Back to whale feed

0x1610DB79f753a80207E1d66716be9E91E627AE49-1778875286261

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1610…ae49 with our methodology badges per row.

0x1610db79f753a80207e1d66716be9e91e627ae49·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
71
lifetime
PnL per $
-2%
historical realized
Win rate
49.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$679.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 71 resolved trades · -2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
95
Distinct markets
28
Volume (90d)
$814.1K
avg $8,569 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$506.6K / $307.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 95 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 07:47 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.217$4,505Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 07:44 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY NO0.840$1,929Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:44 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY NO0.850$1,802Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:44 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY NO0.860$1,914Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:44 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY NO0.860$1,763Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:44 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY NO0.830$1,760Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:55 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.260$9,548Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 06:55 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.325$12.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:50 PMWill France vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.031$1,214— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:46 PMWill France vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.290$2,398— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:45 PMWill France vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.296$1,864— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:44 PMWill France vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.298$2,074— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:31 PMWill France vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.310$5,386— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:50 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreSELL NO0.230$4,198— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:47 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreSELL NO0.210$1,257— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:47 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreSELL NO0.210$1,972— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:06 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreSELL NO0.090$1,027— (SELL)
Jul 18, 12:37 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.591$53.8K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 12:25 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.401$38.2K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:40 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.401$32.5K— (SELL)
Jul 16, 10:16 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.416$51.4K— (SELL)
Jul 16, 10:14 PMFrance vs. England: Neither team to score first?BUY YES0.050$3,002Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 16, 10:13 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.320$18.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 16, 10:13 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.320$7,170Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 16, 10:13 PMWill France vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.260$48.7KCheap band — no rep
Jul 15, 11:29 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.422$8,440
Jul 15, 11:29 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.422$1,266
Jul 15, 08:52 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.217$1,529— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:51 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.220$1,806— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:47 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.197$1,007— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:41 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.380$15.2K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:41 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.401$3,029— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:34 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.440$7,134
Jul 15, 08:34 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.440$7,868
Jul 15, 08:22 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.510$9,135
Jul 14, 08:20 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.597$1,727
Jul 14, 07:25 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.327$1,018— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:08 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.180$26.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:07 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.174$8,094Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 07:44 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.203$6,580Cheap band — no rep
Jul 12, 07:44 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.183$10.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 09:27 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.490$2,266
Jul 11, 08:52 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.630$31.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:03 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.290$4,519Cheap band — no rep
Jul 9, 02:41 PMWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY YES0.247$10.9KCheap band — no rep
Jul 9, 02:40 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.500$16.2K
Jul 8, 12:48 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.186$16.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 8, 10:41 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.187$15.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 8, 10:41 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.060$11.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 11:41 AMArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.420$2,100
Jul 7, 11:41 AMArgentina to score first vs. Egypt?BUY YES0.760$7,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 03:16 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.520$17.5K
Jul 6, 03:16 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.780$37.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:20 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY NO0.898$3,156Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 09:52 AMWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY NO0.594$1,596
Jun 21, 09:52 AMWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY NO0.590$7,072
Jun 20, 08:37 PMWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY NO0.616$4,239Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 08:08 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.184$7,465— (SELL)
Jun 13, 08:08 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.181$7,085— (SELL)
Jun 12, 04:15 AMWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY YES0.420$1,233
Jun 11, 03:25 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.344$1,145— (SELL)
Jun 9, 03:49 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.371$1,096— (SELL)
Jun 7, 12:31 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.218$21.9KCheap band — no rep
Jun 7, 12:31 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.217$4,555Cheap band — no rep
Jun 7, 12:30 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.215$22.1KCheap band — no rep
Jun 7, 12:30 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.212$6,144Cheap band — no rep
May 30, 05:50 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.693$1,336— (SELL)
May 30, 05:49 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.818$2,829— (SELL)
May 30, 05:49 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.832$2,494— (SELL)
May 30, 05:43 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.210$1,265Cheap band — no rep
May 30, 05:34 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.800$5,803— (SELL)
May 30, 05:34 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.800$3,940— (SELL)
May 30, 05:33 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.527$2,334— (SELL)
May 30, 05:32 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.790$12.6K— (SELL)
May 30, 05:32 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.790$3,946— (SELL)
May 30, 05:32 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.790$6,403— (SELL)
May 30, 05:32 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.780$3,083— (SELL)
May 30, 05:32 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.780$2,521— (SELL)
May 30, 05:32 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.780$5,874— (SELL)
May 30, 05:32 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.780$2,521— (SELL)
May 30, 05:31 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.770$4,913— (SELL)
May 30, 05:31 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.780$1,470— (SELL)
May 30, 05:31 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.780$2,600— (SELL)
May 30, 05:30 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.490$1,418— (SELL)
May 30, 05:30 PM0x5dc96d5bSELL NO0.780$3,582— (SELL)
May 30, 05:03 PM0x5dc96d5bBUY NO0.420$12.6K
May 30, 04:30 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.260$2,123Cheap band — no rep
May 30, 04:30 PM0x5dc96d5bBUY NO0.460$8,025
May 30, 04:29 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$4,851Cheap band — no rep
May 30, 04:28 PM0x5dc96d5bBUY NO0.470$8,932
May 30, 04:27 PM0x5dc96d5bBUY NO0.470$8,531
May 30, 04:27 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.230$1,156Cheap band — no rep
May 30, 04:26 PM0x5dc96d5bBUY NO0.470$3,563
May 17, 06:03 PM0x77c178beBUY NO0.300$1,135Cheap band — no rep
May 17, 05:56 PM0x52c04df8BUY NO0.890$6,573Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

28 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other12$197.6K$-55,362
0x5dc96d5b20$106.3K$-22,952
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech4$78.3K$-31,315
Will France vs. England end in a draw?Other6$61.6K+$35.7K
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreOther5$42.4K+$5,876
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports5$41.0K+$24.6K
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Other1$37.7K+$37.7K
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreOther6$34.2K+$17.2K
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$33.8K+$33.8K
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports3$30.5K+$13.3K
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$20.7K+$20.7K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Tech1$17.5K+$17.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Other2$14.1K+$14.1K
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Other3$12.9K+$12.9K
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Tech1$12.8K+$12.8K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Tech5$12.1K+$1,886
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$11.7K+$11.7K
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Other1$10.9K+$10.9K
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?Tech5$9,168+$9,168
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?Other1$7,600+$7,600
0x52c04df81$6,573+$6,573
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Other1$3,156+$3,156
France vs. England: Neither team to score first?Other1$3,002+$3,002
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Tech2$2,421+$2,421
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$2,100+$2,100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$1,727+$1,727
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Other1$1,233+$1,233
0x77c178be1$1,135+$1,135