3K
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other5$51.6K+$51.6K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Other1$40.9K+$40.9K
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Other1$37.8K+$37.8K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?Other1$33.9K+$33.9K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?Crypto1$29.8K+$29.8K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other2$23.4K+$23.4K
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$22.9K$-22,888
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?Other3$22.8K+$22.8K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Crypto1$21.9K+$21.9K
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?Other1$21.8K+$21.8K
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Other3$20.8K+$20.8K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?Other1$18.5K+$18.5K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Finance1$18.2K+$18.2K
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?Other2$17.7K+$17.7K

Showing top 30 by volume.