neutralwave23

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5b63…11a4 with our methodology badges per row.

0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

911

lifetime

PnL per $

-3%

historical realized

Win rate

50.2%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$5.74M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 911 resolved trades · -3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$729.9K

avg $3,649 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$495.2K / $234.7K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 20, 06:51 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.924	$2,475	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 11:11 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$7,135	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:53 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,219	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:53 PM	Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,556	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:10 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$2,856	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:05 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,456	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:02 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$6,115	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:43 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.939	$1,274	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:37 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.399	$1,384	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:31 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.356	$2,364	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:20 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.303	$1,576	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.413	$1,070	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:04 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.710	$5,175	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:02 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.241	$5,225	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:41 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.161	$4,672	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:35 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.457	$2,875	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:00 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.606	$1,059	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:31 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.425	$9,228	—
Jul 19, 07:14 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.600	$4,077	—
Jul 19, 07:14 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.458	$5,596	—
Jul 19, 07:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.453	$3,992	—
Jul 19, 07:10 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.520	$2,782	—
Jul 19, 07:08 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.255	$2,634	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:08 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.255	$2,287	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.255	$2,227	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.255	$2,287	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.253	$2,286	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.253	$2,286	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.253	$1,829	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.255	$1,827	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:05 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.250	$2,210	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:05 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.249	$1,826	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:02 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.325	$2,046	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:57 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.255	$2,459	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:47 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.425	$1,845	—
Jul 19, 06:46 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.260	$2,768	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 06:45 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.260	$2,507	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 06:30 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.413	$1,853	—
Jul 19, 06:27 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.550	$4,453	—
Jul 19, 06:21 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.411	$1,337	—
Jul 19, 05:40 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.413	$1,621	—
Jul 19, 05:20 PM	Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?	SELL YES	0.599	$1,183	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 04:40 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.427	$3,686	—
Jul 19, 04:11 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$2,934	—
Jul 19, 01:59 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.425	$4,975	—
Jul 19, 10:08 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.410	$3,037	—
Jul 19, 02:59 AM	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BUY NO	0.470	$1,089	—
Jul 19, 02:29 AM	Fight to Go the Distance?	BUY YES	0.490	$1,300	—
Jul 19, 12:32 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.410	$1,383	—
Jul 18, 11:06 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.920	$7,370	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:02 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.930	$1,163	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.940	$4,993	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.907	$4,818	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:32 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.250	$3,846	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 10:28 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.728	$2,343	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:14 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.893	$1,699	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.972	$4,322	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:45 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.401	$7,665	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:45 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.030	$2,386	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.650	$2,552	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:08 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.390	$1,734	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 08:41 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.402	$1,462	—
Jul 18, 08:32 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.560	$1,389	—
Jul 18, 07:13 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.530	$3,483	—
Jul 18, 07:01 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.530	$1,430	—
Jul 18, 12:18 PM	Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.940	$1,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:04 AM	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	SELL YES	0.975	$1,429	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 02:27 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.405	$4,600	—
Jul 18, 02:26 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.405	$4,600	—
Jul 17, 02:29 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.409	$2,072	—
Jul 17, 11:52 AM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.500	$1,386	—
Jul 17, 10:25 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.415	$2,461	—
Jul 17, 10:25 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.412	$48.4K	—
Jul 17, 10:24 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.412	$46.1K	—
Jul 17, 09:37 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.412	$2,300	—
Jul 17, 06:04 AM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.500	$1,015	—
Jul 16, 11:22 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.583	$1,827	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 09:39 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.584	$1,729	—
Jul 16, 08:11 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.583	$1,431	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 06:15 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.416	$2,424	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 01:55 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.416	$3,407	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 11:27 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.416	$1,031	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 06:22 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.415	$1,181	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 05:17 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.580	$4,133	—
Jul 16, 05:16 AM	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.420	$3,781	—
Jul 16, 04:53 AM	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.420	$5,009	—
Jul 16, 04:16 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.416	$3,848	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 12:07 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.421	$1,018	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 10:32 PM	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.420	$1,845	—
Jul 15, 10:25 PM	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.420	$2,767	—
Jul 15, 09:09 PM	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	SELL YES	0.999	$5,439	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:05 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.998	$1,150	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:00 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.975	$1,051	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:55 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.892	$1,172	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:55 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.900	$1,075	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:49 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.745	$1,020	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:48 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.738	$1,185	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:48 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.735	$1,590	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:48 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.724	$8,683	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:47 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.695	$1,057	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:47 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.682	$5,974	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:31 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.273	$3,268	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 08:31 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.647	$1,280	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:16 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.640	$15.0K	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 07:17 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.354	$2,953	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:11 PM	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.490	$1,880	—
Jul 15, 06:39 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.197	$2,277	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:39 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.313	$1,145	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.355	$8,297	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:09 PM	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.530	$2,169	—
Jul 15, 06:09 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.362	$4,599	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:01 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.362	$1,837	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 05:49 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.313	$4,587	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 04:28 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.362	$4,737	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 04:14 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.315	$1,906	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 02:48 PM	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.530	$1,066	—
Jul 15, 01:57 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.318	$1,835	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 12:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.318	$2,969	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 12:22 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.197	$1,086	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 11:35 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.197	$1,824	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 11:32 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.196	$3,733	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 07:57 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.581	$1,422	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 07:26 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.196	$2,995	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:26 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.227	$3,558	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 12:17 AM	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY YES	0.468	$2,546	—
Jul 14, 09:59 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.581	$2,736	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 09:51 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.280	$5,100	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 09:17 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.330	$4,591	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 09:01 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.567	$1,256	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:49 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.973	$31.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:48 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.970	$25.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:40 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.912	$4,645	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:39 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.320	$1,376	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:35 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.880	$5,548	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:21 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	SELL YES	0.858	$12.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:22 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.772	$2,174	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:22 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.580	$8,371	—
Jul 14, 07:12 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.590	$1,661	—
Jul 14, 06:56 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.365	$1,937	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:18 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.372	$1,930	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:09 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.372	$1,012	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:05 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.375	$1,917	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:04 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.375	$1,051	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 04:47 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.388	$1,185	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 03:42 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.600	$1,862	—
Jul 14, 02:53 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.292	$1,832	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 02:08 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.390	$3,667	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 01:34 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	SELL YES	0.930	$1,355	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 11:11 AM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.590	$1,489	—
Jul 14, 10:47 AM	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BUY NO	0.390	$2,301	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 10:17 AM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.407	$1,446	—
Jul 14, 10:01 AM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.407	$1,254	—
Jul 14, 08:53 AM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.394	$2,902	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:52 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.216	$3,255	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 05:14 AM	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.530	$1,392	—
Jul 13, 07:46 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.300	$2,750	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 13, 06:51 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.412	$1,773	—
Jul 13, 06:23 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.570	$3,573	—
Jul 13, 04:02 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.167	$1,332	— (SELL)
Jul 13, 02:04 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.570	$2,927	—
Jul 12, 10:57 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.420	$2,958	—
Jul 12, 10:34 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.570	$2,910	—
Jul 12, 06:57 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.590	$3,037	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 06:38 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.600	$2,949	—
Jul 12, 02:08 PM	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.892	$1,940	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 08:48 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.199	$1,854	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:33 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.196	$1,822	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:23 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.157	$1,657	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:12 AM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.430	$1,210	—
Jul 12, 02:59 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.925	$2,024	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.675	$1,478	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.280	$1,524	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:32 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.504	$1,853	—
Jul 12, 02:28 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.776	$2,151	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 01:58 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.780	$1,556	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:53 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.563	$3,062	—
Jul 12, 12:22 AM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.580	$1,782	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 12:03 AM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.590	$1,684	—
Jul 11, 11:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.570	$1,890	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:30 PM	Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score	SELL YES	0.999	$1,670	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:05 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.065	$5,332	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:05 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.570	$5,670	—
Jul 11, 11:01 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.998	$2,190	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:01 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.998	$25.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:59 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.957	$13.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:56 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.800	$1,756	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:47 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.620	$1,864	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:42 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.514	$2,260	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:29 PM	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.055	$4,505	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:55 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.490	$2,532	—
Jul 11, 09:43 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.429	$3,104	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 08:59 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.465	$2,442	—
Jul 11, 06:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.510	$5,557	—
Jul 11, 05:35 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.253	$1,829	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 03:25 PM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.270	$1,138	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 03:00 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.176	$1,862	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 02:58 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.145	$1,346	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 02:56 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.145	$3,227	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 02:55 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.146	$1,899	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 02:55 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.146	$1,356	Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

36 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	31	$162.5K	+$100.5K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Tech	7	$90.0K	+$65.2K
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Other	6	$46.8K	$-12,959
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	17	$44.0K	$-17,121
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Other	6	$35.7K	+$3,236
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Tech	7	$34.5K	+$24.1K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Other	14	$34.1K	+$29.2K
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Other	9	$30.3K	$-3,403
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	6	$23.0K	$-4,223
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	7	$22.5K	+$3,830
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Other	10	$18.3K	+$9,371
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Other	7	$17.7K	+$10.9K
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Other	11	$17.7K	+$17.7K
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Tech	8	$16.6K	+$2,652
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	7	$16.5K	$-751
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	7	$14.9K	+$10.2K
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	4	$13.4K	+$13.4K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Other	3	$10.5K	+$10.5K
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Tech	3	$10.2K	+$10.2K
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Tech	3	$10.1K	$-6,004
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	2	$9,836	$-9,836
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Other	2	$7,985	$-2,893
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	2	$6,568	$-765
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Other	4	$6,506	+$6,506
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Other	2	$4,933	$-1,275
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Other	3	$4,639	+$592
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Finance	2	$3,830	+$1,120
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Finance	2	$3,391	+$3,391
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Tech	1	$2,750	+$2,750
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	1	$1,940	$-1,940

Showing top 30 by volume.