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0xheavy888

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xec98…afcd with our methodology badges per row.

0xec981ed70ae69c5cbcac08c1ba063e734f6bafcd·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
42
lifetime
PnL per $
-7%
historical realized
Win rate
91.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$474.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 42 resolved trades · -7% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
175
Distinct markets
122
Volume (90d)
$995.7K
avg $5,690 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$987.6K / $8,043
net direction

Recent trades

last 175 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 05:34 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY NO0.997$145.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 02:08 PMWill Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?BUY YES0.999$1,530Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 05:00 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.997$329.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 02:33 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.382$4,078Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 1, 02:19 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.358$3,805Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 1, 02:19 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.361$4,676Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 29, 03:52 PMValorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerBUY YES0.700$1,531Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 03:37 PMValorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerBUY YES0.510$1,115—
Apr 29, 11:22 AMLoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.790$1,728Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 11:13 AMLoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY YES0.840$1,837Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 02:15 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.996$29.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 01:42 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY YES0.470$9,219—
Apr 28, 01:40 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.570$8,043— (SELL)
Apr 27, 02:07 AMCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 PlayoffsBUY YES0.490$7,922—
Apr 27, 12:00 AMValorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaBUY YES0.580$1,252—
Apr 26, 10:45 PMValorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerBUY YES0.819$1,782Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 10:43 PMLoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonBUY YES0.870$1,083Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:51 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.760$1,132Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:50 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.730$1,086Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:54 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.690$1,025Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 07:53 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.700$1,061Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 05:47 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.800$1,193Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 05:36 PMLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.800$1,193Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 05:36 PMLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.800$2,087Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 04:47 PMLoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerBUY YES0.530$1,143—
Apr 26, 03:48 PMLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerBUY YES0.810$1,371Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 10:36 AMLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerBUY YES0.830$1,032Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 10:21 AMLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerBUY YES0.780$1,695Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:59 AMDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.505$1,088—
Apr 26, 09:53 AMDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.500$1,077—
Apr 26, 09:02 AMLoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.830$1,805Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 06:14 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.992$44.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:02 PMLoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.790$1,374Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:47 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.810$1,208Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:47 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.810$1,208Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:47 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.810$1,208Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:47 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.808$1,206Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:47 PMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.810$1,208Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 05:40 PMLoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.540$1,398—
Apr 25, 03:32 PMDota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY YES0.740$1,566Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 03:30 PMLoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY YES0.690$1,025Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 03:23 PMDota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY YES0.600$1,221—
Apr 25, 11:13 AMDota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.590$1,274—
Apr 25, 09:39 AMLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.820$1,019Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 07:36 AMDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerBUY YES0.510$1,099—
Apr 21, 11:36 AMDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.610$1,055Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 11:26 AMDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.770$1,338Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 11:01 AMDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.798$1,388Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 09:41 AMDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.580$1,002—
Apr 20, 05:37 PM0x2e639f6cBUY0.680$1,179Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 04:25 PM0x72279149BUY0.820$1,223Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 10:43 PM0xa7fea950BUY0.473$1,017—
Apr 19, 06:08 PM0xe41a4bfeBUY0.700$1,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 06:08 PM0xe41a4bfeBUY0.700$1,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 04:21 PM0xe5d8905fBUY0.711$1,057Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 03:32 PM0xad03fecbBUY0.826$1,438Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 03:10 PM0x173e63e7BUY0.390$1,005Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 19, 03:10 PM0x173e63e7BUY0.620$9,219Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 10:02 AM0xb58501baBUY0.600$1,296—
Apr 19, 10:02 AM0xb58501baBUY0.600$1,296—
Apr 19, 09:25 AM0x7cd376c4BUY0.780$1,695Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:59 PM0x16538d6dBUY0.480$1,033—
Apr 18, 11:59 PM0x16538d6dBUY0.480$1,033—
Apr 18, 11:59 PM0x16538d6dBUY0.480$1,033—
Apr 18, 11:46 PM0x16538d6dBUY0.520$1,121—
Apr 18, 10:53 PM0x82e8bb80BUY0.671$1,024Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 08:01 PM0x4b46ec50BUY0.800$1,392Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 06:58 PM0xc64d0b5eBUY0.700$1,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 06:57 PM0xc64d0b5eBUY0.700$1,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 05:18 PM0xbea8f6f9BUY0.870$2,275Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 04:37 PM0xce7c6d8aBUY YES0.989$1,112Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 03:16 PM0x955504b6BUY0.650$1,293Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:13 AM0x57699e9eBUY0.770$1,469Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:04 AM0xd7feddd2BUY0.700$1,214Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:02 AM0xd7feddd2BUY0.700$1,214Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 09:20 AM0x8956ddcfBUY0.510$1,099—
Apr 18, 09:19 AM0x8956ddcfBUY0.510$1,099—
Apr 18, 09:19 AM0x8956ddcfBUY0.510$1,099—
Apr 18, 08:16 AM0x839b0615BUY0.590$1,274—
Apr 18, 08:15 AM0x839b0615BUY0.630$1,363Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 11:35 PM0x37c13925BUY0.870$1,895Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 11:34 PM0x37c13925BUY0.800$1,739Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 04:39 PM0x83d504b0BUY0.520$1,042—
Apr 17, 10:40 AM0x5151d6a9BUY0.822$1,466Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 10:31 AM0x5151d6a9BUY0.830$1,806Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 07:32 PM0xefcc3600BUY0.830$1,032Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 07:32 PM0xefcc3600BUY0.830$1,032Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 07:32 PM0xefcc3600BUY0.830$1,032Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 07:32 PM0xefcc3600BUY0.830$1,032Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 10:28 AM0xe28a4ea4BUY0.840$1,045Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 08:23 AM0x0b9116e3BUY0.700$1,084Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 12:09 PM0xe03a9c6cBUY0.523$1,127—
Apr 15, 09:07 AM0x70b23370BUY0.830$1,597Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 11:28 PM0xd0f6f345BUY0.600$1,056—
Apr 14, 04:56 PM0x16ab1579BUY0.760$1,059Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 04:01 PM0xfc3a576cBUY0.750$1,303Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 14, 03:54 PM0xfc3a576cBUY0.870$1,517Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 07:46 PM0x367f9d70BUY0.710$1,232Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 06:57 PM0x50e31c04BUY0.590$1,020—
Apr 13, 05:36 PM0xf22f5baaBUY0.500$1,293—
Apr 13, 03:57 PM0x8f22f59dBUY0.580$1,503—
Apr 12, 11:39 PM0xbc36eb01BUY0.780$1,695Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 05:02 PM0xe1034cf5BUY0.700$1,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 11:02 AM0x2dd78ec6BUY0.770$1,672Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 09:14 AM0xbf2576baBUY0.720$1,561Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 09:14 AM0xbf2576baBUY0.714$1,549Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 02:44 AM0xf0496676BUY0.492$1,060—
Apr 12, 02:12 AM0xc59af936BUY0.510$1,099—
Apr 12, 01:39 AM0xf0496676BUY0.850$1,851Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 01:35 AM0xc59af936BUY0.630$1,362Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:24 PM0x65b25358BUY0.700$1,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:24 PM0x65b25358BUY0.700$1,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:07 PM0x65b25358BUY0.740$1,101Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:07 PM0x65b25358BUY0.710$1,056Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 10:41 AM0x3a685c50BUY0.699$1,292Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 07:13 PM0x09013903BUY0.708$1,004Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 03:45 PM0x4dbee52cBUY0.718$1,557Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 12:40 PM0x8d7062cfBUY0.842$1,832Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 12:28 PM0x5955bffeBUY0.480$1,033—
Apr 9, 10:20 AM0x307c8718BUY0.510$1,099—
Apr 9, 10:20 AM0x307c8718BUY0.510$1,099—
Apr 8, 10:45 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.999$66.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 08:05 PM0xad1f9f72BUY0.608$1,001Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 05:44 PM0x80b4075bBUY0.754$1,232Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 11:12 AM0x14f518ccBUY0.870$1,083Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 11:12 AM0x14f518ccBUY0.860$1,873Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 11:09 AM0x877af9c3BUY0.710$1,232Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 10:39 AM0xcd6c3b94BUY0.910$1,985Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 10:36 AM0xcd6c3b94BUY0.880$1,918Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 10:32 AM0xcd6c3b94BUY0.630$1,363Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 09:24 AMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?BUY YES0.999$25.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 09:17 AM0xc8c5e794BUY0.880$1,918Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:15 AMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.998$99.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:19 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY NO0.767$3,135Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 07:47 PM0xf5d928f7BUY0.700$1,041Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 07:34 PM0xf5d928f7BUY0.590$1,161—
Apr 6, 07:34 PM0xf5d928f7BUY0.580$1,503—
Apr 6, 03:55 PM0x0f94e7eaBUY0.766$1,331Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 02:05 PM0x48ebfadeBUY0.830$1,445Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 08:22 AM0x2bb3c938BUY0.580$1,252—
Apr 5, 12:47 AM0x8a052c13BUY0.679$1,162Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 12:45 PM0x790f58fbBUY0.810$1,105Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 07:26 AM0xa3f1528cBUY0.692$1,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 03:16 PM0xb2c9b8bfBUY0.690$1,073Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 03:08 PM0x7225e9e0BUY0.730$1,267Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 02:24 PM0xf9b079e2BUY0.596$1,030—
Apr 1, 10:33 AM0x98892476BUY0.700$1,503Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 06:10 PM0x734c0765BUY0.680$1,020Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 06:10 PM0x734c0765BUY0.680$1,020Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:30 PM0xa57a6022BUY0.770$2,021Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:23 PM0xb686c0c4BUY0.750$1,125Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:23 PM0xb686c0c4BUY0.720$1,080Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 03:10 PM0xb686c0c4BUY0.710$1,065Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 07:18 PM0xfbb35b88BUY0.820$1,144Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 07:14 PM0x31c9cc1bBUY0.849$2,228Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 07:20 PM0xf0742956BUY0.630$1,103Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 06:31 PM0x7a8e5659BUY0.591$1,035—
Mar 28, 04:43 PM0x29a93452BUY0.840$1,837Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 06:48 PM0x5ca0dc72BUY0.760$1,330Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 06:32 PM0xf5038731BUY0.790$1,382Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 06:20 PM0xf5038731BUY0.770$1,348Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 06:53 PM0x069f2d98BUY0.770$1,010Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 02:07 PM0x45808f72BUY0.600$1,050—
Mar 25, 01:21 PM0xdb2d0e04BUY0.690$1,181Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 12:39 PM0x683085a2BUY0.645$1,129Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 12:38 PM0xd7f9352bBUY0.870$1,523Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 09:52 PM0xc3d33e09BUY0.660$1,155Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 07:01 PM0x009f736cBUY0.810$1,380Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 05:44 PM0x012fd165BUY0.610$1,068Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 04:23 PM0x9555b4f6BUY0.700$1,225Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 04:17 PM0x9555b4f6BUY0.610$1,068Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 09:37 PM0x8cc2f29cBUY0.600$1,050—
Mar 23, 06:35 PM0x5fcc37b9BUY0.705$1,233Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 04:29 PM0x2cb764afBUY0.600$1,050—
Mar 23, 12:52 PM0xf608bb72BUY0.780$1,365Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

122 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto4$341.7K+$341.7K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Other2$166.7K+$166.7K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Tech1$145.5K+$145.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Tech2$74.3K+$74.3K
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Other1$25.0K+$25.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Tech2$17.3K+$1,176
0x173e63e7—2$10.2K+$10.2K
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 PlayoffsOther1$7,922+$7,922
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerOther5$6,038+$6,038
0xcd6c3b94—3$5,265+$5,265
0x65b25358—4$4,238+$4,238
0x16538d6d—4$4,221+$4,221
0xefcc3600—4$4,129+$4,129
0xf5d928f7—3$3,705+$3,705
0x37c13925—2$3,634+$3,634
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonOther3$3,411+$3,411
0x8956ddcf—3$3,297+$3,297
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonOther2$3,280+$3,280
0x5151d6a9—2$3,272+$3,272
0xb686c0c4—3$3,270+$3,270
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Other1$3,135+$3,135
0xbf2576ba—2$3,110+$3,110
0x14f518cc—2$2,956+$2,956
0xf0496676—2$2,911+$2,911
0xfc3a576c—2$2,819+$2,819
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsOther2$2,787+$2,787
0xf5038731—2$2,729+$2,729
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerOther2$2,727+$2,727
Valorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerOther2$2,646+$2,646
0x839b0615—2$2,637+$2,637

Showing top 30 by volume.