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Tigerofthehood

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9c26…74bc with our methodology badges per row.

0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
89
lifetime
PnL per $
-58%
historical realized
Win rate
40.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$2.02M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 89 resolved trades · -58% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
180
Distinct markets
53
Volume (90d)
$3.91M
avg $21.7K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.70M / $2.21M
net direction

Recent trades

last 180 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 05:38 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.920$1,155Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:38 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.920$40.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:41 PMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY NO0.961$6,727Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:06 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.963$14.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:13 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.963$19.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 12:51 PMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL NO0.970$1,979— (SELL)
Jun 12, 12:51 PMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL NO0.970$8,252— (SELL)
Jun 12, 12:24 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY NO0.994$3,061Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 12:12 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY NO0.994$1,988Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:09 AMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL NO0.970$4,409— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:09 AMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL NO0.971$3,147— (SELL)
Jun 11, 08:16 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL NO0.985$16.9K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:58 PMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL NO0.968$8,427— (SELL)
Jun 11, 12:39 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?SELL NO0.994$27.4K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 10:42 AMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY NO0.940$1,730Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:23 AMIran closes its airspace by June 8?SELL YES0.999$126.3K— (SELL)
Jun 10, 05:27 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY NO0.991$99.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:26 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY NO0.991$25.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 05:25 AMIran closes its airspace by June 8?SELL YES0.999$126.3K— (SELL)
Jun 8, 09:02 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.975$2,051Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:41 PMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY YES0.520$2,600
Jun 2, 05:35 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL NO0.770$20.3K— (SELL)
Jun 2, 06:28 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.993$1,142Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:27 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.993$23.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 09:44 PMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?SELL NO0.997$3,002— (SELL)
Jun 1, 09:43 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.994$1,988Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 09:42 PMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?SELL NO0.997$2,085— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:24 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$56.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 12:09 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$76.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:10 PMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL YES0.550$2,629— (SELL)
May 29, 03:19 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL NO0.979$1,669— (SELL)
May 27, 08:12 AMWill Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY NO0.850$8,147Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 09:15 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL NO0.992$4,091— (SELL)
May 26, 09:14 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL NO0.992$32.0K— (SELL)
May 26, 09:10 PMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY NO0.955$36.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:51 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.979$2,604Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 11:52 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY NO0.993$16.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:09 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.984$21.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 09:05 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.805$4,025Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:26 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.950$8,880— (SELL)
May 20, 08:58 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.940$8,574Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:43 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.940$20.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:43 AMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.997$19.9K— (SELL)
May 20, 08:33 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.940$9,964Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:30 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.940$3,431Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:27 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.940$4,317Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:26 AMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.996$3,306— (SELL)
May 19, 07:47 AMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL NO0.989$13.3K— (SELL)
May 18, 09:43 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL NO0.860$14.1K— (SELL)
May 18, 03:34 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.930$9,300Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:33 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.960$1,757— (SELL)
May 17, 06:24 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.930$48.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 02:12 PMHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL NO0.928$18.3K— (SELL)
May 15, 05:12 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.880$8,800Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 09:04 AMHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL NO0.928$19.3K— (SELL)
May 13, 10:29 AMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY NO0.945$9,450Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 03:20 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL NO0.995$31.2K— (SELL)
May 12, 08:19 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.870$2,819Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 09:28 PMWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY YES0.630$1,890Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 08:05 PMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?SELL NO0.998$59.8K— (SELL)
May 11, 08:00 PMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?BUY NO0.880$4,400Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 07:57 PMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?SELL NO0.936$7,877— (SELL)
May 11, 02:35 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL NO0.992$14.8K— (SELL)
May 11, 07:20 AMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?BUY NO0.992$8,079Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 09:10 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.880$2,226Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 12:40 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.890$4,720Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 07:35 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY NO0.940$1,042Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 12:47 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL NO0.967$2,325— (SELL)
May 6, 07:08 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL NO0.950$61.8K— (SELL)
May 6, 09:19 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.699$6,989Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 08:53 PMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?SELL YES0.998$9,980— (SELL)
May 3, 08:47 PMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?SELL YES0.998$20.0K— (SELL)
May 3, 12:29 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.910$9,100Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 07:46 AMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL YES0.996$34.0K— (SELL)
May 2, 08:07 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.920$17.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 06:44 AMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL YES0.996$37.0K— (SELL)
May 1, 10:17 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.910$5,709Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 09:46 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY NO0.910$12.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 09:48 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL NO0.971$9,165— (SELL)
May 1, 05:40 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.962$1,049Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 08:09 PMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.994$9,940Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 08:07 PMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL YES0.989$9,987— (SELL)
Apr 30, 08:02 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL NO0.998$210.7K— (SELL)
Apr 30, 08:58 AMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.998$5,311Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 06:53 AMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY NO0.998$49.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 09:28 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.997$39.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:12 PMWill four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?BUY NO0.998$21.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 07:25 PMWill four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?BUY NO0.997$1,633Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 07:10 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.999$13.0K— (SELL)
Apr 29, 06:48 PMWill four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?BUY NO0.997$21.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 06:47 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL NO0.996$24.9K— (SELL)
Apr 29, 04:18 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.998$24.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 02:59 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.998$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:43 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.998$16.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:43 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL NO0.969$16.5K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 06:21 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.995$17.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 06:21 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL YES0.990$22.1K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 06:15 PMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL YES0.987$23.5K— (SELL)
Apr 28, 06:11 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.963$134.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 06:06 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.997$133.0K— (SELL)
Apr 21, 08:48 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.988$1,412Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 01:37 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.989$64.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 09:48 AM0x9823d715SELL YES0.999$50.0K— (SELL)
Apr 20, 07:52 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.987$11.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 07:51 AM0x9823d715SELL YES0.999$45.4K— (SELL)
Apr 18, 12:01 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL NO0.720$4,176— (SELL)
Apr 18, 12:00 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL NO0.720$4,176— (SELL)
Apr 17, 10:51 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.993$48.5K— (SELL)
Apr 17, 10:49 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.810$2,531— (SELL)
Apr 16, 05:04 PMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?SELL YES0.850$2,683— (SELL)
Apr 16, 03:42 PMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?BUY YES0.920$1,380Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 07:44 AM0x83b5e51cSELL NO0.999$80.3K— (SELL)
Apr 15, 05:55 PM0x83b5e51cBUY NO0.988$9,287Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 09:59 AMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL NO0.940$4,330— (SELL)
Apr 13, 08:11 AM0x10d4b55eSELL NO0.989$1,227— (SELL)
Apr 12, 07:56 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.996$1,528Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 07:21 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.989$9,224Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 07:20 PM0x7876b15fSELL NO0.999$27.3K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 07:09 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.997$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:57 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.995$3,267Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 06:53 PM0x7876b15fSELL NO0.999$27.3K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 12:21 PM0x7876b15fSELL NO0.999$6,534— (SELL)
Apr 12, 07:41 AMWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?SELL NO0.986$1,435— (SELL)
Apr 12, 07:39 AM0x4d93be7cSELL NO0.881$4,676— (SELL)
Apr 11, 11:06 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.968$1,318Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 02:59 PM0x7876b15fBUY NO0.996$22.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 12:05 PM0x7876b15fBUY NO0.996$29.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:59 AM0x7876b15fBUY NO0.996$19.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 03:45 PM0x4c5701bcSELL YES0.999$9,990— (SELL)
Apr 10, 10:00 AM0x4d93be7cBUY NO0.936$1,872Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 09:25 AM0x4d93be7cBUY NO0.935$1,403Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 02:39 PM0x4c5701bcSELL YES0.998$20.0K— (SELL)
Apr 8, 12:10 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.640$1,452Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:58 PM0x4c5701bcBUY YES0.987$3,778Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:33 PM0x4c5701bcSELL YES0.982$31.0K— (SELL)
Apr 7, 11:17 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.989$18.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 11:06 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL YES0.990$1,376— (SELL)
Apr 7, 11:04 PM0x4c5701bcBUY YES0.956$8,133Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:55 PM0x4c5701bcBUY YES0.891$3,281Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 10:55 PM0x4c5701bcSELL NO0.091$1,183— (SELL)
Apr 7, 10:53 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL NO0.965$4,391— (SELL)
Apr 7, 10:48 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.990$8,456Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 08:19 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.960$2,630Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 07:37 PM0x4c5701bcBUY NO0.938$2,682Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 07:36 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL YES0.996$9,960— (SELL)
Apr 7, 04:23 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL YES0.996$20.6K— (SELL)
Apr 7, 02:59 PM0x4c5701bcBUY NO0.965$49.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 02:58 PMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL YES0.996$49.8K— (SELL)
Apr 7, 06:52 AMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY YES0.997$21.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 06:52 AMWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY YES0.680$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 08:38 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.959$7,365Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 07:04 AM0x6aa39e48SELL NO0.999$78.4K— (SELL)
Apr 1, 06:40 AM0x306d10d4BUY NO0.993$51.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 06:39 AM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.998$165.3K— (SELL)
Apr 1, 06:10 AM0x306d10d4BUY NO0.997$75.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:39 PM0x61ce3773SELL NO0.999$72.8K— (SELL)
Mar 30, 04:31 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.940$19.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 04:29 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL NO0.840$1,226— (SELL)
Mar 26, 11:38 PMWill David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY YES0.929$1,160Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 11:38 PM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.993$4,965— (SELL)
Mar 26, 08:13 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.992$23.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 01:37 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.780$1,139Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 01:29 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.992$32.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 05:51 PM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.991$4,955— (SELL)
Mar 25, 05:45 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.990$4,955Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 05:43 PM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.991$4,955— (SELL)
Mar 25, 01:16 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY NO0.920$1,187Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 09:11 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.986$4,080Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 08:33 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.986$4,080Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 07:31 PMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY NO0.850$8,892Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 07:28 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.986$32.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 07:27 PM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.991$32.2K— (SELL)
Mar 24, 07:24 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.985$33.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 07:24 PM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.991$45.8K— (SELL)
Mar 24, 01:12 PM0x61ce3773BUY NO0.986$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 09:04 AM0x24fb7c2dSELL YES0.998$56.6K— (SELL)
Mar 23, 04:52 PM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.988$10.4K— (SELL)
Mar 23, 04:24 PM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.988$29.6K— (SELL)
Mar 23, 04:19 PM0x24fb7c2dBUY YES0.989$3,821Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 04:19 PM0x7cb525e8SELL NO0.988$14.8K— (SELL)

Markets active in

53 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
0x7cb525e89$313.0K$-313,029
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Tech6$301.3K$-186,523
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Other11$295.0K$-76,816
0x61ce37739$257.4K+$111.7K
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Tech2$252.6K$-252,567
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Tech10$163.0K+$90.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Other4$160.7K+$109.4K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Tech5$157.3K+$102.5K
0x7876b15f6$133.9K+$11.5K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto2$133.0K+$133.0K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Other7$130.2K$-33,181
0x4c5701bc9$129.8K+$5,580
0x306d10d42$126.6K+$126.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Tech5$111.2K$-109,084
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Tech4$104.4K$-104,431
0x9823d7152$95.3K$-95,326
0x83b5e51c2$89.6K$-71,058
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Other4$80.2K$-55,217
0x6aa39e481$78.4K$-78,401
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Other10$70.2K+$30.5K
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Other3$65.2K+$65.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Finance4$64.0K+$38.1K
0x24fb7c2d2$60.4K$-52,731
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Other2$46.1K+$46.1K
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Finance3$44.6K+$44.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tech2$41.6K+$41.6K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Other2$37.7K$-37,667
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics3$36.3K+$36.3K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Other4$34.3K$-9,860
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Tech5$32.7K+$4,425

Showing top 30 by volume.