vkvkgjerkgk

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x06f2…1269 with our methodology badges per row.

0x06f22ff6d9362ce82243f8ca594c97485d9c1269·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

1,214

lifetime

PnL per $

-1%

historical realized

Win rate

79.9%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$6.30M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 1214 resolved trades · -1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.01M

avg $5,074 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$944.7K / $70.0K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 09:42 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.839	$1,278	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:37 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.601	$8,028	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:36 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.622	$2,333	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:36 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.620	$3,017	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:35 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.632	$15.6K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:34 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.644	$16.0K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:33 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.649	$1,881	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:32 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.642	$3,210	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:31 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.645	$3,225	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:30 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.646	$3,230	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.746	$2,203	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.707	$12.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.851	$1,326	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.811	$1,725	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.705	$70.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:20 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY YES	0.440	$4,000	—
Jul 19, 09:20 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY YES	0.440	$4,000	—
Jul 19, 09:05 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half	SELL NO	0.950	$1,244	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:03 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	SELL YES	0.642	$1,387	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:03 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?	SELL YES	0.476	$1,368	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:29 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?	BUY YES	0.486	$1,000	—
Jul 19, 12:55 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.920	$4,417	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:28 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.846	$1,203	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.700	$14.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.690	$1,259	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.680	$3,839	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.699	$1,401	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.690	$6,685	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.318	$12.1K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,957	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.710	$1,363	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.708	$3,329	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.702	$1,247	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.884	$3,190	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.886	$1,392	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.707	$3,328	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.888	$2,794	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.840	$4,159	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.885	$2,334	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.820	$1,546	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.830	$4,195	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,701	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.883	$2,407	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.828	$1,572	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.879	$6,591	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.878	$1,120	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.827	$12.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.882	$10.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.878	$1,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.294	$6,418	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.180	$7,210	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.120	$4,750	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:11 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.658	$3,159	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:11 PM	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.608	$1,112	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:36 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.850	$3,871	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:27 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.830	$6,494	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:27 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.811	$2,710	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:27 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.200	$2,233	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.379	$2,629	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.550	$10.0K	—
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.550	$11.0K	—
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.330	$5,978	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.330	$6,600	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.500	$19.9K	—
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.640	$25.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:10 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.370	$7,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.450	$17.4K	—
Jul 18, 07:17 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.560	$3,855	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:57 PM	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.700	$1,178	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY NO	0.875	$1,032	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,655	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.889	$9,330	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.790	$4,167	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.180	$1,926	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.178	$2,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.768	$8,937	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.775	$8,172	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.777	$5,466	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.179	$1,607	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.216	$2,152	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.850	$8,660	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:51 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.853	$1,667	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.617	$4,250	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.227	$2,570	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.212	$2,570	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.560	$2,451	—
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.776	$8,370	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.698	$7,440	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:45 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.347	$4,889	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:36 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.700	$4,826	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:36 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.710	$12.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:36 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.717	$1,761	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:36 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.110	$1,700	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.317	$1,495	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.889	$8,136	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.314	$1,562	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.283	$1,688	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.249	$2,690	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.820	$8,470	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:05 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.280	$1,400	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 08:28 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.960	$16.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:28 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.875	$1,224	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:28 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.875	$4,619	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:28 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.518	$1,021	—
Jul 14, 08:28 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.520	$1,203	—
Jul 14, 08:28 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.509	$2,980	—
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.975	$1,672	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.877	$8,782	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.975	$10.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.978	$2,459	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.910	$4,376	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.906	$1,460	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.905	$2,254	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.905	$1,833	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.902	$2,874	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.898	$1,146	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.902	$2,031	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.896	$2,307	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,758	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.520	$4,140	—
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.875	$1,403	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.877	$11.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.904	$5,635	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.875	$1,090	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.877	$6,776	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.901	$3,151	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.964	$15.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.961	$1,341	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.902	$2,237	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.035	$1,222	—
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.877	$3,737	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.491	$5,160	—
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.125	$4,805	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.098	$3,881	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.050	$1,002	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.950	$6,464	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.450	$2,822	—
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.950	$9,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.947	$6,535	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.880	$7,237	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:19 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,142	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:19 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.445	$1,148	—
Jul 14, 08:19 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.896	$9,070	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:30 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.472	$1,158	—
Jul 14, 07:21 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.745	$1,243	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:21 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.740	$9,708	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:21 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.468	$1,874	—
Jul 14, 07:21 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.732	$7,425	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.337	$1,148	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.320	$1,780	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.731	$4,412	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.323	$1,211	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.261	$5,144	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.680	$3,734	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.649	$14.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.235	$2,740	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.670	$13.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:53 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.715	$2,770	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:53 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.750	$6,929	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:53 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.713	$1,806	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.688	$1,253	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.715	$1,494	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.991	$6,013	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.459	$6,200	—
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.576	$2,755	—
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.492	$3,620	—
Jul 12, 02:51 AM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.985	$5,038	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.691	$2,130	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.750	$14.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.663	$1,066	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.579	$12.6K	—
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.671	$1,085	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.830	$3,329	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.507	$5,767	—
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.561	$12.9K	—
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.619	$6,434	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.610	$1,131	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.613	$1,279	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.616	$1,533	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.612	$1,395	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.612	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.610	$3,339	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.608	$2,075	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.605	$1,265	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.600	$1,864	—
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.600	$6,449	—
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.640	$1,345	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.995	$8,936	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.195	$2,542	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.629	$2,226	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.991	$1,807	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.191	$1,005	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.650	$34.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:45 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.573	$6,011	—
Jul 12, 02:44 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.395	$1,633	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:34 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.950	$6,233	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:28 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.619	$3,903	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:28 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.826	$4,270	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:28 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.839	$3,323	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:28 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.820	$4,185	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

24 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	26	$205.3K	+$96.9K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	19	$113.3K	+$113.3K
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Other	22	$97.5K	+$97.5K
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	14	$95.9K	+$95.9K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	13	$81.0K	+$81.0K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	15	$67.5K	+$67.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Other	10	$56.8K	+$56.8K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Tech	12	$53.8K	+$53.8K
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Tech	16	$51.1K	+$51.1K
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Other	7	$44.6K	+$44.6K
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Other	9	$39.0K	+$39.0K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	12	$31.0K	+$26.3K
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	4	$21.8K	+$21.8K
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	5	$17.1K	+$537
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Tech	2	$7,999	+$7,999
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Other	3	$7,987	+$7,987
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Other	2	$7,341	+$7,341
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Other	1	$6,233	+$6,233
Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?	Tech	2	$2,368	$-368
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	2	$2,289	$-66
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Tech	1	$1,387	$-1,387
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half	Tech	1	$1,244	$-1,244
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$1,203	+$1,203
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Other	1	$1,032	+$1,032