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thionras
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x65b9…1d5f with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
+22%
historical realized
Win rate
72.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$47.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · 22% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
5
Distinct markets
1
Volume (90d)
$47.5K
avg $9,507 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$13.1K / $34.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 5 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 01:44 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.409 | $34.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 04:34 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.079 | $3,800 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:38 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.094 | $6,469 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 06:25 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.086 | $1,817 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 05:52 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.086 | $1,046 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
1 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 5 | $47.5K | $-21,273 |