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gollaza

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x16b2…aa5a with our methodology badges per row.

0x16b251e0f8b8315a871e7a14596a01da3b53aa5a·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
70
lifetime
PnL per $
-8%
historical realized
Win rate
58.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$215.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 70 resolved trades · -8% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
190
Distinct markets
112
Volume (90d)
$478.3K
avg $2,517 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$317.3K / $161.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 190 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:42 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.800$4,264Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:29 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.670$1,282— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:28 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.730$1,742— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:28 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.731$8,278— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:26 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.774$2,553Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.705$10.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:02 PMWill France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.337$10.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:02 PMWill England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.359$1,604Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 11:14 AMDaejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.990$2,454— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:13 AMDaejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.910$2,256Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:53 AMWill Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.708$1,289Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.850$8,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.253$5,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 08:15 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.820$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 06:44 PMWill Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?SELL NO0.390$1,235— (SELL)
Jul 14, 06:43 PMWill Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?BUY NO0.829$8,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 10:47 AMWill Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-12?BUY NO0.833$1,859Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:06 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.144$4,175— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:50 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.150$8,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 09:29 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.395$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 06:30 PMPFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.910$1,165Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:45 PMWill Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.719$1,164Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:33 AMWill United States win on 2026-07-06?SELL NO0.830$1,169— (SELL)
Jul 7, 12:32 AMWill United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.768$1,081Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:32 PMWill Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?BUY NO0.580$2,000
Jul 4, 11:24 AMWill Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-04?SELL NO0.780$1,818— (SELL)
Jul 4, 11:20 AMWill Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-04?BUY NO0.840$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:42 PMWill Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?SELL YES0.540$1,268— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:40 PMWill Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?SELL YES0.600$2,200— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:37 PMWill Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.663$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:17 AMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?SELL NO0.797$1,598— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:16 AMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY NO0.880$1,763Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 07:38 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?SELL YES0.870$1,555— (SELL)
Jul 2, 07:36 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.850$1,519Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 01:48 AMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?SELL YES0.980$1,125— (SELL)
Jul 2, 01:47 AMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.893$1,025Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 11:24 AMWill Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?BUY NO0.658$3,975Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 11:24 AMWill Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.400$1,214Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 03:19 AMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?SELL YES0.640$1,667— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:16 AMAlgeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.999$2,442— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:16 AMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?SELL NO0.740$14.4K— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:15 AMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?SELL NO0.740$2,764— (SELL)
Jun 28, 02:44 AMAlgeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.659$1,612Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:44 AMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.430$10.0K
Jun 28, 02:28 AMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.399$1,038Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 01:04 AMWill DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?SELL YES0.480$2,738— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:01 AMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?SELL NO0.840$1,228— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:01 AMWill DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?BUY YES0.519$3,228
Jun 28, 01:01 AMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.711$1,406Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:02 AMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.837$3,878Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 12:16 AMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?SELL NO0.780$1,251— (SELL)
Jun 26, 12:16 AMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY NO0.714$1,146Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 02:05 AMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.800$1,214Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 12:13 AMWill Panama win on 2026-06-23?SELL NO0.950$2,735— (SELL)
Jun 24, 12:12 AMWill Panama win on 2026-06-23?BUY NO0.910$2,620Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:04 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?SELL YES0.820$1,217— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:04 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?SELL YES0.820$2,577— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:04 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?SELL YES0.820$2,650— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:04 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?SELL YES0.821$2,442— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:03 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.698$7,560Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:49 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?SELL NO0.580$3,560— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:49 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.290$4,023— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:20 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.890$5,483Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:20 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.703$9,617Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:42 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?SELL YES0.600$1,337— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:39 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY YES0.592$1,318
Jun 12, 03:38 AMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?SELL NO0.950$1,530— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:38 AMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.881$1,419Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:58 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?BUY YES0.775$1,221Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 05:15 PMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?BUY NO0.880$3,761Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:42 PMWill Philippines win on 2026-06-09?SELL YES0.960$1,077— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:21 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-07?SELL NO0.450$1,634— (SELL)
Jun 7, 07:20 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-07?BUY NO0.515$2,443
Jun 6, 11:13 PM0x4b1095c1SELL YES0.790$1,036— (SELL)
Jun 6, 10:14 PM0x2e648391BUY YES0.263$1,560Cheap band — no rep
Jun 6, 07:45 PM0x570025bcBUY YES0.809$1,232Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 06:18 AM0x6205288eSELL NO0.590$1,087— (SELL)
Jun 6, 06:17 AM0x6205288eBUY NO0.748$1,379Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 05:20 PM0xc454cc68BUY NO0.705$5,106Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 05:15 PM0x9d5c13b9BUY YES0.900$1,085Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 02:47 PM0x5ea38824SELL YES0.412$1,082— (SELL)
Jun 5, 02:40 PM0x38003a20SELL NO0.730$4,045— (SELL)
Jun 5, 02:36 PM0x38003a20BUY NO0.769$4,453Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 02:36 PM0x5ea38824BUY YES0.519$3,324
Jun 3, 07:14 PM0xd7a37962SELL NO0.790$1,189— (SELL)
Jun 3, 07:14 PM0xd7a37962BUY NO0.820$1,234Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:06 PM0x286739fdBUY NO0.591$1,971
Jun 1, 05:21 PM0xdf75b3bbBUY YES0.870$1,016Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 02:39 PM0x2bd86ac8SELL YES0.930$2,273— (SELL)
May 31, 02:32 PM0x2bd86ac8BUY YES0.750$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 03:22 AM0xdfbefb97SELL YES0.810$4,293— (SELL)
May 31, 03:22 AM0xdfbefb97SELL YES0.810$1,227— (SELL)
May 31, 02:35 AM0xdfbefb97BUY YES0.840$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 01:18 AM0x90f827eeBUY YES0.850$1,205Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 04:07 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?SELL NO0.750$2,509— (SELL)
May 30, 04:06 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY NO0.653$2,185Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 03:19 PM0x7e9b18e6SELL YES0.930$1,524— (SELL)
May 30, 03:15 PM0x7e9b18e6BUY YES0.760$1,246Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 11:12 PM0x48e2fad8BUY NO0.604$1,180Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:10 PM0x08529defBUY NO0.736$1,440Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 06:04 PM0xa91ce1a3BUY NO0.720$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:23 PM0x13ec2896SELL YES0.840$1,743— (SELL)
May 24, 03:23 PM0x13ec2896BUY YES0.733$2,354Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:58 PM0x1620351cBUY NO0.783$1,003Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:19 PM0x713c1479BUY NO0.867$2,115Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:05 PM0x8175fd61BUY NO0.682$3,038Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:17 PM0x3d672494BUY NO0.459$1,040
May 23, 12:10 PM0x8401d470SELL NO0.940$1,524— (SELL)
May 23, 12:10 PM0x8401d470BUY NO0.850$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 05:03 AM0xa764d32aBUY NO0.458$1,822
May 22, 08:25 PM0x53a11f48BUY NO0.793$1,565Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 07:21 PM0x76d45d96SELL YES0.760$1,004— (SELL)
May 22, 07:19 PM0x76d45d96BUY YES0.878$1,160Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 10:35 PM0x63907312SELL YES0.770$1,040— (SELL)
May 21, 10:34 PM0x63907312BUY YES0.820$1,108Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 06:11 PM0x9462ee11SELL YES0.630$1,022— (SELL)
May 21, 06:11 PM0xf81998b0SELL NO0.710$2,252— (SELL)
May 21, 06:09 PM0xf81998b0BUY NO0.788$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:00 AM0xa5a310fdSELL YES0.990$1,770— (SELL)
May 21, 03:48 AM0xa5a310fdBUY YES0.795$1,421Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 01:04 AM0x6a011bb8BUY NO0.730$1,491Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:11 PM0xe3fed7d5BUY YES0.848$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 12:49 AM0xa73828c3SELL NO0.820$1,300— (SELL)
May 20, 12:31 AM0xa73828c3BUY NO0.789$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 12:10 AM0xd062e66bBUY NO0.827$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 07:33 PM0x2267516fBUY NO0.720$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 07:08 PM0x053f9573BUY NO0.468$3,860
May 17, 07:02 PM0xec75b967SELL YES0.680$1,235— (SELL)
May 17, 07:02 PM0xec75b967SELL YES0.690$1,073— (SELL)
May 17, 07:02 PM0xec75b967SELL YES0.690$1,916— (SELL)
May 17, 07:01 PM0xec75b967BUY YES0.530$4,500
May 17, 06:41 PM0xb679c8b1BUY YES0.792$1,426Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 06:19 PM0xfbf7591dBUY NO0.749$1,171Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 05:27 PM0x5c15d07cSELL YES0.507$2,730— (SELL)
May 17, 05:26 PM0x60b499a8BUY NO0.640$1,126Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 05:26 PM0x5c15d07cBUY YES0.267$1,842Cheap band — no rep
May 17, 05:19 PM0x5b8bfb19SELL NO0.903$2,591— (SELL)
May 17, 05:19 PM0x5b8bfb19SELL NO0.910$1,312— (SELL)
May 17, 05:18 PM0x5b8bfb19BUY NO0.812$3,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 04:51 PM0x68baa454SELL YES0.853$1,957— (SELL)
May 17, 04:50 PM0x68baa454BUY YES0.861$2,508Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:43 PM0xe3188609SELL YES0.795$1,777— (SELL)
May 17, 02:41 PM0x6d84aa55BUY NO0.870$1,293Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:41 PM0xe3188609BUY YES0.580$1,500
May 17, 02:40 PM0x34716612BUY NO0.520$3,500
May 17, 01:56 PM0xe3188609SELL NO0.580$1,029— (SELL)
May 17, 01:54 PM0x6d84aa55BUY YES0.180$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 17, 01:10 PM0x70091c7eBUY NO0.540$2,000
May 17, 12:49 PM0x255388b2BUY NO0.585$1,250
May 17, 11:39 AM0xbf985b2bSELL YES0.650$1,789— (SELL)
May 17, 11:38 AMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?SELL YES0.770$2,350— (SELL)
May 17, 11:37 AMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.643$2,463Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 11:37 AM0xbf985b2bBUY YES0.908$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:42 AM0x5f1d09abBUY NO0.849$1,757Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:33 AM0x9622e250SELL NO0.450$1,420— (SELL)
May 17, 10:31 AM0x9622e250BUY NO0.464$2,500
May 17, 06:35 AM0x6954704fSELL NO0.581$1,008— (SELL)
May 16, 11:47 PM0x09881d75SELL YES0.650$1,293— (SELL)
May 16, 11:45 PM0x09881d75BUY YES0.701$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 03:31 PM0x8fa4e4e7BUY NO0.860$3,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 02:46 PM0x7e809134SELL NO0.680$2,256— (SELL)
May 16, 02:44 PM0x7e809134BUY NO0.370$1,265Killed band — neutral expectation
May 16, 02:32 PM0x30d49ac0SELL YES0.540$3,739— (SELL)
May 16, 02:32 PM0x8fa4e4e7SELL NO0.820$4,269— (SELL)
May 16, 02:27 PM0x30d49ac0BUY YES0.650$4,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 02:27 PM0x8fa4e4e7BUY NO0.864$4,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 02:07 PM0x7e809134BUY YES0.390$2,859Killed band — neutral expectation
May 15, 07:28 PM0x493e5516SELL NO0.670$4,000— (SELL)
May 15, 07:27 PM0xd7f854b8BUY YES0.468$1,025
May 15, 07:27 PM0x493e5516BUY NO0.670$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 07:31 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?SELL YES0.860$3,027— (SELL)
May 13, 07:31 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?SELL YES0.850$1,536— (SELL)
May 13, 07:31 PMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?BUY YES0.751$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 06:06 PM0xaecc85e7BUY NO0.841$2,007Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 08:27 PM0x5bfb7755BUY YES0.700$2,107Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 06:50 PM0xd5a89121SELL NO0.800$1,234— (SELL)
May 10, 06:47 PM0xd5a89121BUY NO0.810$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 05:06 PM0x8bda06e6BUY YES0.899$1,937Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 02:19 PM0x978777adBUY NO0.497$3,500
May 10, 12:06 PM0xdd625d43BUY YES0.900$3,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 11:23 AM0x06003378BUY YES0.320$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
May 10, 11:23 AM0xad12ed22BUY NO0.585$1,500
May 10, 10:18 AM0xad12ed22SELL NO0.750$1,222— (SELL)
May 10, 10:16 AM0xad12ed22BUY NO0.767$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 10:16 AM0x96e69ae6BUY YES0.661$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 05:47 PM0xea37927aSELL YES0.800$1,758— (SELL)
May 9, 05:47 PM0xea37927aBUY YES0.730$1,604Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 05:17 AM0x60ced2aeBUY NO0.627$1,390Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 07:04 PM0x96f47c88SELL NO0.743$1,320— (SELL)
May 8, 07:04 PM0x96f47c88BUY NO0.640$1,138Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

112 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Other5$29.9K$-7,838
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$29.3K+$9,244
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$25.2K+$16.8K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Other5$16.4K$-1,326
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other2$13.6K+$5,594
0x8fa4e4e73$12.3K+$3,731
0xdfbefb973$11.5K+$480
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.1K+$10.1K
Will Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?Other2$9,234+$6,765
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Other2$9,044+$1,923
0xec75b9674$8,725+$275
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Other3$8,563$-564
0x38003a202$8,498+$407
0x30d49ac02$8,239+$762
0x493e55162$8,000$0
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?Other3$7,469+$531
0x5b8bfb193$7,403$-403
0x7e8091343$6,380+$1,869
0x2bd86ac82$6,273+$1,727
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Other2$5,966+$490
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?Other2$5,355$-115
0xc454cc681$5,106+$5,106
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$5,000+$5,000
0x2267516f1$5,000+$5,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?Other2$4,812+$113
0xf81998b02$4,752+$248
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$4,710$-198
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Tech2$4,694$-324
0x5c15d07c2$4,572$-888
0x68baa4542$4,466+$551

Showing top 30 by volume.