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xsak
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x3ebb…799e with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
-11%
historical realized
Win rate
56.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$57.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · -11% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
5
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$57.1K
avg $11.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$46.2K / $10.9K
net direction
Recent trades
last 5 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:37 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.603 | $21.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 09:19 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.299 | $10.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 10:16 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.416 | $15.2K | — |
| Jul 12, 03:04 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.381 | $4,713 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 12, 12:17 AM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $5,000 | — |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $26.1K | +$4,261 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $21.3K | +$21.3K |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | Other | 1 | $5,000 | +$5,000 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $4,713 | +$4,713 |