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ww3prepper
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8ee5…ffa5 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-53%
historical realized
Win rate
40.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$68.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -53% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$68.4K
avg $11.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$28.0K / $40.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 10:37 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.964 | $15.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 11:40 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $13.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 11:39 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $13.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 06:40 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $11.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 06:40 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $11.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 09:46 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.717 | $3,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Tech | 2 | $25.0K | $-1,845 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Tech | 1 | $15.4K | $-15,434 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Tech | 2 | $14.6K | $-8,580 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Tech | 1 | $13.4K | +$13.4K |