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CandleHammerDrums

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x7c1e…bab3 with our methodology badges per row.

0x7c1ee865a785de4c00ee90ed86a38489fb8bbab3·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
99
lifetime
PnL per $
-2%
historical realized
Win rate
49.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$3.83M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 99 resolved trades · -2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
108
Distinct markets
59
Volume (90d)
$4.15M
avg $38.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$4.15M / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 108 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 08:09 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.397$1,459Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:03 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.395$3,916Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:01 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.393$7,007Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:59 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.416$41.6K
Jul 19, 06:52 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.417$166.8K
Jul 19, 06:32 PMSpain leading at halftime?BUY YES0.330$11.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:25 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.409$316.6K
Jul 18, 08:56 PMWill France vs. England end in a draw?BUY NO0.780$117.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 04:31 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.583$22.6K
Jul 15, 08:24 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.625$3,610Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:53 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.438$21.2K
Jul 10, 05:23 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.393$39.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:48 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.260$26.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 03:59 PMArgentina leading at halftime?BUY YES0.540$13.5K
Jul 7, 03:15 PMArgentina leading at halftime?BUY YES0.540$59.0K
Jul 7, 12:44 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.650$9,723Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:20 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.627$70.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 11:50 PMWill United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.640$128.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:07 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.420$21.0K
Jul 6, 06:58 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.500$50.0K
Jul 6, 06:55 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.500$50.0K
Jul 6, 06:21 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.500$50.0K
Jul 6, 06:08 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.500$50.0K
Jul 6, 05:12 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.340$28.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 05:12 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.340$24.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 05:12 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.340$48.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 01:25 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.310$46.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 01:19 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.310$6,210Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 12:49 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.320$64.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 11:17 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.320$16.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:53 PMMexico leading at halftime?BUY YES0.250$3,681Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 10:47 PMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY NO0.630$63.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:06 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.320$24.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:59 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$55.0K
Jul 5, 07:56 PMBrazil leading at halftime?BUY YES0.400$12.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:54 PMBrazil leading at halftime?BUY YES0.400$12.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:52 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$55.0K
Jul 5, 07:49 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$82.5K
Jul 5, 07:29 PMBrazil leading at halftime?BUY YES0.400$5,124Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:12 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$27.3K
Jul 5, 07:12 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$137.7K
Jul 4, 04:51 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.530$53.0K
Jul 4, 04:49 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.530$39.8K
Jul 4, 04:46 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.530$53.0K
Jul 4, 04:40 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.530$153.7K
Jul 4, 01:29 AMWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.110$11.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:53 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.140$3,368Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:53 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.140$9,199Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:53 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.140$1,433Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 02:56 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.490$31.9K
Jul 3, 02:49 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.490$196.0K
Jul 1, 07:57 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.230$11.5KCheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 07:55 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.230$46.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 07:51 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY NO0.500$95.0K
Jul 1, 12:47 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.430$5,590
Jul 1, 12:27 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.430$43.0K
Jun 30, 04:57 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.450$135.0K
Jun 28, 06:56 PMWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$20.3KCheap band — no rep
Jun 28, 05:51 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY NO0.470$85.5K
Jun 28, 05:51 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY NO0.470$22.3K
Jun 28, 05:49 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY NO0.470$97.9K
Jun 28, 01:42 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.870$87.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 12:34 AMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.500$50.0K
Jun 28, 12:33 AMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.490$1,227
Jun 27, 11:20 PMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.180$18.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 07:04 PMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.740$30.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 06:08 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.280$3,801Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 02:47 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.370$40.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 10:47 PMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.690$24.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 10:46 PMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.690$34.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 10:41 PMWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.410$82.0K
Jun 25, 12:49 AMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.170$13.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 12:48 AMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.210$16.8KCheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 12:24 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.420$2,756
Jun 24, 09:50 PMBrazil leading at halftime?BUY YES0.550$21.2K
Jun 24, 09:06 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.009$2,021
Jun 24, 08:38 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.009$1,347
Jun 24, 06:46 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.700$31.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 06:32 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.390$46.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 01:50 AMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.640$12.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 01:14 AMColombia leading at halftime?BUY YES0.470$19.7K
Jun 24, 01:07 AMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.640$64.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 09:29 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.680$40.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 02:41 AMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.350$22.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 04:26 PMWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.110$10.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 04:25 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.330$14.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 12:21 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.400$16.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 12:19 AMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.160$4,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 12:10 AMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.160$16.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 09:54 PMUruguay leading at halftime?BUY YES0.520$1,015
Jun 21, 09:25 PMUruguay leading at halftime?BUY YES0.530$49.8K
Jun 21, 09:12 PMUruguay leading at halftime?BUY YES0.520$3,494
Jun 21, 08:43 PMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY YES0.610$21.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 08:43 PMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY YES0.600$8,201
Jun 21, 08:37 PMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY YES0.540$27.0K
Jun 21, 05:38 PMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.120$12.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 05:37 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.310$31.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 07:03 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.330$16.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 06:53 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.330$29.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 06:53 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.330$20.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 06:52 AMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.120$5,894Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:56 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.486$16.2K
Jun 21, 01:02 AMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.079$7,900Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 10:17 PMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.160$2,954Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:24 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.140$5,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 11:53 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.490$26.7K
Jun 11, 11:25 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.210$28.8KCheap band — no rep
Jun 11, 11:25 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.210$2,678Cheap band — no rep

Markets active in

59 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech5$386.2K+$386.2K
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other5$357.5K+$357.5K
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Other4$299.4K+$299.4K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Other2$227.8K+$227.8K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Tech5$221.0K+$221.0K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Other3$205.7K+$205.7K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Other5$182.2K+$182.2K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$173.8K+$173.8K
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Other5$156.7K+$156.7K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Other1$135.0K+$135.0K
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Other1$128.0K+$128.0K
Will France vs. England end in a draw?Other1$117.0K+$117.0K
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Other4$97.0K+$97.0K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Other1$95.0K+$95.0K
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Other1$87.0K+$87.0K
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?Other1$82.0K+$82.0K
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Other2$76.8K+$76.8K
Argentina leading at halftime?Other2$72.5K+$72.5K
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?Other3$69.2K+$69.2K
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Other1$63.0K+$63.0K
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Other2$58.6K+$58.6K
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Other2$57.5K+$57.5K
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Other3$56.6K+$56.6K
Uruguay leading at halftime?Other3$54.3K+$54.3K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Other2$48.6K+$48.6K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Other1$46.8K+$46.8K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Other1$40.8K+$40.8K
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Other1$40.7K+$40.7K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech1$39.3K+$39.3K
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?Other1$31.5K+$31.5K

Showing top 30 by volume.