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0x000c…bcf3

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x000c…bcf3 with our methodology badges per row.

0x000c8cb93bb5fd4c9f292c6b4c5f7c021bb6bcf3·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
320
lifetime
PnL per $
-18%
historical realized
Win rate
50.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.82M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 320 resolved trades · -18% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
53
Volume (90d)
$1.11M
avg $5,528 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$841.1K / $264.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:01 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.639$3,840— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:01 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.644$6,025— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:01 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.646$1,405— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:48 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.417$34.3K
Jul 19, 06:34 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.427$25.8K
Jul 19, 04:39 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.263$7,889Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 04:26 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.067$4,149— (SELL)
Jul 19, 12:44 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.095$3,989Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 12:44 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.086$1,416Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 12:43 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.064$3,945— (SELL)
Jul 19, 12:43 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.069$3,306— (SELL)
Jul 19, 12:41 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.076$6,907Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 06:04 AMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.520$9,740
Jul 18, 02:13 AMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.520$3,851
Jul 17, 03:48 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.500$1,960
Jul 17, 12:50 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.585$4,973— (SELL)
Jul 17, 12:13 AMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.500$4,863
Jul 16, 10:46 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.430$2,931
Jul 16, 10:17 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.500$1,960
Jul 16, 03:14 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY YES0.998$3,293Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 02:29 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL YES0.997$2,474— (SELL)
Jul 16, 02:25 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL YES0.997$4,943— (SELL)
Jul 16, 02:12 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL YES0.996$12.4K— (SELL)
Jul 16, 02:09 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY YES0.998$22.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 01:04 PMWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY NO0.943$4,193Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 12:25 PMWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY YES0.629$3,756Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 12:25 PMWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY YES0.581$4,336
Jul 16, 09:05 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.580$4,930
Jul 16, 07:11 AMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.656$26.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 07:11 AMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.643$31.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 07:11 AMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.641$1,617Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 07:11 AMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.641$14.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 02:26 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.580$30.7K
Jul 16, 02:25 AMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL YES0.997$1,865— (SELL)
Jul 15, 11:25 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL YES0.997$2,491— (SELL)
Jul 15, 11:10 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL YES0.997$24.7K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 10:34 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL YES0.997$10.8K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:32 PMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY YES0.998$44.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:30 PMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?SELL YES0.999$1,025— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:10 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.998$1,163— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:08 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.998$4,043— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:08 PMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?SELL YES0.999$1,142— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:06 PMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?SELL YES0.999$1,099— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:05 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.998$1,550— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:05 PMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?SELL YES0.999$1,414— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:05 PMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL YES0.999$1,047— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:05 PMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL YES0.999$13.8K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:05 PMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?SELL YES0.999$14.2K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:58 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.934$4,963Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:55 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.897$4,620— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:54 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.907$3,971— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:54 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.892$18.9K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:54 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.903$1,652— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:52 PMExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.750$1,073Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PMExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.825$4,026Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PMExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.869$19.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PMExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.810$16.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PMExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.774$1,790Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PMExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.774$3,837Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:47 PMExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.721$1,442Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:18 PMExact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY YES0.336$1,555Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:18 PMExact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY YES0.329$2,191Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:04 PMExact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.110$1,350Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 04:52 PMWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.540$6,059
Jul 15, 04:50 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.362$3,267Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 02:58 PMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.468$4,981
Jul 15, 02:57 PMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.460$1,794
Jul 15, 08:55 AMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.355$4,895Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 02:10 AMWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.540$1,807
Jul 15, 02:10 AMWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.550$3,125
Jul 14, 11:59 PMWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.550$5,359
Jul 14, 11:16 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.320$7,852Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 09:02 PMExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?SELL YES0.999$1,690— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:59 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?SELL YES0.998$1,096— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:50 PMExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?BUY YES0.645$1,438Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:40 PMExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?BUY YES0.170$1,301Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:34 PMExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?BUY YES0.169$1,428Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:34 PMExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?BUY YES0.231$1,417Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 08:33 PMExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?BUY YES0.330$1,180Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:49 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.377$1,101Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:49 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.377$3,325Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:49 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.358$1,113Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:35 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.195$1,089Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:13 PMExact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?BUY YES0.110$1,973Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:13 PMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?BUY YES0.132$4,871Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:11 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.383$9,180Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:11 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.377$13.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:10 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.365$6,855Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 05:58 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.580$8,080
Jul 14, 01:51 PMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.310$3,264Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 09:10 AMWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY YES0.047$1,144
Jul 14, 09:10 AMWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY YES0.043$1,500
Jul 14, 09:09 AMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?BUY YES0.070$4,334Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:52 AMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.600$5,855
Jul 14, 08:41 AMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.300$19.5KCheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 07:09 AMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.407$8,096
Jul 14, 03:11 AMWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY NO0.991$13.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 03:11 AMWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY YES0.032$1,010
Jul 14, 03:11 AMWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY NO0.991$13.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 02:58 AMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY NO0.992$39.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 02:56 AMWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY NO0.949$2,970Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 02:04 AMWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY NO0.987$5,641Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 02:04 AMWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY NO0.983$8,868Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 02:02 AMWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY NO0.952$2,537Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 01:58 AMWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY NO0.976$7,706Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 09:24 PMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL YES0.010$1,051— (SELL)
Jul 13, 08:22 PMWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY YES0.080$4,410Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 13, 08:22 PMWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY YES0.075$1,277Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 13, 08:18 PMWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY YES0.088$1,101Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 13, 07:57 PMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY YES0.068$1,150Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 13, 07:49 PMWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY NO0.985$7,106Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 07:49 PMWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY NO0.981$2,599Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 07:47 PMWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY NO0.984$15.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 07:30 PMWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY NO0.992$84.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 07:05 PMWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY NO0.980$7,302Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 10:05 AMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.412$1,550
Jul 12, 02:52 PMWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.606$1,879Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 03:45 AMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.524$1,033
Jul 12, 03:41 AMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?SELL YES0.999$2,063— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:01 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?SELL YES0.998$1,113— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:57 AMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?BUY YES0.833$1,736Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:55 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.768$1,570Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:54 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.240$1,252— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:52 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?BUY YES0.317$2,064Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:38 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?SELL YES0.348$8,444— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:38 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?SELL YES0.333$2,617— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:37 AMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?SELL YES0.414$1,845— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:28 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.782$3,620— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:15 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.797$1,658— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:15 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.799$3,976— (SELL)
Jul 12, 01:54 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?BUY YES0.247$1,471Cheap band — no rep
Jul 12, 12:57 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.563$2,346
Jul 12, 12:30 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.570$2,471
Jul 12, 12:17 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.570$2,977
Jul 12, 12:06 AMExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?SELL YES0.999$4,655— (SELL)
Jul 12, 12:06 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.575$1,465
Jul 12, 12:01 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?BUY YES0.114$3,788Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 11:58 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.575$1,977
Jul 11, 11:35 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.570$1,311
Jul 11, 11:29 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.998$2,469— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:25 PMExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?SELL YES0.999$2,473— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:25 PMExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?SELL YES0.999$5,192— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:07 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.998$8,426— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:59 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.978$2,528Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:59 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.978$5,736Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:54 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.772$1,238Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:52 PMExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?BUY YES0.700$1,021Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:43 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.207$1,209Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 10:19 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.385$1,834Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 10:04 PMExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?BUY YES0.230$1,916Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 09:46 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.444$1,882— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:28 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.570$1,084
Jul 11, 05:22 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.580$3,262
Jul 11, 03:38 PMExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?BUY YES0.120$1,791Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 12:18 PMExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?BUY YES0.120$1,384Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 03:00 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.580$13.2K
Jul 11, 12:18 AMExact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?BUY NO0.966$1,117Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 12:10 AMExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?BUY YES0.130$1,858Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 12:10 AMExact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?BUY YES0.100$1,818Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 12:09 AMExact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?BUY YES0.070$1,999Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 12:07 AMExact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?BUY YES0.068$1,953Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 09:03 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.998$5,751— (SELL)
Jul 10, 09:02 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?SELL YES0.999$1,575— (SELL)
Jul 10, 09:01 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.998$1,487— (SELL)
Jul 10, 09:01 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?SELL YES0.999$4,137— (SELL)
Jul 10, 09:00 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.998$2,031— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:55 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.900$2,232— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:53 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.902$1,897— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:53 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.900$1,497— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:52 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.890$1,202— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:51 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.890$2,257— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:51 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.889$1,933— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:51 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.900$1,018— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:50 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?BUY YES0.730$1,269Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:50 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.905$1,869— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:50 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.902$1,004— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:48 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?SELL YES0.662$1,619— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:47 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.645$2,739Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:46 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.280$1,089— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:46 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.610$2,507Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 07:53 PMExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?SELL YES0.157$1,711— (SELL)
Jul 10, 07:18 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.255$1,443Cheap band — no rep
Jul 10, 07:16 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.590$5,741
Jul 10, 07:01 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.598$1,008
Jul 10, 06:40 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.590$1,161
Jul 10, 03:17 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.610$13.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 02:23 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.605$4,990Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 02:22 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.605$1,996Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 02:17 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.605$1,197Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 02:13 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.605$4,989Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 01:53 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.605$1,171Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 01:05 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.603$1,029Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 04:59 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.570$4,990
Jul 9, 10:16 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.394$1,084Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 10:04 PMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?SELL YES0.999$3,555— (SELL)
Jul 9, 10:03 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?SELL YES0.998$2,304— (SELL)
Jul 9, 10:03 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?SELL YES0.998$9,370— (SELL)
Jul 9, 10:03 PMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?SELL YES0.999$1,219— (SELL)
Jul 9, 10:01 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?SELL YES0.998$1,369— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:59 PMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?BUY YES0.920$1,120Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

53 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Other10$129.5K+$10.2K
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Other6$105.5K+$105.5K
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other10$97.6K+$74.8K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech23$61.8K+$11.2K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech9$57.4K+$24.9K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Other9$48.7K$-23,115
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?Other7$48.5K+$48.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Other14$45.6K+$24.6K
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Entertainment3$42.1K+$40.0K
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Other6$40.3K+$40.3K
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Other6$38.0K+$38.0K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$34.3K+$34.3K
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Other4$32.9K+$32.9K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Tech2$28.8K+$28.8K
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other5$22.7K$-7,061
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other5$22.4K+$22.4K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Tech2$20.6K+$18.4K
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Other5$20.4K$-1,394
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?Other5$18.9K$-18,853
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?Other4$16.9K$-5,210
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other4$16.4K+$16.4K
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?Other5$15.2K$-9,439
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other2$13.9K+$13.9K
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Other3$13.0K$-13,043
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Tech4$8,308+$5,070
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Other2$8,162+$8,162
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Other2$8,092+$8,092
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Other1$7,889+$7,889
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?Tech3$6,980$-4,443
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?Other3$5,894$-3,653

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