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idonknow

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd961…35de with our methodology badges per row.

0xd961dd5107dc8cfbc95d26f3c9c9bac9264235de·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
37
lifetime
PnL per $
-14%
historical realized
Win rate
70.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$205.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 37 resolved trades · -14% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
89
Distinct markets
58
Volume (90d)
$511.8K
avg $5,750 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$398.5K / $113.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 89 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 4, 01:39 AMWill Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?BUY NO0.940$1,880Above conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 01:38 AMWill Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?BUY NO0.940$1,410Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:40 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.696$1,034Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:38 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.296$1,021Cheap band — no rep
Apr 29, 01:15 AMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.851$29.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 02:10 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.165$33.0K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 04:00 AMWill Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?BUY YES0.996$74.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 11:56 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.260$1,588— (SELL)
Apr 26, 11:43 AMLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY YES0.380$1,116Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 26, 11:43 AMGame Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)BUY YES0.580$3,725
Apr 26, 11:19 AMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.490$1,333
Apr 26, 11:18 AMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.510$1,530
Apr 26, 11:18 AMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.490$1,470
Apr 26, 11:18 AMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.510$1,530
Apr 26, 11:18 AMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.490$1,470
Apr 26, 11:18 AMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.510$1,530
Apr 26, 11:18 AMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.490$1,470
Apr 26, 11:17 AMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.510$1,020
Apr 26, 08:04 AMWill the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL NO0.965$1,124— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:31 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.150$5,753— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:07 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.135$6,294Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 26, 02:54 AMWill the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY NO0.933$11.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 08:21 PMGames Total: O/U 2.5BUY YES0.988$1,036Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 02:07 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.260$4,555— (SELL)
Apr 22, 11:51 AMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY YES0.580$14.5K
Apr 19, 10:28 PM0xa62bbc4dBUY0.708$2,808Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 05:43 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY YES0.420$1,550
Apr 19, 05:28 PMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.430$1,595
Apr 19, 03:46 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY NO0.370$16.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 19, 12:53 PM0xa664ea5fBUY0.986$6,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 12:46 PM0xa6ee6596SELL0.999$1,998— (SELL)
Apr 19, 12:44 PM0xa6ee6596SELL0.999$12.0K— (SELL)
Apr 18, 12:55 PM0x0a774bc1BUY0.998$1,036Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 09:33 AM0xdede15b0BUY0.990$2,707Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 09:33 AM0x5b37c001BUY0.983$9,830Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 09:00 AM0x64763eecBUY0.970$9,697Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 10:53 AM0x740c330dBUY0.981$1,920Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 08:48 PMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.220$4,400Cheap band — no rep
Apr 15, 08:47 PMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.220$6,600Cheap band — no rep
Apr 15, 06:06 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.270$9,259— (SELL)
Apr 15, 11:23 AMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.280$2,827— (SELL)
Apr 15, 07:15 AM0x7ee56fa6BUY YES0.640$3,201Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 08:17 PMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.945$1,639Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 07:04 PMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.919$8,159Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 08:42 AMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.330$1,196— (SELL)
Apr 12, 11:05 PM0xb1a0c0e3SELL0.200$2,009— (SELL)
Apr 12, 04:03 PMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL NO0.670$4,137— (SELL)
Apr 12, 07:34 AMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL NO0.930$5,928— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:51 PM0xb1a0c0e3BUY0.710$1,531Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:44 AM0x5a643ab6BUY0.990$3,004Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:27 AM0xcb5d1508BUY0.986$2,143Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 12:54 PM0xd3bd7a24BUY0.988$3,920Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 09:52 AM0x307c8718SELL0.435$16.2K— (SELL)
Apr 9, 09:47 AM0x028ca97cBUY0.934$1,699Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 09:41 AM0x307c8718BUY0.990$2,253Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 08:31 PMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.910$4,165Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 08:31 PMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.900$2,210Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 08:12 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY NO0.720$3,245Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 12:31 AM0x51c5e5e7BUY NO0.736$5,304Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 12:55 PM0x56b1ea7cBUY0.990$3,669Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 11:45 AM0x21c07fb2BUY0.988$1,541Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 11:45 AM0x3ff59a39BUY0.990$10.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 08:44 PM0x09c3c088BUY NO0.817$1,366Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 08:24 PM0xfee70407SELL YES0.340$1,700— (SELL)
Apr 4, 06:42 PM0x4bbcf615BUY YES0.480$7,237
Apr 4, 03:08 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.140$1,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 4, 12:53 PM0x5332411aBUY0.990$1,212Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 12:22 PM0x7b59e783SELL0.999$9,989— (SELL)
Apr 4, 12:07 PM0x7b59e783BUY0.990$2,646Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 10:55 AM0xfca51619BUY0.990$3,099Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 10:55 AM0x7011817aBUY0.990$2,994Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:42 AM0xaf295ab6BUY0.982$5,434Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 07:50 AM0xf38f4c84BUY0.988$1,531Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 12:45 PM0xeaa8ec2eBUY0.990$8,127Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 12:30 PM0x69f10751BUY0.740$1,066Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 12:12 PM0xeaa8ec2eBUY0.540$1,074
Apr 3, 11:35 AM0x72059ff8BUY0.980$1,382Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 08:43 AM0xa3247debBUY0.670$1,353Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 08:36 AM0xe798928eBUY0.490$1,649
Apr 2, 11:38 AM0x3aed1fe0BUY0.990$15.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 11:50 AM0x2ede654eBUY0.989$3,874Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 09:35 AM0xfa3fd340BUY0.918$1,120Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 09:31 PMWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.986$31.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 04:30 PM0x38292438BUY YES0.680$5,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 11:50 AM0xc6f1a625BUY0.875$2,456Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 01:40 AM0x26bcc867BUY0.860$1,704Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 01:59 PM0x04c64749BUY0.770$1,575Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 01:58 PM0x04c64749BUY0.770$8,470Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 11:08 PM0x9f8ff091BUY0.440$3,080

Markets active in

58 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Sports1$74.8K+$74.8K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$33.0K$-33,000
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$31.5K+$31.5K
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$29.4K+$29.4K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other7$23.5K$-12,929
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Other6$23.3K+$23.3K
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Other6$21.7K+$21.7K
0x307c87182$18.5K$-13,956
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other4$16.3K+$5,667
0x3aed1fe01$15.7K+$15.7K
0xa6ee65962$14.0K$-13,986
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Sports2$12.7K+$10.5K
0x7b59e7832$12.6K$-7,343
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other3$12.3K+$446
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports2$12.0K+$541
0x3ff59a391$10.3K+$10.3K
0x04c647492$10.0K+$10.0K
0x5b37c0011$9,830+$9,830
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other2$9,798+$9,798
0x64763eec1$9,697+$9,697
0xeaa8ec2e2$9,201+$9,201
0x4bbcf6151$7,237+$7,237
0xa664ea5f1$6,980+$6,980
0xaf295ab61$5,434+$5,434
0x51c5e5e71$5,304+$5,304
0x382924381$5,100+$5,100
0xd3bd7a241$3,920+$3,920
0x2ede654e1$3,874+$3,874
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Other1$3,725+$3,725
0x56b1ea7c1$3,669+$3,669

Showing top 30 by volume.