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umeax
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x86d2…731d with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-41%
historical realized
Win rate
21.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$90.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -41% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
9
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$90.0K
avg $10.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$90.0K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 9 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 05:51 AM | Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $2,875 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 09:09 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $9,485 | — |
| Jun 12, 09:07 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $20.9K | — |
| Jun 12, 07:56 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $27.4K | — |
| Jun 12, 04:58 AM | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.410 | $6,848 | — |
| Jun 11, 11:09 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $10.3K | — |
| Jun 11, 10:51 AM | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $4,801 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 06:41 PM | Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,936 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 01:54 PM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.200 | $5,400 | Cheap band — no rep |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 4 | $68.1K | +$68.1K |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Other | 1 | $6,848 | +$6,848 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Other | 1 | $5,400 | +$5,400 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 1 | $4,801 | +$4,801 |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $2,875 | +$2,875 |
| Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $1,936 | +$1,936 |