Back to whale feed

neutralwave23

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5b63…11a4 with our methodology badges per row.

0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
235
lifetime
PnL per $
+3582%
historical realized
Win rate
38.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.10M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
90
Volume (90d)
$1.08M
avg $5,385 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$550.6K / $526.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 21, 12:25 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.790$1,379Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:04 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.850$4,729Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:55 PMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.850$18.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:36 PMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.670$1,084Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:08 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.630$3,755Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:01 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$56.5K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 10:00 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$13.3K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 10:00 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$2,184— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:59 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.970$1,877— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:27 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.160$2,138Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:21 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.530$2,810
Jun 20, 09:14 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.450$1,549
Jun 20, 08:59 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.300$17.0KConviction tier
Jun 20, 08:47 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.330$1,863Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:36 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.380$1,585Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:24 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.600$1,877
Jun 20, 08:10 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.630$2,083Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:54 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.670$2,822Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:33 PMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.660$1,881Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:17 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.998$3,667— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:13 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.680$1,548Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:13 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.987$1,596— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:09 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.973$24.4K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:09 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.021$2,662
Jun 20, 05:56 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.680$94.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:47 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.920$23.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:25 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.025$2,770
Jun 13, 02:41 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.097$1,128Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 02:40 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.097$18.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 10:46 AMWill Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.223$1,880Conviction tier
Jun 13, 10:44 AMWill Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY YES0.060$1,175Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 10:44 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?BUY YES0.410$3,147
Jun 13, 09:56 AMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.630$1,265Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 07:51 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.580$1,902
Jun 13, 06:30 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.810$2,362Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 03:16 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?SELL YES0.999$1,474— (SELL)
Jun 13, 02:42 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.979$1,386Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:18 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.980$15.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:34 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.920$1,024Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:27 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.720$1,015Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 09:25 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.460$3,007
Jun 12, 09:06 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?SELL NO0.999$2,859— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:58 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?SELL YES0.999$3,680— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:55 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.940$7,112Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:51 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?SELL YES0.740$1,172— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:45 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.720$3,476Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:23 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.840$3,404Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:23 PMWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.630$2,937Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 10:33 AMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.480$1,374
Jun 12, 10:11 AMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.530$1,892
Jun 12, 09:16 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.480$1,469
Jun 12, 09:15 AMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.540$1,395
Jun 12, 05:54 AMWill France win on 2026-06-16?BUY YES0.680$2,087Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:00 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$257.8K— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:53 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.950$1,124— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:52 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.930$5,494— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:41 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.820$3,535Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:36 AMWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY YES0.624$1,012Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:35 AMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?SELL NO0.822$1,006— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:32 AMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.850$1,040Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:24 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.427$38.9K
Jun 12, 03:24 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.103$17.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 03:21 AMWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL NO0.286$1,028— (SELL)
Jun 12, 01:45 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.380$1,550Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 09:16 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$3,128— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:06 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$1,444— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:19 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.850$1,142— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:18 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.850$1,142— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:15 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.850$1,229Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:12 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.690$4,702Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:07 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.690$2,613Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 04:23 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.087$1,387Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 03:38 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.109$9,245Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 03:38 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$8,824Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 10:38 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.690$1,219Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 10:30 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$3,496Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 07:43 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY YES0.830$3,058Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 03:15 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.536$1,005— (SELL)
Jun 10, 10:59 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY YES0.630$1,107Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 06:38 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.384$1,035Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 03:11 AM2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL NO0.550$1,849— (SELL)
Jun 8, 07:37 PMWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY YES0.796$5,661Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 07:22 PMWill Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?SELL NO0.910$2,973— (SELL)
Jun 8, 07:22 PMWill Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?SELL NO0.581$3,994— (SELL)
Jun 8, 07:19 PMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL NO0.986$3,734— (SELL)
Jun 8, 07:18 PMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL NO0.898$6,675— (SELL)
Jun 8, 05:54 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$2,772Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 05:42 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$2,311Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 05:41 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.162$2,315Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 08:54 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$2,761Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 08:52 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.054$2,769Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 08:47 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.162$2,778Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 08:46 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.162$2,778Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 09:51 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.700$1,588— (SELL)
Jun 6, 11:39 PMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?SELL NO0.759$4,087— (SELL)
Jun 5, 03:26 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.467$1,168
Jun 4, 04:11 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.466$1,135
Jun 4, 10:48 AMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4?BUY YES0.204$1,359Conviction tier
Jun 3, 07:29 PMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in June?BUY YES0.703$3,027Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 07:29 PMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?BUY YES0.669$3,021Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 07:24 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.632$2,816Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 07:22 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.632$4,693Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:32 PMWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?BUY NO0.265$1,352Conviction tier
Jun 3, 04:32 PMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY NO0.871$2,190Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:32 PMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY NO0.335$3,116Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 04:32 PMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY NO0.242$1,676Conviction tier
Jun 2, 08:28 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.009$3,712— (SELL)
Jun 2, 03:41 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.007$2,144
Jun 1, 05:18 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.999$1,748— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:12 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.802$4,479— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:00 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.390$1,390Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 1, 10:43 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?SELL NO0.999$1,168— (SELL)
May 31, 08:51 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.349$9,244Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 07:10 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.275$1,506Conviction tier
May 31, 05:24 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.321$2,776Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 07:41 AMBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.991$10.2K— (SELL)
May 31, 02:04 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.357$2,264— (SELL)
May 30, 07:57 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.999$3,279— (SELL)
May 30, 07:16 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.999$1,276— (SELL)
May 30, 07:12 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.999$2,133— (SELL)
May 30, 07:02 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.990$2,453— (SELL)
May 30, 06:47 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.540$1,067
May 30, 06:08 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$1,037— (SELL)
May 30, 05:55 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.550$1,208
May 30, 05:16 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.291$1,426Conviction tier
May 30, 04:58 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.590$1,220
May 30, 03:53 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.530$1,132
May 30, 03:15 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.530$3,557
May 30, 02:28 PMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?SELL YES0.491$2,460— (SELL)
May 30, 02:23 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.550$1,545
May 30, 01:48 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.550$1,718
May 30, 12:45 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.450$2,075
May 30, 08:53 AMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?BUY YES0.941$1,142Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:10 AMWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.009$2,125
May 29, 09:08 PMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL NO0.548$1,018— (SELL)
May 29, 03:08 PMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?SELL NO0.480$3,817— (SELL)
May 29, 01:44 PMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?BUY NO0.356$1,474Killed band — neutral expectation
May 29, 09:27 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?SELL NO0.570$16.4K— (SELL)
May 28, 08:19 PMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?BUY NO0.410$11.3K
May 28, 04:59 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL YES0.760$2,028— (SELL)
May 28, 11:22 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.403$1,221— (SELL)
May 27, 04:03 PMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.014$1,144
May 27, 03:07 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.780$1,885Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 10:06 AMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?BUY YES0.991$1,284Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 04:28 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.960$6,020— (SELL)
May 25, 10:28 PMWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL YES0.549$1,307— (SELL)
May 25, 12:07 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.025$1,152
May 25, 12:07 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.025$1,152
May 24, 09:58 PMWill Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$1,160— (SELL)
May 24, 03:45 PMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?BUY NO0.981$1,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:36 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.811$19.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 06:51 AMWill Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.910$1,980Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 05:31 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL NO0.727$1,570— (SELL)
May 24, 02:44 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL NO0.600$2,776— (SELL)
May 23, 08:50 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL YES0.152$1,437— (SELL)
May 23, 08:24 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?SELL YES0.670$1,128— (SELL)
May 23, 04:05 PMFed rate hike in 2026?BUY NO0.621$4,664Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:21 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.857$1,340— (SELL)
May 23, 01:50 AMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?SELL YES0.500$1,551— (SELL)
May 23, 01:39 AMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.510$1,582
May 23, 12:48 AMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?SELL YES0.500$1,084— (SELL)
May 22, 11:35 PMWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL YES0.670$2,843— (SELL)
May 21, 09:25 PMGTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL NO0.771$1,729— (SELL)
May 21, 08:27 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.530$1,067
May 21, 08:15 PMGTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY NO0.750$1,683Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:28 PMWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY YES0.553$2,237
May 20, 04:27 AMWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?SELL YES0.856$1,573— (SELL)
May 19, 10:32 PMWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY YES0.124$1,335Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 10:31 PMWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY YES0.169$1,515Killed band — neutral expectation
May 19, 03:46 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.398$4,751Killed band — neutral expectation
May 18, 11:16 PMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?BUY NO0.995$1,001Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 07:14 PMWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?SELL YES0.724$1,421— (SELL)
May 18, 12:37 PM2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY NO0.540$1,727
May 17, 07:57 PMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.850$1,273Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 02:15 PMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?SELL YES0.870$1,276— (SELL)
May 17, 12:54 PMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?BUY YES0.720$1,056Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 06:14 AM2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY NO0.570$1,401
May 17, 02:10 AMWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY YES0.168$1,528Killed band — neutral expectation
May 16, 09:12 PMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.038$1,542— (SELL)
May 16, 05:48 PMWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY YES0.820$1,153Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:50 AMBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?SELL NO0.825$8,272— (SELL)
May 15, 03:05 PMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?SELL YES0.987$1,179— (SELL)
May 14, 09:10 PMWill GameStop acquire eBay?SELL YES0.154$1,212— (SELL)
May 13, 05:36 PMWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?BUY YES0.350$1,760Killed band — neutral expectation
May 13, 02:07 PMWill GameStop acquire eBay?BUY YES0.160$1,257Killed band — neutral expectation
May 11, 01:29 AMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?SELL YES0.999$2,196— (SELL)
May 10, 05:07 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?SELL YES0.350$1,037— (SELL)
May 10, 02:44 PMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY NO0.370$7,453Killed band — neutral expectation
May 10, 11:11 AMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?BUY YES0.497$4,680
May 10, 10:53 AMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY YES0.650$1,925Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 12:39 PMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY YES0.350$1,165Killed band — neutral expectation
May 9, 02:15 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.069$2,819Killed band — neutral expectation
May 9, 02:12 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.066$3,231— (SELL)
May 8, 09:33 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL YES0.040$1,412— (SELL)
May 8, 01:26 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL YES0.180$1,049— (SELL)
May 8, 12:41 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL YES0.200$1,165— (SELL)
May 7, 11:13 PMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.067$2,588Killed band — neutral expectation
May 7, 05:33 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.183$1,158Killed band — neutral expectation
May 7, 03:39 PMWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY NO0.378$1,854Killed band — neutral expectation
May 6, 10:37 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?SELL YES0.999$3,189— (SELL)

Markets active in

90 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Other7$325.6K$-203,214
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other13$198.9K+$51.1K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Crypto4$52.7K$-6,602
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?Crypto4$33.0K$-7,507
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$31.1K+$31.1K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Other3$25.0K+$25.0K
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other7$24.8K+$21.8K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other3$24.0K+$15.3K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Other7$21.5K+$15.8K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto7$20.8K$-13,766
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports9$20.0K+$13.5K
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other9$18.3K+$19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$17.4K+$17.4K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Other8$16.6K+$2,906
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto5$16.2K+$13.7K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Other4$12.6K+$6,146
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports4$10.2K+$634
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Crypto1$10.2K$-10,157
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Other3$8,543+$6,486
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto1$8,272$-8,272
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?Other2$6,967$-6,967
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$6,919+$6,919
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech2$6,738$-623
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Other1$6,675$-6,675
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?Other5$6,411$-1,113
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Other2$5,431+$5,431
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics3$4,977+$1,280
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech2$4,792+$4,792
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Other1$4,680+$4,680
Fed rate hike in 2026?Finance1$4,664+$4,664

Showing top 30 by volume.