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0xBFE58AA10aB581d5DA30EfF07698F62BfAC6F63d-1783008945107
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xbfe5…f63d with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-18%
historical realized
Win rate
56.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$39.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -18% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$39.9K
avg $6,658 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$16.4K / $23.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 12:35 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.408 | $14.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 12:35 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.590 | $5,871 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 05:35 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.013 | $3,283 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 01:35 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.194 | $1,783 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 04:30 AM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY YES | 0.948 | $4,738 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 04:24 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.184 | $9,908 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
3 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 4 | $29.3K | $-5,954 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $5,871 | $-5,871 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | Other | 1 | $4,738 | +$4,738 |