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wayyt
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xca81…7c38 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
-45%
historical realized
Win rate
45.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$70.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · -45% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
7
Distinct markets
2
Volume (90d)
$70.4K
avg $10.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$32.0K / $38.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 7 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:45 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.922 | $15.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 07:15 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.588 | $5,000 | — |
| Jul 15, 05:55 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.801 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 10:28 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.827 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 08:43 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.814 | $3,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 11:34 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $22.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 07:54 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.939 | $20.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
2 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $42.5K | $-2,481 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 5 | $27.9K | $-3,889 |