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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2

TechEnds Jun 15, 2026Resolved NOView on Polymarket ↗
YES price
1.0¢
settled
Total volume
+$12.08M
+$17.7K / 24h
Liquidity
+$1.10M
Whale trades (90d)
49
20 distinct wallets
Whale buy volume
+$1.71M
last 90d, $10K+ trades
Whale sell volume
+$611.5K
last 90d
Net flow
+$1.10M
buy-side dominant
Conviction fires
0
trades passing wave-34 gate

Top wallets on this market

20 wallets · sorted by net buy
WalletTradesBuySellNetPnL/$Gate
JAHODA1+$297.3K$0+$297.3K-29%
ArmageddonRewardsBilly12+$446.6K+$207.9K+$238.7K+623%🟢
DonaldinhoTrumpito1+$211.9K$0+$211.9K-26%
third-eye4+$169.6K$0+$169.6K+2%
0xheavy8881+$145.5K$0+$145.5K-7%
Tigerofthehood3+$124.9K+$27.4K+$97.5K-58%
XuRi8882+$43.9K$0+$43.9K-7%
RobertoRubio1+$41.9K$0+$41.9K-0%
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2+$39.8K$0+$39.8K-17%
Trump20282+$37.7K$0+$37.7K-19%
danielleggerman1+$33.2K$0+$33.2K-23%
0x6Dc38952A7dC5c6063D71E84aD26919C6050F57e-17754108708801+$18.7K$0+$18.7K-11%
0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-17772203204421$0+$11.6K-$11.6K+17%🟢
ww3prepper1$0+$15.4K-$15.4K-53%
HorribleWork1$0+$17.3K-$17.3K-36%
tourists1$0+$18.2K-$18.2K-29%
Hashbrown2+$15.4K+$34.7K-$19.3K-47%
millanos2+$18.1K+$39.1K-$21.0K-7%
James0003$0+$44.3K-$44.3K+4%
AdrianCronauer7+$69.1K+$195.7K-$126.6K-16%

Recent whale trades

49 trades · ≥$10K · 90d window
WhenWalletSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 05:34 AM0xheavy888BUY NO0.997+$145.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:29 AMdanielleggermanBUY NO0.997+$33.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 12:39 PMTigerofthehoodSELL NO0.994+$27.4K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:35 AMRobertoRubioBUY NO0.995+$41.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:48 PMthird-eyeBUY NO0.994+$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 06:59 PMHashbrownSELL NO0.993+$34.7K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 12:54 PMthird-eyeBUY NO0.994+$116.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:39 AMArmageddonRewardsBillySELL NO0.993+$107.5K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 08:30 AMDonaldinhoTrumpitoBUY NO0.992+$211.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:13 AMJAHODABUY NO0.991+$297.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:27 AMTigerofthehoodBUY NO0.991+$99.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:26 AMTigerofthehoodBUY NO0.991+$25.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 01:59 AMArmageddonRewardsBillySELL NO0.990+$28.8K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 12:14 AMArmageddonRewardsBillySELL NO0.988+$18.1K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 01:02 PMArmageddonRewardsBillyBUY NO0.986+$237.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:17 PMXuRi888BUY NO0.990+$27.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:14 PMXuRi888BUY NO0.988+$16.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 04:29 PMTrump2028BUY NO0.974+$17.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 07:57 PMArmageddonRewardsBillyBUY NO0.970+$37.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 07:57 PMArmageddonRewardsBillyBUY NO0.968+$79.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 07:55 PMmillanosBUY NO0.967+$18.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 04:24 AMmillanosSELL NO0.965+$39.1K— (SELL)
Jun 3, 02:15 PMHashbrownBUY NO0.966+$15.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:27 AMArmageddonRewardsBillySELL NO0.966+$20.4K— (SELL)
Jun 2, 10:37 PMww3prepperSELL NO0.964+$15.4K— (SELL)
Jun 2, 10:34 PMHorribleWorkSELL NO0.964+$17.3K— (SELL)
Jun 2, 10:28 PMtouristsSELL NO0.965+$18.2K— (SELL)
Jun 2, 04:52 PMTrump2028BUY NO0.964+$20.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 04:28 PM0x6Dc38952A7dC5c6063D71E84aD26919C6050F57e-1775410870880BUY NO0.965+$18.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:24 PMthird-eyeBUY NO0.960+$16.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 07:40 AMArmageddonRewardsBillyBUY NO0.950+$51.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 07:40 AMArmageddonRewardsBillyBUY NO0.950+$20.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 03:03 PMAdrianCronauerSELL NO0.399+$13.5K— (SELL)
May 31, 03:03 PMAdrianCronauerSELL NO0.762+$10.8K— (SELL)
May 31, 03:00 PMAdrianCronauerSELL NO0.892+$59.3K— (SELL)
May 31, 03:00 PMAdrianCronauerSELL NO0.915+$112.1K— (SELL)
May 31, 12:22 PMthird-eyeBUY NO0.940+$23.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 11:59 PMThe Spirit of Ukraine>UMABUY NO0.930+$18.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 01:12 PMJames000SELL NO0.930+$17.2K— (SELL)
May 30, 01:04 PMJames000SELL NO0.930+$10.2K— (SELL)
May 30, 12:59 PMJames000SELL NO0.930+$16.8K— (SELL)
May 29, 03:56 PMAdrianCronauerBUY NO0.900+$19.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 09:31 PMAdrianCronauerBUY NO0.920+$16.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 06:13 PMAdrianCronauerBUY NO0.919+$33.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:21 PMArmageddonRewardsBillySELL NO0.880+$33.1K— (SELL)
May 28, 02:15 PM0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442SELL NO0.890+$11.6K— (SELL)
May 28, 08:19 AMArmageddonRewardsBillyBUY NO0.920+$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 01:34 AMArmageddonRewardsBillyBUY NO0.910+$10.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 07:26 PMThe Spirit of Ukraine>UMABUY NO0.870+$20.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative

All trades pulled from on-chain Polymarket fills via the Polygon CTF Exchange. Methodology badges apply the same wave-34 classifier as /whales. Full per-wallet audit on /trader/[address].