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chopperfan

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd961…35de with our methodology badges per row.

0xd961dd5107dc8cfbc95d26f3c9c9bac9264235de·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
24
lifetime
PnL per $
-6%
historical realized
Win rate
92.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$433.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 24 resolved trades · -6% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
26
Distinct markets
23
Volume (90d)
$437.4K
avg $16.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$419.7K / $17.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 26 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 10:02 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.999$89.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:50 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?SELL NO0.450$16.3K— (SELL)
Jul 17, 03:30 PMWill Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends TournamentBUY NO0.986$1,078Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:56 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.999$37.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 11:47 AMWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?BUY YES0.989$1,014Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 12:05 PMWill another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?BUY NO0.999$2,188Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 10:39 AMWill G2 Esports win MSI 2026?BUY NO0.999$109.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 09:43 AMWill T1 win MSI 2026?BUY NO0.990$20.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:11 PMWill Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.464$2,665
Jul 6, 01:15 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.928$65.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 06:14 PMWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.997$4,927Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:17 AMWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.001$1,144
Jul 4, 12:17 AMWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.001$1,000
Jul 4, 12:07 AMWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.998$9,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:06 AMWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.997$8,506Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 07:06 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?SELL NO0.890$1,371— (SELL)
Jun 30, 03:53 AMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.999$33.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:01 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.430$8,600
Jun 24, 11:25 PMWill Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.999$11.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 08:55 PMWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.999$3,737Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:34 PMWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.970$1,103Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 05:17 PMWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.988$1,235Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 04:49 AMWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.999$1,155Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 04:30 AMWill Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.750$1,480Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 01:59 AMWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.747$1,861Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:08 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.190$1,015Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

23 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?Other1$109.9K+$109.9K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$89.9K+$89.9K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$65.0K+$65.0K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$37.5K+$37.5K
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Crypto1$33.0K+$33.0K
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$20.6K+$20.6K
Will T1 win MSI 2026?Other1$20.5K+$20.5K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other1$16.3K$-16,294
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$11.3K+$11.3K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Tech1$8,600+$8,600
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$4,927+$4,927
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$3,737+$3,737
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$2,665+$2,665
Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?Other1$2,188+$2,188
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,861+$1,861
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,480+$1,480
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?Tech1$1,371$-1,371
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,235+$1,235
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,155+$1,155
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,103+$1,103
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends TournamentOther1$1,078+$1,078
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Other1$1,015+$1,015
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?Other1$1,014+$1,014